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Qube Holdings Limited (QUBHF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Aug 21, 2026: fair value of Qube Holdings Limited $0.66, price $3.49, upside -81.1%, quality 54 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? Yes
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Industrials · US · Home Australia

Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Qube Holdings Limited

QUBHF · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $0.6600 · Strongly overvalued (−81.1%)

!Quality 54/100

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +17.7 %/yr)

!Thin margins · 3.6% net margin (TTM)

!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow

!3.2% dividend yield · Pays more than it earns

!Trails peers (5/13)

!Narrow moat 35/100

!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain

!Weak on past: 28 out of 100

26 models, one by oneBear $0.4600 to bull $0.6600 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 54/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

47‑month range $1.03 – $3.49 · fair‑value band $0.4600 – $0.6600 · the $3.49 price screens above the $0.6600 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Qube Holdings Limited, together with its subsidiaries, provides import and export logistics services in Australia, New Zealand, and Southeast Asia. It operates through two segments, Operating Division and Patrick. The company offers logistics and infrastructure solutions, including containerised cargo and grain trading, as well as outsourced industrial logistics across the heavy transport, mobile crane, and renewable energy industries. It also provides import/export supply chain services, such as road and rail transport of containers to and from ports, operation of container parks, customs and quarantine services, warehousing, international freight forwarding, lifting services or equipment, bulk rail and containerised haulage storage, and handling of rural commodities, as well as operation of automotive and break-bulk, grain, intermodal, and regional rail terminals. In addition, the company offers port logistics, such as processing and delivery of energy and forestry products, project, and general cargo; bulk logistics comprising mine-to-ship transport, stockpile management, and storage facilities; container sale, hire, modification, and stevedoring services. Further, it operates Australian Amalgamated terminals. The company was formerly known as Qube Logistics Holdings Limited and changed its name to Qube Holdings Limited in November 2012. Qube Holdings Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in Sydney, Australia.

Stock analysis

Qube Holdings Limited (QUBHF) currently trades at $3.49, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $0.6600, 81.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $0.9700 per share, and 0 of the 14 models we run sit above the $3.49 price.

Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at $0.3400, and 14 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.4600 (bear) to $0.6600 (bull), the price of $3.49 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Qube Holdings Limited reported revenue of A$4.1B in FY2025 versus A$2.0B in FY2021, a compound +20.3%/yr. Reported net income was A$51.3M in FY2025, compounding −13.5%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $6.7B · P/E ratio 38.7 · P/S ratio 0.49 · EPS (TTM) $0.0900 · Dividend yield 3.2% · Net margin 1.3% · Return on equity 7.0% · Return on assets (EBIT) 7.8%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 73% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −34% fair-value upside, at −81%, QUBHF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.4600 Fair Value $0.6600 Bull $0.6600

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Highest evidence

Residual Income $0.8200 $0.7800 $0.7700 76

DDM Multi-Stage $0.5600 $0.9700 $1.19 67

Growth-Adj P/E $0.4500 $0.6400 $0.8400 67

All 14 models by family

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd $0.1400 $0.9600 $1.34 63

Lynch FV $0.3500 $0.5000 $0.6500 61

PEG = 1.0 $0.3500 $0.5000 $0.6500 57

Dividend Discount

Gordon GGM $0.5600 $1.12 $1.70 66

DDM Multi-Stage $0.5600 $0.9700 $1.19 67

Multiples

P/E Multiple $0.3200 $0.4200 $0.5300 63

P/S Multiple $0.2600 $0.3400 $0.4300 58

P/B Multiple $0.2600 $0.3400 $0.4300 55

EV/EBIT $0.1700 $0.4500 $0.7200 61

EV/EBITDA $0.8700 $1.37 $1.87 66

EV/Revenue n/a $0.1900 $0.4400 50

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) $0.5900 $0.7900 $1.18 54

Economic Profit

Residual Income $0.8200 $0.7800 $0.7700 76

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E $0.4500 $0.6400 $0.8400 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 74

Profitability 40

Margins and returns on capital today

Quality Growth 59

Are margins and returns improving?

Cashflow 36

Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit

Fin. Strength 38

Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk

Investment 73

Disciplined investing over empire-building

Low Volatility 48

Calm price path (market factor)

Momentum 75

Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)

52W Momentum 100

Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)

Net Issuance 89

Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 50/100

Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

Revenue growth 1 year

+22.7%

Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+18.1%

Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+17.7%

Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +11.1% a year

Revenue growth 17 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.

+112.6%

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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

−7.9%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−11.1%

Dividend (yield on the price)3.2%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−11.1% vs −9.5%, steady

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.23% → 4%

Start year 2020 (pandemic)

QUBHF screens overvalued: fair value 81% below the price. Compare with United Parcel Service, Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 202 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures

Overall it trails its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 54 · Above median

Fair Value upside −81.1% · Bottom 25%

Profitability

Return on equity (TTM) 7.0% · Below median

Return on assets 2.7% · Below median

Net margin (TTM) 3.6% · Above median

Operating margin (TTM) 9.9% · Above median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth 10.2% · Above median

Dividend yield (TTM) 3.2% · Above median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.59× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 38.7× · Priciest 25%

P/B 2.25× · Priciest 25%

P/S (TTM) 1.54× · Priciest 25%

EV/EBITDA 15.3× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 49

FUTURE (revenue growth)51 · sector 46

PAST (return on equity)28 · sector 31

HEALTH (low debt)70 · sector 94

DIVIDEND (yield)64 · sector 61

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS	$93.44	$107.34	+15%
Deutsche Post AG DHL	€55.74	€137.08	+146%
FedEx Corporation FDX	$289.65	$349.54	+21%
DSV A/S DSV	kr 1,199	kr 711.95	−41%
Poste Italiane S.p.A PST	€24.49	€14.24	−42%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN	CHF 224.50	CHF 147.92	−34%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD	$188.58	$116.66	−38%
S.F. Holding 002352	¥30.54	¥109.70	+259%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT	$226.07	$133.80	−41%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW	$148.24	$87.31	−41%

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Qube Holdings Limited · Fair Value
$0.6600 −81%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/QUBHF" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">Qube Holdings Limited · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">$0.6600</b> <span style="color:#e0816f;font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−81%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Qube Holdings Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/QUBHF

Frequently asked questions

Is Qube Holdings Limited (QUBHF) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $0.6600 versus the last price from Aug 21, 2026 of $3.49, about −81% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of QUBHF?

Our model-based fair value for Qube Holdings Limited is $0.6600 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Aug 21, 2026): $3.49.

What is the quality score of QUBHF?

Qube Holdings Limited has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for Qube Holdings Limited (QUBHF)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of $0.6600 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.4600, optimistic scenario $0.6600. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the Qube Holdings Limited stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at $0.6600, about −81% upside versus the last price from Aug 21, 2026 of $3.49 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $0.4600, optimistic scenario $0.6600. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of Qube Holdings Limited (QUBHF)?

Qube Holdings Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$4.4B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).

Does Qube Holdings Limited pay a dividend?

Qube Holdings Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.19% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of Qube Holdings Limited (QUBHF)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Qube Holdings Limited it is $0.6600 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $3.49. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is Qube Holdings Limited stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Sep 24, 2026, QUBHF trades above its calculated fair value: price $3.49, fair value $0.6600, a gap of about −81% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of QUBHF?

No. The price is what the market pays today ($3.49); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($0.6600). For Qube Holdings Limited the two are $2.83 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is Qube Holdings Limited worth?

The market values Qube Holdings Limited at about $6.7B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $3.49; our models calculate a fair value of $0.6600 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about QUBHF?

Our models span a range for Qube Holdings Limited: cautious scenario $0.4600, base $0.6600, optimistic $0.6600 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $3.49). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of QUBHF?

Qube Holdings Limited trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 38.7 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $0.6600 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.3, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 15.3.

How solid is the balance sheet of Qube Holdings Limited (QUBHF)?

Balance-sheet figures for Qube Holdings Limited (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.0%, debt of 0.59 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is QUBHF from its 52-week high?

Qube Holdings Limited trades at $3.49, at its 52-week high of $3.49 and 73% above the low of $2.01 (as of Aug 21, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $0.6600 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to Qube Holdings Limited?

From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, Deutsche Post AG, FedEx Corporation, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is Qube Holdings Limited stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $3.49, calculated fair value $0.6600 (−81%), Quality Score 54/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of QUBHF calculated?

We run Qube Holdings Limited through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $0.6600, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Qube Holdings Limited itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of Qube Holdings Limited (QUBHF)?

The latest price we hold is from Aug 21, 2026 and stands at $3.49. Our model-based fair value is $0.6600, about −81% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with Qube Holdings Limited right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($0.6600). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Where does the earnings growth of Qube Holdings Limited (QUBHF) come from?

Earnings per share at Qube Holdings Limited grew +0.6 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +5.4 %, EBIT margin +3.4 %, tax rate −0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −6.9 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Qube Holdings Limited

How large is the market capitalisation of Qube Holdings Limited (QUBHF)?

The market capitalisation of Qube Holdings Limited is $6.7B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of Qube Holdings Limited (QUBHF)?

The price-to-sales ratio of Qube Holdings Limited is 0.49 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of Qube Holdings Limited (QUBHF)?

Earnings per share at Qube Holdings Limited are $0.0900 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 38.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of Qube Holdings Limited (QUBHF)?

The dividend yield of Qube Holdings Limited is 3.2% (payout 123%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of Qube Holdings Limited (QUBHF)?

The net margin of Qube Holdings Limited is 1.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of Qube Holdings Limited (QUBHF)?

The return on equity (ROE) of Qube Holdings Limited is 7.0% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of Qube Holdings Limited (QUBHF)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Qube Holdings Limited is 7.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of Qube Holdings Limited (QUBHF)?

The operating margin of Qube Holdings Limited is 9.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at Qube Holdings Limited (QUBHF)?

Revenue at Qube Holdings Limited is growing +10.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg +18.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at Qube Holdings Limited (QUBHF)?

Earnings per share at Qube Holdings Limited are growing +101% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does Qube Holdings Limited (QUBHF) generate?

The free cash flow of Qube Holdings Limited is −A$113M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net debt does Qube Holdings Limited (QUBHF) carry?

The net debt of Qube Holdings Limited is A$2.9B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.

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