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Rekor Systems, Inc (REKR) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $97.2M

RS Rekor Systems, Inc logo Rekor Systems, Inc REKR · US
Price$0.7090
Fair Value$1.74
Upside+145.7%
Quality36/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -60.5% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (5/10)
Narrow moat 8/100
Evidence: Low Range $1.14 – $2.11 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 3 valuation models · updated today

Share price +13.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 146% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($1.14). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range ($1.14 to $2.11) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$13.98 $0.5660 Fair Value $1.74 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $0.5660 – $13.98 · fair‑value band $1.14 – $2.11 · the $0.7090 price screens below the $1.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Rekor Systems, Inc (REKR) currently trades at $0.7090, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.74, implying the stock looks roughly 145.7% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Rekor Systems, Inc generated revenue of $49.5M at a net margin of -60.5%. Revenue grew 11.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -88.3%. Net debt stands at $13.2M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $1.14 (bear case) to $2.11 (bull case); at $0.7090, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 79% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -59% fair-value upside, at 146%, REKR screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Gordon GGM $1.63 $2.73 $3.55 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.63 $2.59 $2.94 61
NCAV (Graham) $0.1600 $0.2100 $0.3100 50
All 3 models by family
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $1.63 $2.73 $3.55 70
DDM Multi-Stage $1.63 $2.59 $2.94 61
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $0.1600 $0.2100 $0.3100 50

Widest divergence: Dividend Discount ($2.59) versus Asset-Based ($0.2100). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $49.5M
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.6%
Net margin -60.5%
Return on equity -88.3%
Free cash flow −$22.9M FY2025
Operating margin -85.9%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-0.2300
Net debt $13.2M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 37 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 8

Profitability 19
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 78
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 93
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 17
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 1
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Rekor Systems, Inc. provides infrastructure solutions for public safety, urban mobility, and transportation management markets in the United States and internationally.

Full company description

Rekor Systems, Inc. provides infrastructure solutions for public safety, urban mobility, and transportation management markets in the United States and internationally. The company offers Rekor One, a roadway intelligence engine; Rekor Command for transportation management; Rekor Discover for urban mobility; Rekor Scout for public safety; and Rekor AutoNotice, cloud-based financial management application for contactless compliance, as well as Rekor CarCheck, an artificial intelligence (AI) based vehicle and license plate recognition technology. It also provides Rekor Edge Max, a fixed traffic data collection system that captures and transforms roadway data into holistic traffic insights; Rekor Edge Pro, a vehicle recognition solution that is used on a standalone basis or integrated into a network; and Rekor Edge Flex, a portable data collection system. In addition, the company provides traffic services, such as traditional traffic studies for permanent and temporary traffic analytics projects; AI-driven traffic studies for traffic management; and traffic engineering services. Rekor Systems, Inc. was incorporated in 2017 and is headquartered in Columbia, Maryland.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Rekor Systems, Inc reported revenue of $48.5M in FY2025 versus $11.6M in FY2021, a compound +43.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$31.5M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$48.5M
Latest YoY
+5.3%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+34.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+39.3%
Avg. growth/yr (11Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+14.0%
Revenue +43.0%/yr
FY21 $11.6M
FY22 $19.9M
FY23 $34.9M
FY24 $46.0M
FY25 $48.5M
Net income
FY21 −$26.8M
FY22 −$83.1M
FY23 −$45.7M
FY24 −$61.4M
FY25 −$31.5M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rekor Systems, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/REKR

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 369 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +155% · Top 25%
Return on assets -19% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -60% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -86% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/B 2.27× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.96× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 58 · sector 48
PAST 0 · sector 14
HEALTH 100 · sector 99
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $506.06 $365.74 -28%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$7.22 C$2.34 -68%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.84 $61.46 -62%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €358.00 €93.61 -74%
Block, Inc XYZ A$111.01 A$70.69 -36%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥67.70 ¥30.89 -54%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,679 ₹6,897 -41%
360 Security Technology Inc 601360 ¥9.58 ¥1.05 -89%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,610 ₹241.68 -85%
PT GoTo Gojek Tokopedia Tbk GOTO 50.00 IDR 20.41 IDR -59%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Rekor Systems, Inc (REKR) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.74 versus a price of $0.7090, about +146% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of REKR?
Our model-based fair value for Rekor Systems, Inc is $1.74 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $0.7090.
What is the quality score of REKR?
Rekor Systems, Inc has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Rekor Systems, Inc (REKR)?
Rekor Systems, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $49.5M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of REKR?
The net profit margin of Rekor Systems, Inc is about -60.5%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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