Repsol, S.A (REP) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · ES · Market cap €25.2B
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 24 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from €18.97 to €19.07 (+0.5%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +15.6% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 25% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€22.35). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (68/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €6.48 – €26.50 · fair‑value band €13.35 – €22.35 · the €25.46 price screens above the €19.07 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Repsol, S.A (REP) currently trades at €25.46, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €19.07, implying the stock looks roughly 25.1% overvalued today. We read business quality at 68/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Repsol, S.A generated revenue of €49.6B at a net margin of 5.0%. Revenue grew 8.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.5%. Net debt stands at €13.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €13.35 (bear case) to €22.35 (bull case); at €25.46, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 131% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -25%, REP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (€29.58) versus Growth DCF (€8.54). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 91
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Repsol, S.A. operates as a multi-energy company in Spain, Peru, the United States, Portugal, and internationally. The Upstream segment engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas reserves; and development of low-carbon geological solutions.
Full company description
Repsol, S.A. operates as a multi-energy company in Spain, Peru, the United States, Portugal, and internationally. The Upstream segment engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas reserves; and development of low-carbon geological solutions. Its Industrial segment is involved in oil refining; trading, transport, and wholesale of crude oil, natural gas, and fuels; and activities related to hydrogen, sustainable biofuels, and synthetic fuels. The Customer segment engages in the mobility/gas station business; and sale of electricity and gas, lubricants, and other products, as well as fuel products, such as gasoline, diesel, aviation kerosene, liquefied petroleum gas, and biofuels. Its Low-Carbon Generation segment is involved in electricity generation from hydroelectric, wind, and photovoltaic sources. The company also engages in financial services; sector studies; human resources and shared services; decarbonization; carbon dioxide capture and pyrolysis HUB pilot plants; development of production processes, storage, transport, use, consumption, and transformation of hydrogen; promotion, design, construction, and operation of molecular recycling facilities; and production of chemical and petrochemical products. In addition, it is involved in waste management; construction and operation of oil refinery; research; electricity distribution; maritime transport and inland waterways; LNG regasification; investment in liquefaction plant; safety; electric vehicle charging points; customer and oil product marketing management; payment management at gas stations; development of greenfield and new energy projects; and insurance and reinsurance activities. Further, the company offers various apps and tools, such as Waylet, Vivit, and WiBLE; and asphalt products. The company was formerly known as Repsol YPF, S.A. and changed its name to Repsol, S.A. in May 2012. Repsol, S.A. was founded in 1927 and is headquartered in Madrid, Spain.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Repsol, S.A reported revenue of €54.9B in FY2025 versus €49.7B in FY2021, a compound +2.5%/yr. Reported net income was €1.9B in FY2025, compounding −6.6%/yr from FY2021.
REP screens 25% overvalued. Compare with Saudi Arabian Oil Company →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Amsterdam Court Rejects Massive Claims of Shell and Repsol
- Amsterdam District Court Rules in Favor of Celanese and its Co-Defendants in Shell and Repsol Cases, Dismissing All Claims
- Repsol (BME:REP) Tripled First Half Net Income, Is The Stock Still Expensive?
- Repsol SA (REPYF) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Financial Performance and Strategic ...
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Integrated · 54 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabian Oil Company 2222 | 26.72 SAR | 20.14 SAR | -25% |
| Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM | $144.51 | $90.37 | -37% |
| Chevron Corporation CHEV | C$22.88 | C$7.97 | -65% |
| PetroChina Company 601857 | ¥10.29 | ¥16.51 | +60% |
| Shell plc SHELL | €38.04 | €46.09 | +21% |
| TotalEnergies SE TTE | C$13.80 | C$7.92 | -43% |
| Petróleo Brasileiro S.A PETR3 | 12,540 ARS | 30,914 ARS | +147% |
| BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, BP | $40.83 | $12.71 | -69% |
| China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation 600028 | ¥5.03 | ¥4.46 | -11% |
| Equinor ASA EQNR | $36.19 | $34.53 | -5% |
Compare Repsol, S.A with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Energy stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is Repsol, S.A (REP) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of REP?
What is the quality score of REP?
What is the revenue of Repsol, S.A (REP)?
What is the net profit margin of REP?
Does Repsol, S.A pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track Repsol, S.A and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.