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Region Group (RGN) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · AU · Market cap A$2.6B

PriceA$2.42
Fair ValueA$2.75
Upside+13.6%
Quality95/100
Evidence: Medium Range A$1.73 – A$3.78

Analysis

Region Group (RGN) currently trades at A$2.42, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$2.75 — implying the stock looks roughly 13.6% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium) — always confirm before acting.

About the company

Region Group is an internally managed real estate investment trust (REIT) with 87 convenience-based retail properties, valued at $4,374 million. We remain the largest owner of convenience-based retail centres with 7% share of the market, which is dominated by private owners. This asset class has proven to be resilient due to its exposure to nondiscretionary retail categories, including long leases with grocery-based anchor tenants. Woolworths Group Limited (Woolworths) and Coles Group Limited (Coles) are our anchor retail partners at more than 97% of our properties. Region (originally SCA Property Group was created out of Woolworths in late 2012, when ownership in a number of retail properties was transferred. Since November 2022, we have been operating under our new name, Region Group. Region Group was incorporated in 2012 in Australia.

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How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.

Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.