Region Group (RGN) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · AU · Market cap A$2.7B
Fair value as of: Jul 13, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 28 days ago
Share price +3.0% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 14% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- A fairly wide model range (A$1.73 to A$3.78) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$1.64 – A$2.42 · fair‑value band A$1.73 – A$3.78 · the A$2.41 price screens below the A$2.75 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 13, 2026.
Analysis
Region Group (RGN) currently trades at A$2.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$2.75, implying the stock looks roughly 14.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Region Group generated revenue of A$387M at a net margin of 80.4%. Revenue grew 1.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.8%. Net debt stands at A$1.6B. Fundamentals as of Jul 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$1.73 (bear case) to A$3.78 (bull case); at A$2.41, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 15% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at 14%, RGN screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (A$2.16) versus Asset-Based (A$1.67). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 50 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 67
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Region Group is an internally managed real estate investment trust (REIT) with 87 convenience-based retail properties, valued at $4,374 million. We remain the largest owner of convenience-based retail centres with 7% share of the market, which is dominated by private owners.
Full company description
Region Group is an internally managed real estate investment trust (REIT) with 87 convenience-based retail properties, valued at $4,374 million. We remain the largest owner of convenience-based retail centres with 7% share of the market, which is dominated by private owners. This asset class has proven to be resilient due to its exposure to nondiscretionary retail categories, including long leases with grocery-based anchor tenants. Woolworths Group Limited (Woolworths) and Coles Group Limited (Coles) are our anchor retail partners at more than 97% of our properties. Region (originally SCA Property Group was created out of Woolworths in late 2012, when ownership in a number of retail properties was transferred. Since November 2022, we have been operating under our new name, Region Group. Region Group was incorporated in 2012 in Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Region Group reported revenue of A$382M in FY2025 versus A$330M in FY2021, a compound +3.7%/yr. Reported net income was A$213M in FY2025, compounding −17.7%/yr from FY2021.
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Peer Group
REIT - Retail · 107 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Property Group SPG | $229.78 | $86.11 | -63% |
| Realty Income Corporation O | $65.60 | $30.71 | -53% |
| Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE URW | €103.65 | €101.67 | -2% |
| Kimco Realty Corporation KIM | $26.10 | $12.60 | -52% |
| CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) C38U | 2.47 SGD | 0.9100 SGD | -63% |
| Scentre Group SCG | A$3.93 | A$3.34 | -15% |
| Regency Centers Corporation REG | $82.15 | $33.69 | -59% |
| Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) 0823 | HK$39.22 | HK$41.98 | +7% |
| Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT | $126.08 | $41.96 | -67% |
| Brixmor Property Group BRX | $32.44 | $13.18 | -59% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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