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Rush Enterprises, Inc (RUSHB) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $5.9B

RE Rush Enterprises, Inc logo Rush Enterprises, Inc RUSHB · US
Price$79.04
Fair Value$66.27
Upside-16.2%
Quality61/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.7% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
0.99% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (6/15)
Narrow moat 41/100
Evidence: High Range $45.56 – $85.77 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from $79.22 to $66.27 (−16.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +4.7% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 16% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($45.56 to $85.77) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$81.04 $22.43 Fair Value $66.27 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $22.43 – $81.04 · fair‑value band $45.56 – $85.77 · the $79.04 price screens above the $66.27 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.

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Analysis

Rush Enterprises, Inc (RUSHB) currently trades at $79.04, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $66.27, implying the stock looks roughly 16.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Rush Enterprises, Inc generated revenue of $7.3B at a net margin of 3.7%. Revenue declined 9.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 11.9%. Net debt stands at $1.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $45.56 (bear case) to $85.77 (bull case); at $79.04, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 67% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 19% fair-value upside, at -16%, RUSHB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $81.45 $132.24 $210.45 80
Residual Income $24.84 $29.05 $57.63 76
Rev-Margin DCF $55.78 $87.90 $127.60 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $81.39 $135.23 $220.22 38
Owner Earnings $15.97 $26.94 $44.25 31
5Y Revenue Exit $55.78 $87.65 $128.73 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $73.86 $123.37 $183.04 41
5Y P/E Exit $58.12 $92.28 $129.28 38
10Y Revenue Exit $62.85 $94.87 $139.52 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $75.75 $119.85 $182.17 37
10Y P/E Exit $65.72 $98.10 $139.95 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $22.22 $88.05 $119.61 54
Lynch FV $21.80 $31.14 $40.48 50
PEG = 1.0 $21.80 $31.14 $40.48 46
EPV $34.54 $40.11 $44.92 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $6.35 $12.65 $19.15 70
DDM Multi-Stage $6.35 $10.93 $13.35 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $51.46 $68.62 $85.77 63
P/S Multiple $41.66 $55.55 $69.44 58
P/B Multiple $41.66 $55.55 $69.44 55
EV/EBIT $61.36 $82.06 $102.77 53
EV/EBITDA $77.28 $103.29 $129.31 54
EV/Revenue $43.57 $62.57 $81.58 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $13.65 $18.29 $27.29 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $81.45 $132.24 $210.45 80
Rev-Margin DCF $55.78 $87.90 $127.60 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $24.84 $29.05 $57.63 76
ROIC Compounder $36.94 $48.50 $63.68 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $38.57 $55.10 $71.63 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models ($94.87) versus Dividend Discount ($10.93). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $7.3B
Revenue growth (YoY) -9.0%
Net margin 3.7%
Return on equity 11.9%
Free cash flow $573M FY2025
P/E ratio 22.9
More key figures
Operating margin 4.9%
EPS (TTM) $3.31
Dividend yield 1.2%
EPS growth (YoY) +5.5%
Net debt $1.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 77

Profitability 55
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 35
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 59
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 72
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 76
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 95
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 97
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Rush Enterprises, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retailer of commercial vehicles and related services in the United States and Canada. The company operates a network of commercial vehicle dealerships under the Rush Truck Centers name.

Full company description

Rush Enterprises, Inc., through its subsidiaries, operates as an integrated retailer of commercial vehicles and related services in the United States and Canada. The company operates a network of commercial vehicle dealerships under the Rush Truck Centers name. Its Rush Truck Centers primarily sell commercial vehicles manufactured by Peterbilt, International, Hino, Ford, Isuzu, IC Bus, Blue Bird, Blue Arc and Battle Motors. The company also engages in the retail sale of new and used commercial vehicles, and aftermarket parts, as well as provision of service and repair, financing, and leasing and rental services; and offers property and casualty insurance, including collision and liability insurance on commercial vehicles, cargo insurance, and credit life insurance products. In addition, it provides equipment installation and repair, parts installation, and paint and body repair services; new vehicle pre-delivery inspection, truck modification, and natural gas fuel system installation services, body, chassis upfitting, and component installation services; parts and collision repair; CNG fuel systems; and vehicle telematics products, as well as sells new and used trailers, and tires for commercial vehicles. The company serves regional and national fleets, local and state governments, corporations, and owner-operators. Rush Enterprises, Inc. was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in New Braunfels, Texas.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Rush Enterprises, Inc reported revenue of $7.4B in FY2025 versus $5.1B in FY2021, a compound +9.7%/yr. Reported net income was $264M in FY2025, compounding +2.2%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 68/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$7.4B
Latest YoY
−4.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+1.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+9.4%
Avg. growth/yr (31Y)
+12.3%
Revenue +9.7%/yr
FY21 $5.1B
FY22 $7.1B
FY23 $7.9B
FY24 $7.8B
FY25 $7.4B
Net income +2.2%/yr
FY21 $241M
FY22 $391M
FY23 $347M
FY24 $304M
FY25 $264M

RUSHB screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Carvana Co →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Rush Enterprises, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/RUSHB

Recent news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Auto & Truck Dealerships · 102 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −16% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 12% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 5% · Above median
Revenue growth -9% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.0% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.13× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Auto & Truck Dealerships median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 22.9× · Pricier than median
P/B 2.67× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.81× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 10.3× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 9.3× · Pricier than median
PEG 2.74× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 12 · sector 21
FUTURE 0 · sector 9
PAST 48 · sector 20
HEALTH 94 · sector 89
DIVIDEND 20 · sector 49

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Auto & Truck Dealerships stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Carvana Co CVNA $70.38 $24.58 -65%
Penske Automotive Group PAG $202.66 $241.86 +19%
Hotai Motor Co 2207 476.50 TWD 576.75 TWD +21%
CarMax, Inc KMX $58.47 $29.62 -49%
Lithia Motors, Inc LAD $339.16 $610.95 +80%
AutoNation, Inc AN $205.72 $329.77 +60%
Valvoline Inc VVV $38.64 $24.57 -36%
OPENLANE, Inc OPLN $39.46 $33.81 -14%
Eagers Automotive Limited APE A$20.83 A$17.66 -15%
Asbury Automotive Group ABG $211.97 $449.22 +112%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Rush Enterprises, Inc (RUSHB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 14, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $66.27 versus a price of $79.04, about −16% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of RUSHB?
Our model-based fair value for Rush Enterprises, Inc is $66.27 (as of Jul 14, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $79.04.
What is the quality score of RUSHB?
Rush Enterprises, Inc has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Rush Enterprises, Inc (RUSHB)?
Rush Enterprises, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $7.3B (latest available figure, as of Jul 14, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of RUSHB?
The net profit margin of Rush Enterprises, Inc is about 3.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Rush Enterprises, Inc pay a dividend?
Rush Enterprises, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.17% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 14, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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