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Substrate Artificial Inteligence, S.A (SAI) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · ES · Market cap €27.1M

SA Substrate Artificial Inteligence, S.A SAI · MC
Price€0.0668
Fair Value€0.1190
Upside+78.1%
Quality17/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 38.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (10/12)
Moderate moat 63/100
Evidence: Low Range €0.0822 – €0.1448 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 16, 2026

From 6 valuation models · updated 26 days ago

Share price +15.4% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 78% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (17/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€0.0822). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
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Price vs Fair Value (4 years)

€4.10 €0.0234 Fair Value €0.1190 May 2022 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

How to read this chart

51‑month range €0.0234 – €4.10 · fair‑value band €0.0822 – €0.1448 · the €0.0668 price screens below the €0.1190 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 16, 2026.

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Analysis

Substrate Artificial Inteligence, S.A (SAI) currently trades at €0.0668, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €0.1190, implying the stock looks roughly 78.1% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 17/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Substrate Artificial Inteligence, S.A generated revenue of €19.6M at a net margin of 38.6%. Revenue grew 36.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 19.5%. Net debt stands at €4.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 16, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €0.0822 (bear case) to €0.1448 (bull case); at €0.0668, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 48% below its 52-week high and 96% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -50% fair-value upside, at 78%, SAI screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder €0.0500 €0.0600 €0.0600 72
EPV €0.0500 €0.0600 €0.0600 59
EV/EBITDA €0.1600 €0.2100 €0.2700 54
All 6 models by family
Earnings-Based
EPV €0.0500 €0.0600 €0.0600 59
Multiples
EV/EBIT €0.1200 €0.1600 €0.2000 53
EV/EBITDA €0.1600 €0.2100 €0.2700 54
EV/Revenue €0.0800 €0.1100 €0.1500 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €0.1000 €0.1300 €0.1900 50
Economic Profit
ROIC Compounder €0.0500 €0.0600 €0.0600 72

Widest divergence: Multiples (€0.1600) versus Earnings-Based (€0.0600). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €19.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) +36.2%
Net margin 38.6%
Return on equity 19.5%
Free cash flow −€4.7M FY2025
P/E ratio 1.1
More key figures
Operating margin 12.1%
EPS (TTM) €-0.0600
EPS growth (YoY) +718%
Net debt €4.0M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 17/100

Of which business quality 18 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43

Profitability 11
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 34
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 13
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 41
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 0
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 51
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 22
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 0
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Substrate Artificial Inteligence, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the creation and development of artificial intelligence systems in Spain, the United Kingdom, the United States, and Latin America.

Full company description

Substrate Artificial Inteligence, S.A., together with its subsidiaries, engages in the creation and development of artificial intelligence systems in Spain, the United Kingdom, the United States, and Latin America. The company offers compute and cloud; storage and data fabric; networking; security and governance; AI platforms and agents; and developer access. Its products are used in AI and technology, gaming and simulation, healthcare, finance, telecommunications, public sector, manufacturing, smart cities, education and research, and energy and sustainability industries. The company was formerly known as Substrate AI S.A. and changed its name to Substrate Artificial Inteligence, S.A. in July 2021. Substrate Artificial Inteligence, S.A. was incorporated in 2010 and is based in Valencia, Spain.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Substrate Artificial Inteligence, S.A reported revenue of €18.0M in FY2025 versus €1.6M in FY2021, a compound +83.2%/yr. Reported net income was −€7.4M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€18.0M
Latest YoY
+2.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+79.1%
Revenue +83.2%/yr
FY21 €1.6M
FY22 €3.1M
FY23 €8.6M
FY24 €17.5M
FY25 €18.0M
Net income
FY21 −€1.8M
FY22 €11.2K
FY23 −€8.7M
FY24 €7.4M
FY25 −€7.4M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Substrate Artificial Inteligence, S.A Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SAI

Peer Group

Software - Infrastructure · 370 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 17 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +78% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 39% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 12% · Above median
Revenue growth 36% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.08× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 1.1× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 0.79× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.60× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 8.1× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 46
PAST 78 · sector 15
HEALTH 96 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 16, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Microsoft Corporation MSFT $384.00 $274.17 -29%
Oracle Corporation ORAC C$9.08 C$2.94 -68%
Fortinet, Inc FTNT $160.78 $44.96 -72%
Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS €354.50 €93.61 -74%
Block, Inc XYZ A$114.53 A$70.69 -38%
CoreWeave, Inc CRWV $79.94 $44.89 -44%
Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 ¥71.60 ¥34.00 -53%
Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS ₹11,651 ₹5,821 -50%
360 Security Technology Inc 601360 ¥9.64 ¥5.05 -48%
One97 Communications Limited PAYTM ₹1,342 ₹181.50 -86%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Substrate Artificial Inteligence, S.A (SAI) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 16, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €0.1190 versus a price of €0.0668, about +78% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SAI?
Our model-based fair value for Substrate Artificial Inteligence, S.A is €0.1190 (as of Jul 16, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €0.0668.
What is the quality score of SAI?
Substrate Artificial Inteligence, S.A has a Quality Score of 17/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Substrate Artificial Inteligence, S.A (SAI)?
Substrate Artificial Inteligence, S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €19.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 16, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SAI?
The net profit margin of Substrate Artificial Inteligence, S.A is about 38.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 38.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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