SailPoint, Inc (SAIL) Fair Value & Analysis
Technology · US · Market cap $8.6B
SailPoint, Inc
SAIL · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +9.2% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 90% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.14). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (43/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
Price vs Fair Value (18 months)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
18‑month range $10.49 – $25.70 · fair‑value band $1.43 – $2.14 · the $17.68 price screens above the $1.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
SailPoint, Inc (SAIL) currently trades at $17.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.79, implying the stock looks roughly 89.9% overvalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, SailPoint, Inc generated revenue of $1.1B at a net margin of -25.2%. Revenue grew 22.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -42.9%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $340M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.43 (bear case) to $2.14 (bull case); at $17.68, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 72% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -53% fair-value upside, at -90%, SAIL screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based ($1,448) versus Multiples ($1.79). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 53 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
SailPoint, Inc. delivers solutions to enable identity security for the enterprise in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally.
Full company description
SailPoint, Inc. delivers solutions to enable identity security for the enterprise in the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, the Asia-Pacific, and internationally. Its solutions enable organizations to establish, control, and automate policies that help define and maintain a robust security posture and achieve regulatory compliance; and address various types of systems and identities, including data and applications, employee identities, non-employee identities, and machine identities, as well as enable smarter access decisions, improve business processes, and provide deeper understanding of identity and access. The company offers Identity Security Cloud, a cloud-based identity security solution to discover, manage, and secure all enterprise identity types, as well as the data and cloud infrastructure; and IdentityIQ, a customer-hosted identity security solution. It also provides SailPoint platform, a security platform engineered to unify identity, data, and security intelligence in real time. It serves financial services, media, energy and utilities, technology, life sciences, and healthcare, as well as government agencies and public universities. The company was founded in 2005 and is headquartered in Austin, Texas.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
SailPoint, Inc reported revenue of $1.1B in FY2026 versus $365M in FY2021, a compound +24.0%/yr. Reported net income was −$270M in FY2026.
SAIL screens 90% overvalued. Compare with Microsoft Corporation →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Kuehn Law Encourages Investors of SailPoint, Inc. to Contact Law Firm
- SailPoint (SAIL) Completes Acquisition of Entro Security to Enhance Non-Human Identity Management
- SailPoint, Inc. (SAIL) Up 2.7% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?
- SailPoint and the Rise of AI Agents in Identity Security: What's Ahead?
Peer Group
Software - Infrastructure · 367 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Software - Infrastructure median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Software - Infrastructure stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Microsoft Corporation MSFT | $384.00 | $274.17 | -29% |
| Oracle Corporation ORAC | C$9.08 | C$2.94 | -68% |
| Palantir Technologies Inc 1PLTR | €112.86 | €12.03 | -89% |
| Fortinet, Inc FTNT | $160.78 | $44.96 | -72% |
| Synopsys, Inc 1SNPS | €381.50 | €118.28 | -69% |
| Block, Inc XYZ | A$114.53 | A$70.69 | -38% |
| CoreWeave, Inc CRWV | $79.94 | $44.89 | -44% |
| Range Intelligent Computing Technology Group 300442 | ¥71.60 | ¥34.00 | -53% |
| Oracle Financial Services Software Limited OFSS | ₹11,651 | ₹5,821 | -50% |
| One97 Communications Limited PAYTM | ₹1,342 | ₹181.50 | -86% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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