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Safe Bulkers, Inc (SB) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $714M

SB Safe Bulkers, Inc logo Safe Bulkers, Inc SB · US
Price$7.60
Fair Value$5.97
Upside-21.5%
Quality55/100
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Mixed Growth
Solidly profitable · 18.7% net margin
Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
3.13% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/15)
Moderate moat 50/100
Evidence: High Range $4.57 – $6.82 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 25 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price +11.8% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 21% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($6.82). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$7.95 $2.04 Fair Value $5.97 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $2.04 – $7.95 · fair‑value band $4.57 – $6.82 · the $7.60 price screens above the $5.97 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Safe Bulkers, Inc (SB) currently trades at $7.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.97, implying the stock looks roughly 21.5% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Safe Bulkers, Inc generated revenue of $286M at a net margin of 18.7%. Revenue grew 15.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 6.4%. Net debt stands at $387M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $4.57 (bear case) to $6.82 (bull case); at $7.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 120% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 67% fair-value upside, at -21%, SB screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1.98 $3.71 $5.76 80
Residual Income $5.89 $5.88 $5.22 76
Rev-Margin DCF $0.6700 $2.43 $4.37 74
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.90 $3.81 $6.20 38
Owner Earnings $1.56 $3.35 $5.59 31
5Y Revenue Exit $0.6700 $2.35 $4.37 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $5.14 $10.33 $16.19 41
5Y P/E Exit $1.86 $4.47 $7.07 38
10Y Revenue Exit $1.06 $2.57 $4.39 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $3.70 $7.52 $12.30 37
10Y P/E Exit $1.82 $3.89 $6.19 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $2.58 $6.32 $8.19 54
PEG = 1.0 $1.14 $1.62 $2.11 46
EPV $1.51 $2.18 $2.73 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $2.18 $3.57 $5.01 70
DDM Multi-Stage $2.18 $3.10 $3.96 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $5.96 $7.95 $9.94 63
P/S Multiple $4.06 $5.42 $6.77 58
P/B Multiple $4.83 $6.44 $8.05 55
EV/EBIT $5.28 $8.17 $11.06 53
EV/EBITDA $8.98 $13.10 $17.22 54
EV/Revenue $0.0300 $1.49 $2.95 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.08 $5.47 $8.16 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.98 $3.71 $5.76 80
Rev-Margin DCF $0.6700 $2.43 $4.37 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $5.89 $5.88 $5.22 76
ROIC Compounder $1.51 $2.18 $2.73 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $4.57 $6.53 $8.49 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($6.53) versus Earnings-Based ($2.18). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $286M
Revenue growth (YoY) +15.6%
Net margin 18.7%
Return on equity 6.4%
Free cash flow $60.3M FY2025
P/E ratio 15.6
More key figures
Operating margin 35.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.4500
Dividend yield 3.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +296%
Net debt $387M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 9
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 82
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 48
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 83
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 100
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Safe Bulkers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine drybulk transportation services internationally. The company owns and operates a fleet of dry bulk vessels for transporting bulk cargoes comprising coal, grain, and iron ore.

Full company description

Safe Bulkers, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides marine drybulk transportation services internationally. The company owns and operates a fleet of dry bulk vessels for transporting bulk cargoes comprising coal, grain, and iron ore. Its fleet consists of 45 vessels, including 8 Panamax class vessels, 12 Kamsarmax class vessels, 17 post-Panamax class vessels, and 8 Capesize class vessels with an aggregate carrying capacity of 4,559,000 deadweight tons. Safe Bulkers, Inc. was incorporated in 2007 and is based in Monaco.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Safe Bulkers, Inc reported revenue of $276M in FY2025 versus $329M in FY2021, a compound −4.3%/yr. Reported net income was $38.6M in FY2025, compounding −31.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 72/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$276M
Latest YoY
−10.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−7.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+6.8%
Avg. growth/yr (19Y)
+5.8%
Revenue −4.3%/yr
FY21 $329M
FY22 $350M
FY23 $284M
FY24 $308M
FY25 $276M
Net income −31.4%/yr
FY21 $174M
FY22 $173M
FY23 $77.4M
FY24 $97.4M
FY25 $38.6M

SB screens 21% overvalued. Compare with Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Safe Bulkers, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SB

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Marine Shipping · 231 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −21% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 6% · Below median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 19% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 36% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 16% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.60× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.6× · Pricier than median
P/B 0.86× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 2.50× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 11.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Pricier than median
PEG 3.33× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 5 · sector 29
FUTURE 78 · sector 18
PAST 26 · sector 27
HEALTH 70 · sector 88
DIVIDEND 63 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Marine Shipping stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited ADANIPORTS ₹1,828 ₹1,041 -43%
A.P. Møller - Mærsk A/S MAERSKA kr 16,520 kr 3,033 -82%
COSCO SHIPPING Holdings 601919 ¥13.98 ¥40.37 +189%
Shanghai International Port (Group) Co 600018 ¥5.17 ¥6.57 +27%
HMM Co 011200 20,050 KRW 33,855 KRW +69%
Ningbo Zhoushan Port Company 601018 ¥3.35 ¥5.58 +67%
Qingdao Port International Co 601298 ¥8.88 ¥15.97 +80%
JSW Infrastructure Limited JSWINFRA ₹330.05 ₹126.31 -62%
Wan Hai Lines Ltd 2615 80.70 TWD 212.79 TWD +164%
Wallenius Wilhelmsen ASA WAWI kr 137.70 kr 50.56 -63%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Safe Bulkers, Inc (SB) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.97 versus a price of $7.60, about −21% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SB?
Our model-based fair value for Safe Bulkers, Inc is $5.97 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $7.60.
What is the quality score of SB?
Safe Bulkers, Inc has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Safe Bulkers, Inc (SB)?
Safe Bulkers, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $286M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SB?
The net profit margin of Safe Bulkers, Inc is about 18.7%, meaning it keeps roughly 18.7% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Safe Bulkers, Inc pay a dividend?
Safe Bulkers, Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.13% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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