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Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Sumitomo Bakelite Company $24.05, price $16.80, upside +43.1%, quality 60 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
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Basic Materials · US

SB Sumitomo Bakelite Company logo Broad data Sep 24, 2026

Sumitomo Bakelite Company

SBCLY · US

UndervaluedThe stock appears undervalued with acceptable quality.

✓Fair value $24.05 · Undervalued (+43.1%)
✓Quality 60/100
✓Healthy Growth (revenue 3y +3.9 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
✓0.8% dividend yield · Well covered
✓Ranks above peers (13/14)
!Moderate moat 50/100
!Weak on dividend: 16 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$16.82 $10.69 Fair Value $24.05 Apr 2026 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

5‑month range $10.69 – $16.82 · fair‑value band $18.10 – $31.26 · the $16.80 price screens below the $24.05 fair value. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Sumitomo Bakelite Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of semiconductor materials, plastic products, and life products in Japan and internationally. It operates through Semiconductor Related Materials, High Performance Plastic, and Quality of Life Related Products segments.

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Sumitomo Bakelite Company Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the research and development, manufacture, and sale of semiconductor materials, plastic products, and life products in Japan and internationally. It operates through Semiconductor Related Materials, High Performance Plastic, and Quality of Life Related Products segments. The company offers epoxy resin molding materials for semiconductor encapsulation, liquid resin for photosensitive wafer coating, liquid resin for semiconductors, and semiconductor substrate materials. It also provides medical equipment and pharmaceuticals, melamine resin decorative panels and sheets, vinyl resin sheets and composite sheets, freshness-preserving films, polycarbonate resin panels, and polyvinyl chloride resin panels, as well as waterproofing design and construction contracting, and bio-related products. In addition, the company offers phenolic molding compounds, phenolic resins for industrial use, molded parts, synthetic resin adhesives, phenolic resin copper-clad laminates, epoxy resin copper-clad laminates, and aircraft interior components. Further, it provides mobility, and Internet of Things solutions. Additionally, the company offers P-Plus, a freshness preserving films; and SUMILITE CEL, medical device packaging materials. It serves automotive/railways/aircraft, electrical and electronic equipment, construction/residence, industrial material, medical institution/laboratory, agriculture, and functional packaging sectors, as well as interior decoration for stores. Sumitomo Bakelite Company Limited was incorporated in 1932 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Stock analysis

Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY) currently trades at $16.80, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $24.05, implying the stock looks roughly 30.1% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Earnings-Based group reads highest at a median of $36.28 per share, and 10 of the 12 models we run sit above the $16.80 price.

Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $7.20, and 2 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Scenario range: $18.10 (bear) to $31.26 (bull), the price of $16.80 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 60/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Healthy Growth: Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.

Sumitomo Bakelite Company reported revenue of ¥320B in FY2026 versus ¥263B in FY2022, a compound +5.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥28.0B in FY2026, compounding +11.2%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap $1.5B · P/E ratio 8.4 · P/S ratio 0.74 · EPS (TTM) $2.00 · Dividend yield 0.8% · Net margin 8.8% · Return on equity 8.8% · Return on assets (EBIT) 6.5%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 50 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at 43%, SBCLY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $18.10 Fair Value $24.05 Bull $31.26
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $21.81 $26.26 $31.64 77
Owner Earnings $26.41 $33.22 $41.87 75
Residual Income $20.05 $20.97 $23.02 73
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $26.41 $33.22 $41.87 75
5Y P/E Exit $24.21 $33.03 $41.96 69
10Y P/E Exit $22.97 $29.76 $37.56 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $13.88 $36.28 $47.33 62
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $4.96 $8.74 $12.31 65
DDM Multi-Stage $4.96 $7.20 $9.28 64
Multiples
P/E Multiple $19.90 $26.53 $33.16 63
P/B Multiple $26.02 $34.69 $43.37 55
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $12.65 $16.95 $25.29 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $21.81 $26.26 $31.64 77
Rev-Margin DCF $26.95 $38.01 $50.10 70
Economic Profit
Residual Income $20.05 $20.97 $23.02 73

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 60/100

Of which business quality 62 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 60

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 42
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 42
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 96
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 63
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 39
Calm price path (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 90
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 62/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Revenue growth 1 year
+5.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+11.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+10.4%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.8%
Profit margin 2022 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10% → 11%

Growth Forecast

Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and less than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−8.1%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+7.2%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −10.0% a year for the price and +5.0% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2027 (sales)+11.2%
Forecast 2028 (sales)+7.2%
Projected 2029 (sales)+6.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+5.9%
Projected 2031 (sales)+5.3%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 707 stocks

Beats the industry median on 13/14 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 62 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +43.1% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8.8% · Above median
Return on assets 4.7% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 9.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14.9% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 11.3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.8% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.02× · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.4× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.66× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM) 0.68× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 11.8× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 2.0× · Cheapest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)91 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)57 · sector 29
PAST (return on equity)35 · sector 24
HEALTH (low debt)99 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)16 · sector 29

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Linde plc LIN $469.89 $441.72 −6%
The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW $329.10 $151.68 −54%
Ecolab Inc ECL $279.49 $96.56 −65%
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $281.76 $121.30 −57%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 238.00 TWD 234.23 TWD −2%
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 3,447 CHF 1,527 −56%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥69.45 ¥68.03 −2%
DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR CHF 92.30 CHF 29.70 −68%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,444 ₹1,479 −39%
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $107.52 $76.98 −28%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sumitomo Bakelite Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SBCLY

Frequently asked questions

Is Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $24.05 versus a price of $16.80, about +43% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SBCLY?
Our model-based fair value for Sumitomo Bakelite Company is $24.05 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $16.80.
What is the quality score of SBCLY?
Sumitomo Bakelite Company has a Quality Score of 60/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $24.05 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $18.10, optimistic scenario $31.26. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sumitomo Bakelite Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $24.05, about +43% upside versus a price of $16.80 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $18.10, optimistic scenario $31.26. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY)?
Sumitomo Bakelite Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥337B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Sumitomo Bakelite Company pay a dividend?
Sumitomo Bakelite Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.80% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sumitomo Bakelite Company would have to grow free cash flow by -8.1 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.6 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 4 years revenue grew +5.0 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SBCLY use?
Our models discount Sumitomo Bakelite Company at 10.6 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.78, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sumitomo Bakelite Company that is -8.1 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.6 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY) delivered so far?
Over the past 4 years revenue at Sumitomo Bakelite Company grew +5.0 % a year. The price currently implies -8.1 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +2.4 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sumitomo Bakelite Company (-8.1 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 8.46 %: that much free cash flow Sumitomo Bakelite Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.6 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sumitomo Bakelite Company it is $24.05 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $16.80. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sumitomo Bakelite Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SBCLY trades below its calculated fair value: price $16.80, fair value $24.05, a gap of about +43% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SBCLY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($16.80); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($24.05). For Sumitomo Bakelite Company the two are $7.25 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sumitomo Bakelite Company worth?
The market values Sumitomo Bakelite Company at about $1.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $16.80; our models calculate a fair value of $24.05 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SBCLY?
Our models span a range for Sumitomo Bakelite Company: cautious scenario $18.10, base $24.05, optimistic $31.26 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $16.80). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SBCLY?
Sumitomo Bakelite Company trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 8.4 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $24.05 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.7, P/S 0.7, EV/EBITDA 2.0.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sumitomo Bakelite Company (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.8%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 60/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
Which stocks are comparable to Sumitomo Bakelite Company?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sumitomo Bakelite Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $16.80, calculated fair value $24.05 (+43%), Quality Score 60/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SBCLY calculated?
We run Sumitomo Bakelite Company through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $24.05, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.9 % above its aggregate fair value. Sumitomo Bakelite Company currently trades 30 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $16.80. Our model-based fair value is $24.05, about +43% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sumitomo Bakelite Company right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($18.10). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (60/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Sumitomo Bakelite Company

How large is the market capitalisation of Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY)?
The market capitalisation of Sumitomo Bakelite Company is $1.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sumitomo Bakelite Company is 0.74 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY)?
Earnings per share at Sumitomo Bakelite Company are $2.00 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 8.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY)?
The dividend yield of Sumitomo Bakelite Company is 0.8% (payout 6.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY)?
The net margin of Sumitomo Bakelite Company is 8.8% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sumitomo Bakelite Company is 8.8% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sumitomo Bakelite Company is 6.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY)?
The operating margin of Sumitomo Bakelite Company is 14.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY)?
Revenue at Sumitomo Bakelite Company is growing +11.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sumitomo Bakelite Company (SBCLY)?
Earnings per share at Sumitomo Bakelite Company are growing +32.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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