Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Star Bulk Carriers Corp stock $29.40, price $26.73, upside +10.0%, quality 53 out of 100. Rating: fairly valued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $9.93 – $32.48 · fair‑value band $29.40 – $36.76 · the $26.73 price screens below the $29.40 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Star Bulk Carriers Corp., a shipping company, engages in the ocean transportation of dry bulk cargoes through the ownership and operation of dry bulk carrier vessels worldwide.
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Its vessels transport a range of bulk commodities, including iron ores, minerals and grains, bauxite, fertilizers, and steel products.
As of December 31, 2025, the company owned a fleet of 136 dry bulk vessels consisting of Newcastlemax, Capesize, Post Panamax, Kamsarmax, Panamax, Ultramax, and Supramax vessels with carrying capacities between 55,569 deadweight tonnage and 209,537 deadweight tonnage.
Star Bulk Carriers Corp. was incorporated in 2006 and is based in Marousi, Greece.
Stock analysis
Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK) currently trades at $26.73, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $29.40, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 9.1%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $36.68 per share, and 8 of the 26 models we run sit above the $26.73 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $5.10, and 18 of the 26 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $29.40 (bear) to $36.76 (bull), the price of $26.73 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Star Bulk Carriers Corp reported revenue of $1.0B in FY2025 versus $1.4B in FY2021, a compound −7.6%/yr. Reported net income was $84.2M in FY2025, compounding −40.7%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $3.1B Mid · P/E ratio 10.5 · P/S ratio 2.58 · EPS (TTM) $2.55 · Dividend yield 7.0% · Net margin 23.9% · Return on equity 11.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.7% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 64 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 18% below its 52-week high and 58% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 13% fair-value upside, at 10%, SBLK screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$29.40Fair Value $29.40Bull$36.76
Price $26.73 · Upside +10.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.5727 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
In the last 6 months, 8 officers or directors bought shares worth $4.8M, most recently on Oct 13, 2026. Over the same period, 7 people sold shares worth $6.0M. Buying cluster
SaleRaffaele ZagariDirector2× since Aug 25, 2026: 57,580 shares, avg. $31.04$1.8MOct 13, 2026
SaleKoert ErhardtDirector6,000 shares at $30.39$182,340Oct 5, 2026
SaleEleni VrettouDirector3,500 shares at $32.12$112,420Sep 21, 2026
SaleMahesh BalakrishnanDirector10,000 shares at $32.34$323,400Sep 18, 2026
BuyNikolaos ReskosChief Operating Officer10,000 shares at $28.27$282,700Sep 15, 2026
BuyCharis PlakantonakiChief Strategy Officer3,000 shares at $28.27$84,810Sep 15, 2026
BuyAlexandros PappasHead of Operations74,400 shares at $28.27$2.1MSep 15, 2026
BuyMilena Maria PappaDirector74,400 shares at $28.27$2.1MSep 15, 2026
BuyKoert ErhardtDirector6,000 shares at $28.27$169,620Sep 15, 2026
Plus 6 more entries from the last 12 months.
Plus 16 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
−17.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−10.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+8.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +16.1% a year
Revenue growth 18 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.9%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−19.5%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−26.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.12% → 14%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 2.7%/yr over ~10Y (margin trend unclear) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+5.0%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−4.3%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +2.5% a year for the price and −6.5% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Hype
Recent news coverage is unusually upbeat, far more positive than stocks are typically covered.
AI conclusion: The business benefits from retaining full commercial and technical management in vessel partnerships that spread capital risk, yet it faces a weak durable moat typical of commodity marine shipping together with low returns on equity and high debt.
Main risk: High debt relative to equity in a market-driven revenue environment would constrain the company's ability to sustain fleet investments and operating efficiencies.
Star Bulk's new partnership lets a partner take 35 percent stakes in two fresh Kamsarmax vessels while the company keeps full commercial and technical management plus the majority share. This approach spreads some capital risk on newbuilds yet preserves the ability to capture operating efficiencies and fees across the wider fleet. Our models view the stock as undervalued, but does the structure mainly unlock balance sheet flexibility or does it signal caution about freight rate durability going forward?
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Marine Shipping · 220 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score53 · Below median
Fair Value upside+10.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)11.7% · Above median
Return on assets2.2% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)23.9% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)39.7% · Top 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)44.5% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)7.0% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.34× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Marine Shipping median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)10.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B1.27× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months)2.58× · Pricier than median
Price / free cash flow (fiscal year)14.8× · Pricier than median
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Is Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $29.40 versus a price of $26.73, about +10% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SBLK?
Our model-based fair value for Star Bulk Carriers Corp is $29.40 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $26.73.
What is the quality score of SBLK?
Star Bulk Carriers Corp has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $29.40 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $29.40, optimistic scenario $36.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Star Bulk Carriers Corp stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $29.40, about +10% upside versus a price of $26.73 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $29.40, optimistic scenario $36.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK)?
Star Bulk Carriers Corp reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.2B (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Star Bulk Carriers Corp pay a dividend?
Star Bulk Carriers Corp currently shows a dividend yield of 7.03% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Star Bulk Carriers Corp pays a dividend of $1.88 per share a year, a dividend yield of 7.0%. The last ex-dividend date was Aug 21, 2026. A dividend has been paid every year since 2019. The payout ratio is 73.7% of earnings. Free cash flow covers the dividend 0.96 times. Our assessment: Sustainable. Payout and cash coverage both look sustainable.
What growth is priced into Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Star Bulk Carriers Corp would have to grow free cash flow by +5.0 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.2 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +8.5 % per year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SBLK use?
Our models discount Star Bulk Carriers Corp at 9.2 %: a base by market capitalisation (mid), damped by beta 0.76, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Star Bulk Carriers Corp that is +5.0 % per year for five years, then slowing evenly to 2 % by year ten, using the same discount rate (9.2 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Star Bulk Carriers Corp grew +8.5 % a year. The price currently implies free-cash-flow growth of +5.0 % per year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Star Bulk Carriers Corp (+5.0 % per year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 7.04 %: that much free cash flow Star Bulk Carriers Corp produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.2 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Star Bulk Carriers Corp it is $29.40 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $26.73. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models in 8 families (DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings).
Is Star Bulk Carriers Corp stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, SBLK trades below its calculated fair value: price $26.73, fair value $29.40, a gap of about +10% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SBLK?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($26.73); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($29.40). For Star Bulk Carriers Corp the two are $2.67 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Star Bulk Carriers Corp worth?
The market values Star Bulk Carriers Corp at about $3.1B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $26.73; our models calculate a fair value of $29.40 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SBLK?
Our models span a range for Star Bulk Carriers Corp: cautious scenario $29.40, base $29.40, optimistic $36.76 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $26.73). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SBLK?
Star Bulk Carriers Corp trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.5 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $29.40 is built from several models across several years. Median P/E at fiscal year-end, 7 fiscal years (2018 to 2025), reported earnings, FY2018, FY2023 ex one-offs: 9.3. Other multiples: PEG 2.0, P/B 1.3, P/S 2.6, EV/EBITDA 6.9.
What is the PEG ratio of SBLK?
The PEG ratio of Star Bulk Carriers Corp is 1.95 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK)?
Balance-sheet figures for Star Bulk Carriers Corp (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 11.7%, debt of 0.34 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 53/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SBLK from its 52-week high?
Star Bulk Carriers Corp trades at $26.73, about 18% below its 52-week high of $32.48 and 58% above the low of $16.92 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $29.40 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Star Bulk Carriers Corp?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value Adani Ports and Special Economic Zone Limited, COSCO SHIPPING Holdings, Hapag-Lloyd Aktiengesellschaft,, Shanghai International Port (Group) Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Star Bulk Carriers Corp stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $26.73, calculated fair value $29.40 (+10%), Quality Score 53/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SBLK calculated?
We run Star Bulk Carriers Corp through 26 models from 8 families: DCF Models, Earnings-Based, Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Growth DCF, Economic Profit, Growth Earnings. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $29.40 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0% above its aggregate fair value. Star Bulk Carriers Corp currently trades 9% below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $26.73. Our model-based fair value is $29.40, about +10% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Star Bulk Carriers Corp right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($29.40). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
Key figures of Star Bulk Carriers Corp
How large is the market capitalisation of Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK)?
The market capitalisation of Star Bulk Carriers Corp is $3.1B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Star Bulk Carriers Corp is 2.58 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK)?
Earnings per share at Star Bulk Carriers Corp are $2.55 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.5). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK)?
The dividend yield of Star Bulk Carriers Corp is 7.0% (payout 73.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK)?
The net margin of Star Bulk Carriers Corp is 23.9% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Star Bulk Carriers Corp is 11.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Star Bulk Carriers Corp is 11.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK)?
The operating margin of Star Bulk Carriers Corp is 39.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK)?
Revenue at Star Bulk Carriers Corp is growing +44.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg −10.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much net debt does Star Bulk Carriers Corp (SBLK) carry?
The net debt of Star Bulk Carriers Corp is $572M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 2.7 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Nov 8, 2026