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Stepan Company (SCL) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Stepan Company $32.56, price $64.87, upside -49.8%, quality 55 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Basic Materials · US · ISIN US8585861003

SC Stepan Company logo Some data Sep 23, 2026

Stepan Company

SCL · US

Stretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.

!Fair value $32.56 · Strongly overvalued (−50%)
!Quality 55/100
!Weak Growth (revenue 5y +4.5 %/yr)
!Loss over the last twelve months · -0.6% net margin (TTM) · fiscal year 2025 2.0%
✓Low debt · generates free cash flow
·2.40% dividend yield
!Trails peers (5/14)
!Narrow moat 29/100
!Insider activity 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 10 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$116.74 $41.31 Fair Value $32.56 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $41.31 – $116.74 · fair‑value band $16.47 – $48.83 · the $64.87 price screens above the $32.56 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.

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Company profile

Stepan Company, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells specialty and intermediate chemicals to other manufacturers for use in various end products in the United States, France, Poland, the United Kingdom, Brazil, Mexico, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Surfactants, Polymers, and Specialty Products.

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Stepan Company, together with its subsidiaries, produces and sells specialty and intermediate chemicals to other manufacturers for use in various end products in the United States, France, Poland, the United Kingdom, Brazil, Mexico, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Surfactants, Polymers, and Specialty Products. The Surfactants segment offers surfactants that are used in consumer and industrial cleaning and disinfection products, including detergents for washing clothes, dishes, carpets, and floors and walls, as well as shampoos and body washes; and other applications, such as fabric softeners, germicidal quaternary compounds, disinfectants, lubricating ingredients; emulsifiers for spreading agricultural products; and industrial applications comprising latex systems, plastics, and composites. The Polymers segment provides polyurethane polyols that are used in the manufacture of rigid foam for thermal insulation in the construction industry, as well as a base raw material for coatings, adhesives, sealants, and elastomers (CASE); polyester resins used in coating applications; specialty polyols, such as CASE and powdered polyester resins; and phthalic anhydride that is used in unsaturated polyester resins, alkyd resins, and plasticizers for applications in construction materials, as well as components of automotive, boating, and other consumer products. The Specialty Products segment offers flavors, emulsifiers, and solubilizers for use in food, flavoring, nutritional supplement, and pharmaceutical applications. Stepan Company was founded in 1932 and is headquartered in Northbrook, Illinois.

Stock analysis

Stepan Company (SCL) currently trades at $64.87, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $32.56, implying the stock looks roughly 99.2% overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $36.70 per share, and 1 of the 25 models we run sit above the $64.87 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $13.39, and 24 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $16.47 (bear) to $48.83 (bull), the price of $64.87 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 55/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.

Stepan Company reported revenue of $2.3B in FY2025 versus $2.3B in FY2021, a compound −0.1%/yr. Reported net income was $46.9M in FY2025, compounding −23.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $1.5B · P/S ratio 0.52 · EPS (TTM) $−0.6200 · Dividend yield 2.4% · Net margin 2.0% · Return on equity −1.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.1% · Operating margin 2.6%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 57% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −40% fair-value upside, at −50%, SCL screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $16.47 Fair Value $32.56 Bull $48.83
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $9.42 $16.53 $25.59 79
Growth DCF $9.66 $16.02 $23.70 78
Owner Earnings $19.39 $30.33 $44.25 76
All 25 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $9.42 $16.53 $25.59 79
Owner Earnings $19.39 $30.33 $44.25 76
5Y Revenue Exit $13.86 $27.07 $43.59 70
5Y EBITDA Exit $31.83 $59.60 $91.33 73
5Y P/E Exit $12.07 $23.83 $35.73 69
10Y Revenue Exit $11.09 $21.88 $35.66 65
10Y EBITDA Exit $22.12 $42.16 $67.95 66
10Y P/E Exit $10.74 $19.86 $30.35 62
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $14.04 $36.90 $48.18 65
PEG = 1.0 $7.07 $10.10 $13.12 57
EPV $10.69 $13.39 $15.65 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $11.98 $21.26 $29.72 68
DDM Multi-Stage $11.98 $17.42 $22.46 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple $26.32 $35.10 $43.87 63
P/S Multiple $26.32 $35.10 $43.87 58
P/B Multiple $26.32 $35.10 $43.87 55
EV/EBIT $22.90 $33.60 $44.29 65
EV/EBITDA $55.36 $76.87 $98.38 67
EV/Revenue $18.63 $30.54 $42.45 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $27.39 $36.70 $54.77 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $9.66 $16.02 $23.70 78
Rev-Margin DCF $13.86 $27.16 $41.75 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income $38.55 $37.83 $31.79 76
ROIC Compounder $10.69 $13.39 $15.65 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $21.00 $30.00 $39.00 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 55/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 72

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 38
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 90
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 57
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 75
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 85
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 84
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.0%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.6%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.8% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.9%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−13.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−15.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−18% vs −5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.9% → 3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)

Growth Forecast

A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+40.4%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (USA: IMF forecast 2.4% a year to 2030, 3.1% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +37.1% a year for the price.

SCL screens 99% overvalued. Compare with Linde plc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 714 stocks

Beats the industry median on 5/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 55 · Above median
Fair Value upside −50% · Below median
Profitability
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) −1% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 3% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 2% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.4% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.27× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper

P/B 1.19× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.63× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 58.5× · Priciest 25%
EV/EBITDA 9.1× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.75× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)10 · sector 21
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 23
HEALTH (low debt)86 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)48 · sector 29

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

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Ecolab Inc ECL $276.22 $96.18 −65%
Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD $287.86 $122.14 −58%
Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 238.00 TWD 235.25 TWD −1%
Givaudan SA GIVN CHF 3,464 CHF 1,523 −56%
Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 ¥71.60 ¥68.03 −5%
Sika AG SIKA CHF 188.90 CHF 98.89 −48%
Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT ₹2,455 ₹1,479 −40%
PPG Industries, Inc PPG $107.77 $77.06 −28%

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Stepan Company Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SCL

Frequently asked questions

Is Stepan Company (SCL) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $32.56 versus a price of $64.87, about −50% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SCL?
Our model-based fair value for Stepan Company is $32.56 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $64.87.
What is the quality score of SCL?
Stepan Company has a Quality Score of 55/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Stepan Company (SCL)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $32.56 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario $16.47, optimistic scenario $48.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Stepan Company stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $32.56, about −50% upside versus a price of $64.87 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $16.47, optimistic scenario $48.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Stepan Company (SCL)?
Stepan Company reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $2.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Stepan Company pay a dividend?
Stepan Company currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.40% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Stepan Company (SCL)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Stepan Company would have to grow free cash flow by +40.4 % per year for five years (discount rate 11.1 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.5 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SCL use?
Our models discount Stepan Company at 11.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 0.97, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Stepan Company that is +40.4 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (11.1 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Stepan Company (SCL) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Stepan Company grew +4.5 % a year. The price currently implies +40.4 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Stepan Company (SCL) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.3 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Stepan Company (+40.4 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Stepan Company (SCL)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 1.71 %: that much free cash flow Stepan Company produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (11.1 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Stepan Company (SCL)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Stepan Company it is $32.56 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $64.87. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Stepan Company stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SCL trades above its calculated fair value: price $64.87, fair value $32.56, a gap of about −50% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SCL?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($64.87); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($32.56). For Stepan Company the two are $32.31 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Stepan Company worth?
The market values Stepan Company at about $1.5B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $64.87; our models calculate a fair value of $32.56 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SCL?
Our models span a range for Stepan Company: cautious scenario $16.47, base $32.56, optimistic $48.83 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $64.87). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of SCL?
The PEG ratio of Stepan Company is 1.75 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Stepan Company (SCL)?
Balance-sheet figures for Stepan Company (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −1.2%, debt of 0.27 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 55/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SCL from its 52-week high?
Stepan Company trades at $64.87, about 2% below its 52-week high of $66.21 and 57% above the low of $41.31 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $32.56 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Stepan Company?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Stepan Company stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $64.87, calculated fair value $32.56 (−50%), Quality Score 55/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SCL calculated?
We run Stepan Company through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $32.56, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Stepan Company itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Stepan Company (SCL)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $64.87. Our model-based fair value is $32.56, about −50% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Stepan Company right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($48.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The model range is unusually wide ($16.47 to $48.83). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (55/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Where does the earnings growth of Stepan Company (SCL) come from?
Earnings per share at Stepan Company grew −5.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +2.5 %, EBIT margin −8.1 %, tax rate +0.9 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.1 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.

Key figures of Stepan Company

How large is the market capitalisation of Stepan Company (SCL)?
The market capitalisation of Stepan Company is $1.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Stepan Company (SCL)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Stepan Company is 0.52 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Stepan Company (SCL)?
Earnings per share at Stepan Company are $−0.6200. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Stepan Company (SCL)?
The dividend yield of Stepan Company is 2.4%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Stepan Company (SCL)?
The net margin of Stepan Company is 2.0% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Stepan Company (SCL)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Stepan Company is −1.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Stepan Company (SCL)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Stepan Company is 5.1% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Stepan Company (SCL)?
The operating margin of Stepan Company is 2.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Stepan Company (SCL)?
Revenue at Stepan Company is growing +1.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −5.6%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Stepan Company (SCL)?
Earnings per share at Stepan Company are growing +49.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Stepan Company (SCL) carry?
The net debt of Stepan Company is $558M (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 22.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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