Speedy Hire PLC (SDY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Speedy Hire PLC £0.43, price £0.15, upside +190.2%, quality 38 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.1482 – £0.5468 · fair‑value band £0.2800 – £0.6100 · the £0.1482 price screens below the £0.4300 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Speedy Hire Plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides tools and equipment hire and services to the construction, infrastructure, and industrial markets in the United Kingdom and Ireland. The company operates through Hire and Services segments.
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Speedy Hire Plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides tools and equipment hire and services to the construction, infrastructure, and industrial markets in the United Kingdom and Ireland. The company operates through Hire and Services segments. The Hire segment offers small tools, access, power and battery storage, lifting, survey, powered access, and welding and plant machinery. The Services segment includes a range of re-hire solutions; management and sale of fuel and energy; training services; and product sales, as well as test, inspection, and certification services. The company offers services and equipment to building and site works that consist of concrete and compaction, fencing and decking, road works, site equipment, and surface preparation; heating, drying, and colling; landscaping, cleaning, and decorating equipment; lifting and handling products, such as general tackle and accessories, jacks and cylinders, lifting and hoisting, materials handling, and load measurement; pipework and engineering products; and bowsers and tanks, and plants. It also provides compressors, electrical distribution, generators, lighting, and pumps; cutting, grinding and chasing, drilling and breaking, fixing, and sanding and woodworking; and rail, survey, safety, comms, and ATEX, waste management, and working at height tools and equipment. In addition, the company offers various solutions for the fuel, HVO fuel, and nuclear power sectors, as well as welding and industrial equipment, aviation, advisory/technical, and power access specialist; and out-of-hours, service centers, and training services. It operates its business through omni-channels, in-store drop-ship vendors, and strategic joint ventures, as well as digital and online platforms. Speedy Hire Plc was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Newton-le-Willows, the United Kingdom.
Stock analysis
Speedy Hire PLC (SDY) currently trades at £0.1482, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.4300, implying the stock looks roughly 65.5% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £0.4200 per share, and 11 of the 12 models we run sit above the £0.1482 price.
Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at £0.0700, and 1 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: £0.2800 (bear) to £0.6100 (bull), the price of £0.1482 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 38/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Speedy Hire PLC reported revenue of 416M GBX in FY2026 versus 387M GBX in FY2022, a compound +1.8%/yr. Reported net income was −26.6M GBX in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap 89.0M GBX · P/S ratio 0.21 · EPS (TTM) £−0.0600 · Dividend yield 6.7% · Net margin −6.4% · Return on equity −18.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9% · Operating margin −3.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 46 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −13% fair-value upside, at 190%, SDY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear £0.2800Fair Value £0.4300Bull £0.6100
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.34/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−0.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−1.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.4% a year
Revenue growth 40 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.8%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
7.1% (2021) → 1.8% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+9.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+6.5%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (UK: IMF forecast 2.3% a year to 2030, 3.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +7.0% a year for the price and +4.1% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Rental & Leasing Services · 95 stocks
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Speedy Hire PLC Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SDY
Frequently asked questions
Is Speedy Hire PLC (SDY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of £0.4300 versus a price of £0.1482, about +190% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SDY?
Our model-based fair value for Speedy Hire PLC is £0.4300 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: £0.1482.
What is the quality score of SDY?
Speedy Hire PLC has a Quality Score of 38/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Speedy Hire PLC (SDY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of £0.4300 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 13 valuation models. Cautious scenario £0.2800, optimistic scenario £0.6100. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Speedy Hire PLC stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at £0.4300, about +190% upside versus a price of £0.1482 (undervalued). Cautious scenario £0.2800, optimistic scenario £0.6100. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Speedy Hire PLC (SDY)?
Speedy Hire PLC reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about £416M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Speedy Hire PLC pay a dividend?
Speedy Hire PLC currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.75% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Speedy Hire PLC (SDY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Speedy Hire PLC would have to grow free cash flow by +9.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +4.6 % per year. As of Sep 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SDY use?
Our models discount Speedy Hire PLC at 12.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (micro), damped by beta 0.71, country premium for United Kingdom. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Speedy Hire PLC that is +9.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Speedy Hire PLC (SDY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Speedy Hire PLC grew +4.6 % a year. The price currently implies +9.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Speedy Hire PLC (SDY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +4.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Speedy Hire PLC (+9.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Speedy Hire PLC (SDY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 16.97 %: that much free cash flow Speedy Hire PLC produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Speedy Hire PLC (SDY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Speedy Hire PLC it is £0.4300 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of £0.1482. It is the blended result of 13 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Speedy Hire PLC stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SDY trades below its calculated fair value: price £0.1482, fair value £0.4300, a gap of about +190% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SDY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (£0.1482); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (£0.4300). For Speedy Hire PLC the two are £0.2818 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Speedy Hire PLC worth?
The market values Speedy Hire PLC at about 89.0M GBX (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is £0.1482; our models calculate a fair value of £0.4300 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SDY?
Our models span a range for Speedy Hire PLC: cautious scenario £0.2800, base £0.4300, optimistic £0.6100 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price £0.1482). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of Speedy Hire PLC (SDY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Speedy Hire PLC (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity −18.3%, debt of 0.88 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 38/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SDY from its 52-week high?
Speedy Hire PLC trades at £0.1482, about 49% below its 52-week high of £0.2895 and at the low of £0.1482 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of £0.4300 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Speedy Hire PLC?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Rentals, Inc, Sunbelt Rentals Holdings, AerCap Holdings, U-Haul Holding, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Speedy Hire PLC stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price £0.1482, calculated fair value £0.4300 (+190%), Quality Score 38/100, from 13 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SDY calculated?
We run Speedy Hire PLC through 13 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of £0.4300, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Speedy Hire PLC currently trades 190 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Speedy Hire PLC (SDY)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was £0.1482. Our model-based fair value is £0.4300, about +190% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Speedy Hire PLC right now?
The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (38/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain. The price is below even our cautious bear case (£0.2800). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range (£0.2800 to £0.6100) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Key figures of Speedy Hire PLC
How large is the market capitalisation of Speedy Hire PLC (SDY)?
The market capitalisation of Speedy Hire PLC is 89.0M GBX. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Speedy Hire PLC (SDY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Speedy Hire PLC is 0.21 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Speedy Hire PLC (SDY)?
Earnings per share at Speedy Hire PLC are £−0.0600. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Speedy Hire PLC (SDY)?
The dividend yield of Speedy Hire PLC is 6.7%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Speedy Hire PLC (SDY)?
The net margin of Speedy Hire PLC is −6.4% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Speedy Hire PLC (SDY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Speedy Hire PLC is −18.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Speedy Hire PLC (SDY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Speedy Hire PLC is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Speedy Hire PLC (SDY)?
The operating margin of Speedy Hire PLC is −3.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Speedy Hire PLC (SDY)?
Revenue at Speedy Hire PLC is growing −1.0% versus a year earlier (3y avg −1.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Speedy Hire PLC (SDY)?
Earnings per share at Speedy Hire PLC are growing −56.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Speedy Hire PLC (SDY) carry?
The net debt of Speedy Hire PLC is 273M GBX (fiscal year 2026, ≈ 23.6 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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