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SeaChange International, Inc (SEAC) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $8.4M

SI SeaChange International, Inc logo SeaChange International, Inc SEAC · US
Price$3.30
Fair Value$9.16
Upside+177.6%
Quality50/100
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Weak Growth
Loss-making · -27.8% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (4/11)
Narrow moat 14/100
Evidence: Low Range $6.04 – $11.45 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 25, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Share price −7.0% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 178% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($6.04). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • Solid quality (50/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range ($6.04 to $11.45) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$42.00 $1.50 Fair Value $9.16 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.50 – $42.00 · fair‑value band $6.04 – $11.45 · the $3.30 price screens below the $9.16 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 25, 2026.

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Analysis

SeaChange International, Inc (SEAC) currently trades at $3.30, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $9.16, implying the stock looks roughly 177.6% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 50/100 (solid quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, SeaChange International, Inc generated revenue of $32.8M at a net margin of -27.8%. Revenue grew 4.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -26.1%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $12.0M. Fundamentals as of Jul 25, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $6.04 (bear case) to $11.45 (bull case); at $3.30, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 56% below its 52-week high and 89% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 178%, SEAC screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) $6.04 $8.09 $12.08 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $6.04 $8.09 $12.08 50

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $32.8M
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.0%
Net margin -27.8%
Return on equity -26.1%
Free cash flow −$2.1M FY2023
Operating margin -9.5%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-3.77
Net cash $12.0M FY2023

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 25, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 50/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 27

Profitability 28
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 73
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 75
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 100
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 27
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 34
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 50
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SeaChange International, Inc. offers video delivery, advertising, streaming platforms, and emerging Free Ad-Supported Streaming TV (FAST) products and services that facilitate the aggregation, licensing, management and distribution of video and advertising content worldwide.

Full company description

SeaChange International, Inc. offers video delivery, advertising, streaming platforms, and emerging Free Ad-Supported Streaming TV (FAST) products and services that facilitate the aggregation, licensing, management and distribution of video and advertising content worldwide. It provides Operator TV Platform solutions including customer's current network with OTT video management solutions in a single deployment, digital video broadcasting - cable / quadrature amplitude modulation networks with OTT streaming, and immersive multiscreen experience and on demand services, as well as pre-integrated solutions, such as multi-content delivery networks including Broadpeak, Edgeware and HBO, multi"digital rights management, and seamless integration with existing network components. The company also offers StreamVid, a cloud-based OTT video platform for operators and content owners that enables streaming services, including content ingestion, workflow automation, user management, content protection, billing and entitlement, and user applications for various device platforms, such as mobile devices or Smart TVs; Advanced advertising, a unified ad tech solution to insert adverts into various video feeds, including broadcast, internet protocol television, and OTT; and Xstream" platform, a cloud-based content monetization platform that provides the range of capabilities, including generation and distribution of FAST channels, streaming enablement via content aggregation, and targeted insertion of advertisement from various demand sources. In addition, it provides professional, maintenance and technical support, as well as managed services. The company sells and markets its products and services through direct sales process, systems integrators and value-added resellers. It serves cable system operators, telecommunications companies, satellite operators, broadcasters and other content providers. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is headquartered in Boston, Massachusetts.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2019 – FY2023 · reported fiscal years

SeaChange International, Inc reported revenue of $32.5M in FY2023 versus $62.4M in FY2019, a compound −15.1%/yr. Reported net income was −$11.4M in FY2023.

Growth Quality 0/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2023)
$32.5M
Latest YoY
+19.0%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−21.5%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−16.5%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−1.6%
Revenue −15.1%/yr
FY19 $62.4M
FY20 $67.2M
FY21 $22.0M
FY22 $27.3M
FY23 $32.5M
Net income
FY19 −$38.0M
FY20 −$8.9M
FY21 −$21.8M
FY22 −$7.4M
FY23 −$11.4M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SeaChange International, Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SEAC

Peer Group

Software - Application · 709 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 49 · Below median
Fair Value upside +178% · Top 25%
Return on assets 1% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) -28% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -10% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 4% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.03× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.27× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 0.26× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 5.09× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 20 · sector 38
PAST 0 · sector 13
HEALTH 98 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 28

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

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Salesforce, Inc CRM $170.77 $182.10 +7%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $107.71 $33.12 -69%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $384.17 $80.41 -79%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $271.87 $34.04 -87%
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Frequently asked questions

Is SeaChange International, Inc (SEAC) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 25, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $9.16 versus a price of $3.30, about +178% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SEAC?
Our model-based fair value for SeaChange International, Inc is $9.16 (as of Jul 25, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $3.30.
What is the quality score of SEAC?
SeaChange International, Inc has a Quality Score of 50/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SeaChange International, Inc (SEAC)?
SeaChange International, Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $32.8M (latest available figure, as of Jul 25, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SEAC?
The net profit margin of SeaChange International, Inc is about -27.8%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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