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Sports Entertainment Group (SEG) Fair Value & Analysis

Communication Services · AU · Market cap A$103M

SE Sports Entertainment Group SEG · AU
PriceA$0.3050
Fair ValueA$0.8900
Upside+191.8%
Quality61/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -2.0% net margin
Low debt · generates free cash flow
5.48% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (8/14)
Narrow moat 31/100
Evidence: High Range A$0.5600 – A$1.44 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Aug 13, 2026, revised from A$0.9200 to A$0.8900 (−3.3%) since Jul 16, 2026. Share price −16.4% over the past month.

A solid business, screening 192% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.5600). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (61/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (A$0.5600 to A$1.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

A$0.3700 A$0.1450 Fair Value A$0.8900 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range A$0.1450 – A$0.3700 · fair‑value band A$0.5600 – A$1.44 · the A$0.3050 price screens below the A$0.8900 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sports Entertainment Group (SEG) currently trades at A$0.3050, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.8900, implying the stock looks roughly 191.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Sports Entertainment Group generated revenue of A$126M at a net margin of -2.0%. Revenue grew 28.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.8%. Net debt stands at A$16.9M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from A$0.5600 (bear case) to A$1.44 (bull case); at A$0.3050, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 64% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 20% fair-value upside, at 192%, SEG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF A$0.1800 A$0.2900 A$0.4400 80
Residual Income A$0.4300 A$0.6000 A$3.18 76
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.3400 A$0.6500 A$1.07 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF A$0.1900 A$0.3200 A$0.5200 38
Owner Earnings A$0.9800 A$1.67 A$2.72 31
5Y Revenue Exit A$0.3400 A$0.6600 A$1.12 39
5Y EBITDA Exit A$0.4700 A$0.9400 A$1.56 41
5Y P/E Exit A$0.8200 A$1.70 A$2.75 38
10Y Revenue Exit A$0.2600 A$0.5200 A$0.9500 36
10Y EBITDA Exit A$0.3500 A$0.6900 A$1.27 37
10Y P/E Exit A$0.5500 A$1.18 A$2.16 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd A$0.5600 A$2.97 A$4.12 54
Lynch FV A$0.8200 A$1.17 A$1.52 50
PEG = 1.0 A$0.8200 A$1.17 A$1.52 46
EPV A$0.3200 A$0.3600 A$0.3900 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple A$1.35 A$1.80 A$2.25 63
P/S Multiple A$1.03 A$1.37 A$1.72 58
P/B Multiple A$0.6900 A$0.9200 A$1.15 55
EV/EBIT A$0.5900 A$0.7900 A$0.9900 53
EV/EBITDA A$0.7100 A$0.9500 A$1.19 54
EV/Revenue A$0.4500 A$0.6400 A$0.8400 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) A$0.1300 A$0.1800 A$0.2600 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF A$0.1800 A$0.2900 A$0.4400 80
Rev-Margin DCF A$0.3400 A$0.6500 A$1.07 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income A$0.4300 A$0.6000 A$3.18 76
ROIC Compounder A$0.3400 A$0.4200 A$0.5300 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E A$1.24 A$1.77 A$2.30 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (A$1.77) versus Asset-Based (A$0.1800). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) A$126M
Revenue growth (YoY) +28.0%
Net margin -2.0%
Return on equity -1.8%
Free cash flow A$5.4M FY2025
Operating margin 9.1%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) A$-0.0100
Dividend yield 5.5%
EPS growth (YoY) -87.7%
Net debt A$16.9M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 61/100

Of which business quality 61 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58

Profitability 83
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 67
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 29
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 55
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 62
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 60
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 59
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sports Entertainment Group Limited engages in sports media content and entertainment business in Australia. The company operates through Media, Complementary Services, and Sports Teams segments. It also operates various live sports channels, TV shows, and podcasts.

Full company description

Sports Entertainment Group Limited engages in sports media content and entertainment business in Australia. The company operates through Media, Complementary Services, and Sports Teams segments. It also operates various live sports channels, TV shows, and podcasts. The company operates various radio stations, such as SEN 1116, SEN 1170, SEN 1629, SEN WA, SENQ 693, SENZ, SEN App, SENTrack, and SEN Spirit. In addition, the company publishes magazines and newspapers; sells tickets, and sports teams branded merchandise and apparel; and provides hospitality, talent management commissions, creative agency, sponsorship, membership, and ticketing services, as well as engages in the commercial production for advertisers and the sale of programming, and the provision of services related to production of TV programming. It serves brand stories to national, metropolitan, and regional audiences through various platforms, such as radio, print, television, online, in-stadium, and events. The company was formerly known as Pacific Star Network Limited and changed its name to Sports Entertainment Group Limited in November 2020. Sports Entertainment Group Limited was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Southbank, Australia.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sports Entertainment Group reported revenue of A$110M in FY2025 versus A$70.0M in FY2021, a compound +12.0%/yr. Reported net income was A$23.0M in FY2025, compounding +83.1%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 62/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
A$110M
Latest YoY
+2.2%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.7%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.1%
Avg. growth/yr (24Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+15.9%
Revenue +12.0%/yr
FY21 A$70.0M
FY22 A$108M
FY23 A$117M
FY24 A$108M
FY25 A$110M
Net income +83.1%/yr
FY21 A$2.0M
FY22 A$3.2M
FY23 −A$9.3M
FY24 A$3.1M
FY25 A$23.0M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +11.8 % p.a.
Revenue per share +2.5 pp

of which total revenue +19.9 pp · buybacks/dilution −17.4 pp

EBIT margin −2.3 pp
Tax rate +3.8 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +7.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sports Entertainment Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SEG

Peer Group

Broadcasting · 67 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 61 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside +192% · Top 25%
Return on assets 4% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) -2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Above median
Revenue growth 28% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 5.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.21× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Broadcasting median · lower = cheaper

P/B 0.98× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.57× · Pricier than median
P/FCF 13.5× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 4.9× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.16× · Cheaper than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 32
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 3
HEALTH 90 · sector 96
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 47

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Broadcasting stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Nexstar Media Group NXST $185.14 $151.97 -18%
SES S.A SESG €5.43 €18.90 +248%
PT Elang Mahkota Teknologi Tbk, through its subsidiaries, EMTK 500.00 IDR 1,094 IDR +119%
MFE-Mediaforeurope N.V MFEB €3.62 €5.38 +49%
Jiangsu Broadcasting Cable Information Network Corporation 600959 ¥3.10 ¥1.14 -63%
Sun TV Network Limited SUNTV ₹487.90 ₹586.58 +20%
MBC Group 4072 20.43 SAR 19.24 SAR -6%
Métropole Télévision S.A MMT €12.04 €15.96 +33%
Beijing Gehua Catv Network Co 600037 ¥7.15 ¥3.64 -49%
PT Surya Citra Media Tbk, SCMA 200.00 IDR 198.19 IDR -1%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sports Entertainment Group (SEG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of A$0.8900 versus a price of A$0.3050, about +192% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SEG?
Our model-based fair value for Sports Entertainment Group is A$0.8900 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is A$0.3050.
What is the quality score of SEG?
Sports Entertainment Group has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sports Entertainment Group (SEG)?
Sports Entertainment Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about A$126M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SEG?
The net profit margin of Sports Entertainment Group is about -2.0%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sports Entertainment Group pay a dividend?
Sports Entertainment Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 6.25% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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