SENCO GOLD LTD (SENCO) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · IN · Market cap ₹53.4B
Fair value as of: Aug 16, 2026
From 17 valuation models · updated 2 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 16, 2026, revised from ₹635.67 to ₹595.92 (−6.3%) since Aug 8, 2026. Share price −6.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 74% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹390.77). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (45/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range (₹390.77 to ₹981.02) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (3 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.
How to read this chart
37‑month range ₹180.77 – ₹6,958 · fair‑value band ₹390.77 – ₹981.02 · the ₹341.55 price screens below the ₹595.92 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 16, 2026.
Analysis
SENCO GOLD LTD (SENCO) currently trades at ₹341.55, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹595.92, implying the stock looks roughly 74.5% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, SENCO GOLD LTD generated revenue of ₹84.3B at a net margin of 6.8%. Revenue grew 51.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 25.6%. Net debt stands at ₹21.8B. Fundamentals as of Aug 16, 2026
Our scenario range runs from ₹390.77 (bear case) to ₹981.02 (bull case); at ₹341.55, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Analysts expect earnings well below the last reported figure (earnings in transition, for example expiring patents or contracts); a fair value that looks fair on trailing earnings may then be too optimistic. The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and 24% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -6% fair-value upside, at 74%, SENCO screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 17 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (₹1,330) versus Dividend Discount (₹25.30). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
Notify me when SENCO reaches fair value
Free. You confirm by email (double opt-in) and can unsubscribe anytime in one click.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 16, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 51
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Senco Gold Limited engages in the manufacture and trading of jewelry and articles made of gold, silver, platinum, and other precious and semi-precious stones in India. It also manufactures diamond jewelry. In addition, the company provides costume jewelry, gold and silver coins, and silver kitchenware.
Full company description
Senco Gold Limited engages in the manufacture and trading of jewelry and articles made of gold, silver, platinum, and other precious and semi-precious stones in India. It also manufactures diamond jewelry. In addition, the company provides costume jewelry, gold and silver coins, and silver kitchenware. It sells its products under the Senco Gold & Diamonds trademark. The company operates owned and franchised showrooms, as well as online platforms. Senco Gold Limited was incorporated in 1994 and is based in Kolkata, India.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
SENCO GOLD LTD reported revenue of ₹84.3B in FY2026 versus ₹35.3B in FY2022, a compound +24.4%/yr. Reported net income was ₹5.7B in FY2026, compounding +45.2%/yr from FY2022.
of which total revenue +17.2 pp · buybacks/dilution −10.2 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch SENCO: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Luxury Goods · 137 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Luxury Goods median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Luxury Goods stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 16, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compagnie Financière Richemont SA CFR | CHF 193.70 | CHF 119.08 | -39% |
| Christian Dior SE DIO | €423.60 | €1,095 | +159% |
| Kering SA KER | €270.60 | €56.23 | -79% |
| Tapestry, Inc TPR | $153.74 | $19.95 | -87% |
| Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group 1929 | HK$12.31 | HK$11.51 | -6% |
| The Swatch Group UHRN | CHF 37.90 | CHF 21.48 | -43% |
| Prada S.p.A 1913 | HK$42.22 | HK$64.07 | +52% |
| Pandora A/S PNDORA | kr 771.40 | kr 1,424 | +85% |
| Laopu Gold Co 6181 | HK$359.20 | HK$544.05 | +51% |
| Kalyan Jewellers India Limited KALYANKJIL | ₹596.70 | ₹238.57 | -60% |
Compare SENCO GOLD LTD with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
Explore undervalued stocks
More undervalued Consumer Cyclical stocks →
Frequently asked questions
Is SENCO GOLD LTD (SENCO) overvalued or undervalued?
What is the fair value of SENCO?
What is the quality score of SENCO?
What is the revenue of SENCO GOLD LTD (SENCO)?
What is the net profit margin of SENCO?
Does SENCO GOLD LTD pay a dividend?
How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
Track SENCO GOLD LTD and try Pro for 14 days
One email gets you 14 days of full Pro (review alerts, the 35,000+ stock screener, the diversification check) plus the monthly Top-25 report of the most undervalued quality stocks. No card, cancel anytime.
Zero risk: nothing is ever charged. After 14 days you decide whether to stay.