Soc Franc Casinos (SFCA) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 24, 2026: fair value of Soc Franc Casinos €2.78, price €6.15, upside -54.8%, quality 48 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €1.10 – €6.15 · fair‑value band €2.23 – €3.04 · the €6.15 price screens above the €2.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Société Française de Casinos operates casinos in France. The company is involved in the hotel and restaurant activities. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is based in Paris, France. Société Française de Casinos operates as a subsidiary of CASIGRANGI.
Stock analysis
Soc Franc Casinos (SFCA) currently trades at €6.15, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €2.78, implying the stock looks roughly 121.2% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of €3.92 per share, and 1 of the 15 models we run sit above the €6.15 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at €1.81, and 14 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: €2.23 (bear) to €3.04 (bull), the price of €6.15 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Soc Franc Casinos reported revenue of €13.6M in FY2025 versus €6.5M in FY2021, a compound +20.5%/yr. Reported net income was €1.1M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap €12.2M · P/E ratio 10.9 · P/S ratio 0.88 · EPS (TTM) €0.2200 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 8.1% · Return on equity 8.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 5.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 47 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 294% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 46% fair-value upside, at −55%, SFCA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear €2.23Fair Value €2.78Bull €3.04
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 11 months old). Earnings retained since then (€0.1983 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.26/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−3.6%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.9%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+5.4%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +1.0% a year
Revenue growth 25 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−5.7%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−25.3%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−25.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−26% vs 6%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−21% → 9%
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Resorts & Casinos · 69 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score48 · Below median
Fair Value upside−55% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)9% · Above median
Return on assets5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)14% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−2% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.06× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)10.9× · Cheapest 25%
P/B1.01× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM)1.02× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA3.4× · Cheapest 25%
PEG3.19× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 46
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 27
PAST (return on equity)35· sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)97· sector 82
DIVIDEND (yield)7· sector 60
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Soc Franc Casinos Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SFCA
Frequently asked questions
Is Soc Franc Casinos (SFCA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €2.78 versus a price of €6.15, about −55% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SFCA?
Our model-based fair value for Soc Franc Casinos is €2.78 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €6.15.
What is the quality score of SFCA?
Soc Franc Casinos has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Soc Franc Casinos (SFCA)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of €2.78 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario €2.23, optimistic scenario €3.04. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Soc Franc Casinos stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at €2.78, about −55% upside versus a price of €6.15 (overvalued). Cautious scenario €2.23, optimistic scenario €3.04. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Soc Franc Casinos (SFCA)?
Soc Franc Casinos reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €13.6M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Soc Franc Casinos pay a dividend?
Soc Franc Casinos currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.36% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Soc Franc Casinos (SFCA)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Soc Franc Casinos it is €2.78 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of €6.15. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Soc Franc Casinos stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, SFCA trades above its calculated fair value: price €6.15, fair value €2.78, a gap of about −55% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SFCA?
No. The price is what the market pays today (€6.15); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (€2.78). For Soc Franc Casinos the two are €3.37 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Soc Franc Casinos worth?
The market values Soc Franc Casinos at about €12.2M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is €6.15; our models calculate a fair value of €2.78 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SFCA?
Our models span a range for Soc Franc Casinos: cautious scenario €2.23, base €2.78, optimistic €3.04 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price €6.15). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SFCA?
Soc Franc Casinos trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.9 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of €2.78 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 3.2, P/B 1.0, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 3.4.
What is the PEG ratio of SFCA?
The PEG ratio of Soc Franc Casinos is 3.19 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Soc Franc Casinos (SFCA)?
Balance-sheet figures for Soc Franc Casinos (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 8.7%, debt of 0.06 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 48/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SFCA from its 52-week high?
Soc Franc Casinos trades at €6.15, at its 52-week high of €6.15 and 294% above the low of €1.56 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of €2.78 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Soc Franc Casinos?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Las Vegas Sands Corp, Galaxy Entertainment Group, Sands China Ltd, MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries,, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Soc Franc Casinos stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price €6.15, calculated fair value €2.78 (−55%), Quality Score 48/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SFCA calculated?
We run Soc Franc Casinos through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of €2.78, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.0 % above its aggregate fair value. Soc Franc Casinos itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Soc Franc Casinos (SFCA)?
The closing price on Sep 24, 2026 was €6.15. Our model-based fair value is €2.78, about −55% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Soc Franc Casinos right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€3.04). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (48/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Soc Franc Casinos
How large is the market capitalisation of Soc Franc Casinos (SFCA)?
The market capitalisation of Soc Franc Casinos is €12.2M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Soc Franc Casinos (SFCA)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Soc Franc Casinos is 0.88 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Soc Franc Casinos (SFCA)?
Earnings per share at Soc Franc Casinos are €0.2200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Soc Franc Casinos (SFCA)?
The dividend yield of Soc Franc Casinos is 0.4% (payout 10.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Soc Franc Casinos (SFCA)?
The net margin of Soc Franc Casinos is 8.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Soc Franc Casinos (SFCA)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Soc Franc Casinos is 8.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Soc Franc Casinos (SFCA)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Soc Franc Casinos is 5.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Soc Franc Casinos (SFCA)?
The operating margin of Soc Franc Casinos is 14.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Soc Franc Casinos (SFCA)?
Revenue at Soc Franc Casinos is growing −1.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +0.9%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Soc Franc Casinos (SFCA)?
Earnings per share at Soc Franc Casinos are growing +20.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Soc Franc Casinos (SFCA) generate?
The free cash flow of Soc Franc Casinos is −€1.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net cash does Soc Franc Casinos (SFCA) hold?
Soc Franc Casinos holds more cash than debt, €120K net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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