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Société Française de Casinos Société Anonyme (SFCA) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · FR · Market cap €12.2M

SF Société Française de Casinos Société Anonyme SFCA · PA
Price€2.40
Fair Value€3.74
Upside+55.8%
Quality48/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 8.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: High Range €2.62 – €4.86 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 15 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price +0.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 56% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (€2.62). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (48/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
  • A fairly wide model range (€2.62 to €4.86) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€3.56 €1.10 Fair Value €3.74 Apr 2017 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €1.10 – €3.56 · fair‑value band €2.62 – €4.86 · the €2.40 price screens below the €3.74 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

Société Française de Casinos Société Anonyme (SFCA) currently trades at €2.40, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €3.74, implying the stock looks roughly 55.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 48/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: high), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Société Française de Casinos Société Anonyme generated revenue of €13.6M at a net margin of 8.1%. Revenue declined 1.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.7%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 9.9. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €2.62 (bear case) to €4.86 (bull case); at €2.40, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades near its 52-week high and 54% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 11% fair-value upside, at 56%, SFCA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €2.00 €2.04 €2.01 76
ROIC Compounder €2.06 €2.22 €2.35 72
Gordon GGM €0.0600 €0.0800 €0.1000 70
All 15 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €1.48 €3.08 €3.90 54
PEG = 1.0 €0.4600 €0.6600 €0.8500 46
EPV €2.06 €2.22 €2.35 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €0.0600 €0.0800 €0.1000 70
DDM Multi-Stage €0.0600 €0.0800 €0.1000 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €3.58 €4.77 €5.97 63
P/S Multiple €2.41 €3.21 €4.02 58
P/B Multiple €2.77 €3.69 €4.61 55
EV/EBIT €4.11 €5.24 €6.37 53
EV/EBITDA €5.38 €6.93 €8.49 54
EV/Revenue €2.96 €3.92 €4.88 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €1.35 €1.81 €2.70 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €2.00 €2.04 €2.01 76
ROIC Compounder €2.06 €2.22 €2.35 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €2.62 €3.74 €4.86 68

Widest divergence: Multiples (€3.92) versus Dividend Discount (€0.0800). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) €13.6M
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.6%
Net margin 8.1%
Return on equity 8.7%
Free cash flow −€1.3M FY2025
P/E ratio 9.9
More key figures
Operating margin 14.1%
EPS (TTM) €0.2200
EPS growth (YoY) +20.2%
Net cash €120K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 48/100

Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 21
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 40
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 66
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 46
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 67
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 72
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Société Française de Casinos Société Anonyme operates casinos in France. The company is involved in the hotel and restaurant activities. The company was incorporated in 1993 and is based in Paris, France. Société Française de Casinos Société Anonyme operates as a subsidiary of CASIGRANGI.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Société Française de Casinos Société Anonyme reported revenue of €13.6M in FY2025 versus €6.5M in FY2021, a compound +20.5%/yr. Reported net income was €1.1M in FY2025.

Growth Quality 26/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€13.6M
Latest YoY
−3.6%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+0.9%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.4%
Avg. growth/yr (25Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−5.7%
Revenue +20.5%/yr
FY21 €6.5M
FY22 €13.3M
FY23 €14.2M
FY24 €14.1M
FY25 €13.6M
Net income
FY21 −€659K
FY22 €1.7M
FY23 €1.3M
FY24 €1.4M
FY25 €1.1M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Société Française de Casinos Société Anonyme Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SFCA

Peer Group

Resorts & Casinos · 76 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 48 · Below median
Fair Value upside +56% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 5% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 14% · Above median
Revenue growth -2% · Bottom 25%
Debt / equity 0.06× · Lower than median

Valuation Multiples vs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.03× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 1.04× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 3.5× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
PEG 3.19× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 18
FUTURE 0 · sector 33
PAST 35 · sector 19
HEALTH 97 · sector 84
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 52

Insider activity: 40/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Gambling

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS $44.79 $52.27 +17%
Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 HK$34.20 HK$41.44 +21%
Sands China Ltd 1928 HK$13.08 HK$2.05 -84%
MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM $46.13 $13.70 -70%
Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN $97.05 $69.39 -29%
Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR $64.75 $17.09 -74%
Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD $87.64 $151.24 +73%
Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR $29.91 $80.92 +171%
Genting Singapore Limited G13 0.6200 SGD 0.6900 SGD +11%
Vail Resorts, Inc MTN $150.14 $125.02 -17%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Société Française de Casinos Société Anonyme (SFCA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €3.74 versus a price of €2.40, about +56% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SFCA?
Our model-based fair value for Société Française de Casinos Société Anonyme is €3.74 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is €2.40.
What is the quality score of SFCA?
Société Française de Casinos Société Anonyme has a Quality Score of 48/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Société Française de Casinos Société Anonyme (SFCA)?
Société Française de Casinos Société Anonyme reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €13.6M (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SFCA?
The net profit margin of Société Française de Casinos Société Anonyme is about 8.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 8.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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