Stitch Fix, Inc (SFIX) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $526M
Stitch Fix, Inc
SFIX · US
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 21, 2026, revised from $6.86 to $1.19 (−82.7%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +18.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 72% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($1.50). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (45/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.10 – $66.10 · fair‑value band $0.8900 – $1.50 · the $4.20 price screens above the $1.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Stitch Fix, Inc (SFIX) currently trades at $4.20, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.19, implying the stock looks roughly 71.7% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: low).
Over the trailing twelve months, Stitch Fix, Inc generated revenue of $1.3B at a net margin of -1.4%. Revenue grew 4.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -9.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of $20.4M. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.8900 (bear case) to $1.50 (bull case); at $4.20, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 29% below its 52-week high and 42% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -45% fair-value upside, at -72%, SFIX screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($1.98) versus Asset-Based ($1.15). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 47 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 22
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Stitch Fix, Inc. engages in the provision of clothing and accessories in the United States. The company offers women's, men's, kids, petite, maternity, and plus apparel, and shoes, as well as personal styling services through its website and mobile application.
Full company description
Stitch Fix, Inc. engages in the provision of clothing and accessories in the United States. The company offers women's, men's, kids, petite, maternity, and plus apparel, and shoes, as well as personal styling services through its website and mobile application. Its products include denim, dresses, blouses, skirts, shoes, jewelry, and handbags under the Stitch Fix brand. The company was formerly known as rack habit inc. and changed its name to Stitch Fix, Inc. in October 2011. Stitch Fix, Inc. was incorporated in 2011 and is headquartered in San Francisco, California.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Stitch Fix, Inc reported revenue of $1.3B in FY2025 versus $2.1B in FY2021, a compound −11.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$28.7M in FY2025.
SFIX screens 72% overvalued. Compare with Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Stitch Fix's Debt Free Balance Sheet Reinforces Financial Strength
- Why Is Stitch Fix (SFIX) Down 16.2% Since Last Earnings Report?
Peer Group
Apparel Retail · 107 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Apparel Retail median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Insider activity: 44/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Apparel Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Industria de Diseño Textil, S.A 1ITX | €58.44 | €23.29 | -60% |
| The TJX Companies, Inc TJX | $154.46 | $84.95 | -45% |
| Fast Retailing Co 6288 | HK$40.00 | HK$15.37 | -62% |
| Ross Stores, Inc ROST | $233.46 | $118.41 | -49% |
| Burlington Stores, Inc BURL | $327.72 | $147.08 | -55% |
| Trent Limited TRENT | ₹2,903 | ₹709.49 | -76% |
| lululemon athletica inc., LULU | $116.33 | $299.63 | +158% |
| Aritzia Inc ATZ | C$160.05 | C$87.26 | -45% |
| The Gap, Inc GAP | $20.35 | $37.12 | +82% |
| Urban Outfitters, Inc URBN | $72.95 | $92.88 | +27% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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