Sfinks Polska S.A (SFS) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · PL · Market cap 16.9M PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 14, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated 27 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 14, 2026, revised from 0.9600 PLN to 0.3300 PLN (−65.6%) since Jun 25, 2026. Share price −2.9% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 25% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.3300 PLN). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (46/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (0.1400 PLN to 0.3300 PLN) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.3300 PLN – 1.56 PLN · fair‑value band 0.1400 PLN – 0.3300 PLN · the 0.4400 PLN price screens above the 0.3300 PLN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 14, 2026.
Analysis
Sfinks Polska S.A (SFS) currently trades at 0.4400 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.3300 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 25.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sfinks Polska S.A generated revenue of 46.7M PLN at a net margin of -15.0%. Revenue declined 33.7% year over year. Net debt stands at 88.3M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 14, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.1400 PLN (bear case) to 0.3300 PLN (bull case); at 0.4400 PLN, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -47% fair-value upside, at -25%, SFS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 11 models by family
Widest divergence: Dividend Discount (0.5200 PLN) versus DCF Models (0.2200 PLN). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 14, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 43 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 44
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sfinks Polska S.A. engages in the operation and franchise of restaurants in the casual dining sector in Europe. It operates a network of restaurants under the Sphinx, Piwiarnia, and Chlopskie Jadlo brand names; and virtual restaurant under The Burgers brand name. Sfinks Polska S.A. was founded in 1995 and is headquartered in Piaseczno, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Sfinks Polska S.A reported revenue of 46.7M PLN in FY2025 versus 63.9M PLN in FY2021, a compound −7.5%/yr. Reported net income was −7.0M PLN in FY2025.
SFS screens 25% overvalued. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →
Peer Group
Restaurants · 227 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
PAST 0: with negative equity (buybacks among others) return on equity is not meaningfully computable.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 14, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$10.84 | -55% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $105.49 | $35.83 | -66% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $34.63 | $18.43 | -47% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $163.54 | $59.66 | -64% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.19 | C$36.37 | -65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $195.74 | $173.68 | -11% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $43.90 | $55.10 | +26% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $197.03 | $104.89 | -47% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $68.36 | $12.80 | -81% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $322.18 | $231.96 | -28% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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