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Sweetgreen Inc (SG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 22, 2026: fair value of Sweetgreen Inc $1.99, price $7.67, upside -74.1%, quality 35 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN US87043Q1085

SI Sweetgreen Inc logo Thin data Sep 24, 2026

Sweetgreen Inc

SG · US

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value $1.99 · Strongly overvalued (−74%)
!Quality 35/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +25.2 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.5% net margin (TTM)
!negative free cash flow
!Trails peers (1/10)
!Narrow moat 17/100
✓Insider activity 66/100
!Evidence only low, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on past: 15 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$53.00 $4.70 Fair Value $1.99 Nov 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

58‑month range $4.70 – $53.00 · fair‑value band $1.49 – $2.97 · the $7.67 price screens above the $1.99 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

Sweetgreen, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates fast food restaurants serving healthy food and beverages in the United States. It accepts orders through its online and mobile ordering platforms, as well as sells gift cards that do not have an expiration date and can be redeemed.

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Sweetgreen, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates fast food restaurants serving healthy food and beverages in the United States. It accepts orders through its online and mobile ordering platforms, as well as sells gift cards that do not have an expiration date and can be redeemed. The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.

Stock analysis

Sweetgreen Inc (SG) currently trades at $7.67, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.99, implying the stock looks roughly 285.4% overvalued today.

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Valuation

How firm this estimate is: it rests on 1 models at a data quality of 95/100, which puts the evidence level at low.

Scenario range: $1.49 (bear) to $2.97 (bull), the price of $7.67 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Sweetgreen Inc reported revenue of $679M in FY2025 versus $340M in FY2021, a compound +18.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$134M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $989M · P/E ratio 69.3 · P/S ratio 1.47 · EPS (TTM) $0.1200 · Net margin −19.7% · Return on equity 3.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −15.7% · Operating margin −20.3%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 29 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

Analysts expect earnings well below the last reported figure (earnings in transition, for example expiring patents or contracts); a fair value that looks fair on trailing earnings may then be too optimistic.

The share trades about 54% below its 52-week high and 71% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −22% fair-value upside, at −74%, SG screens richer than that median.

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 28

Profitability 17
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 3
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 75
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 0
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 49
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 24
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 54
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−64.2% (2020) → −16.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

SG screens 285% overvalued. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 229 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 33 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −74% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets −9% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) −20% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −3% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 69.3× · Priciest 25%
P/B 2.78× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.47× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 39
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 18
PAST (return on equity)15 · sector 20
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 70

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McDonald's Corporation MCD $250.35 $162.16 −35%
Starbucks Corporation SBUX $95.11 $35.83 −62%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG $32.63 $35.89 +10%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $139.71 $75.61 −46%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR $71.91 $74.72 +4%
Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI $213.54 $173.68 −19%
Yum China Holdings YUMC $41.58 $49.95 +20%
Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH $166.12 $128.38 −23%
Dutch Bros Inc BROS $38.76 $15.54 −60%
Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ $297.12 $231.96 −22%

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Sweetgreen Inc · Fair Value
$1.99 −285%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sweetgreen Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SG

Frequently asked questions

Is Sweetgreen Inc (SG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.99 versus a price of $7.67, about −74% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SG?
Our model-based fair value for Sweetgreen Inc is $1.99 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $7.67.
What is the quality score of SG?
Sweetgreen Inc has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.99 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 1 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.49, optimistic scenario $2.97. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sweetgreen Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.99, about −74% upside versus a price of $7.67 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.49, optimistic scenario $2.97. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
Sweetgreen Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $675M (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sweetgreen Inc it is $1.99 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $7.67. It is the blended result of 1 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sweetgreen Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SG trades above its calculated fair value: price $7.67, fair value $1.99, a gap of about −74% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($7.67); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.99). For Sweetgreen Inc the two are $5.68 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sweetgreen Inc worth?
The market values Sweetgreen Inc at about $989M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $7.67; our models calculate a fair value of $1.99 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SG?
Our models span a range for Sweetgreen Inc: cautious scenario $1.49, base $1.99, optimistic $2.97 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $7.67). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SG?
Sweetgreen Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 69.3 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $1.99 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.8, P/S 1.5.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sweetgreen Inc (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 3.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SG from its 52-week high?
Sweetgreen Inc trades at $7.67, about 54% below its 52-week high of $16.70 and 71% above the low of $4.49 (as of Sep 24, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.99 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sweetgreen Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, Yum! Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sweetgreen Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $7.67, calculated fair value $1.99 (−74%), Quality Score 35/100, from 1 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SG calculated?
We run Sweetgreen Inc through 1 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.99, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Sweetgreen Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
The closing price on Sep 22, 2026 was $7.67. Our model-based fair value is $1.99, about −74% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sweetgreen Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($2.97). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. A fairly wide model range ($1.49 to $2.97) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of Sweetgreen Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
The market capitalisation of Sweetgreen Inc is $989M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sweetgreen Inc is 1.47 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
Earnings per share at Sweetgreen Inc are $0.1200 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 69.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
The net margin of Sweetgreen Inc is −19.7% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sweetgreen Inc is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sweetgreen Inc is −15.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
The operating margin of Sweetgreen Inc is −20.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
Revenue at Sweetgreen Inc is growing −2.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Sweetgreen Inc (SG) generate?
The free cash flow of Sweetgreen Inc is −$119M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Sweetgreen Inc (SG) carry?
The net debt of Sweetgreen Inc is $265M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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