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Sweetgreen Inc (SG) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Nov 10, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Sweetgreen Inc stock $9.52, price $13.24, that is 28.1% below the price, quality 35 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. The value is an estimate: none of our valuation models currently carries, it draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies. Updated daily.

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Consumer Cyclical US

SI Sweetgreen Inc logo Thin data Nov 11, 2026

Sweetgreen Inc

SG · US
Expensive, weak quality

Our calculation puts a fair price 28% below what the stock costs today.

Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +25.2 %/yr in USD)
Thin margins · 2.8% net margin (TTM)
Insiders sold $309,621 (6M)
Costs 89 times its yearly profit.
Fair value $9.52 · Overvalued
Quality 35/100
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (1/10)
Narrow moat 18/100
Thin data
Estimate
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26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

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Price vs Fair Value

$53.00 $4.70 Fair Value $9.52 Nov 2021 Nov 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 11, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $4.70 – $53.00 · fair‑value band $7.14 – $11.90 · the $13.24 price screens above the $9.52 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 11, 2026.

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Company profile

Sweetgreen, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates fast food restaurants serving healthy food and beverages in the United States. It accepts orders through its online and mobile ordering platforms, as well as sells gift cards that do not have an expiration date and can be redeemed.

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The company was founded in 2006 and is headquartered in Los Angeles, California.

Stock analysis

Sweetgreen Inc (SG) currently trades at $13.24, while our estimate is $9.52, 28% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Scenario range: $7.14 (bear) to $11.90 (bull), the price of $13.24 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 35/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Sweetgreen Inc reported revenue of $679M in FY2025 versus $340M in FY2021, a compound +18.9%/yr. Reported net income was −$134M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $1.6B Small · P/E ratio 89.1 · P/S ratio 2.30 · EPS (TTM) $0.1500 · Net margin 2.8% · Return on equity 4.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) −15.7% (5-year average) · Operating margin −16.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 18 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

Analysts expect earnings well below the last reported figure (earnings in transition, for example expiring patents or contracts); a fair value that looks fair on trailing earnings may then be too optimistic.

The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 182% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −29% fair-value upside, at −28%, SG screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value

Bear $7.14 Fair Value $9.52 Bull $11.90
Price $13.24 · Downside -28.1%
Estimate. None of our valuation models currently carries for this company, usually because of losses or heavy investment. The estimate draws on revenue and assets compared with similar companies and is less precise than a model-based fair value.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 35/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 17
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 3
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 50
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 75
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 0
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Price momentum 100
Price momentum of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 99
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 67
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Insider trades

In the last 6 months, 2 officers or directors sold shares worth $309,621 and none bought.

  • SaleJamie McConnellChief Financial Officer3× since May 18, 2026: 20,434 shares, avg. $7.81$159,603Nov 10, 2026
  • SaleJason Miles CochranChief Operating Officer2× since May 18, 2026: 19,847 shares, avg. $7.56$150,018Aug 17, 2026
  • BuyGOLDMAN SACHS & CO. LLC10% owner594,553 shares at $5.69$3.4MApr 7, 2026
  • BuyNicolas JammetChief Concept Officer, Director2× since Nov 12, 2025: 22,543 shares, avg. $5.55$125,088Mar 5, 2026
  • BuyJonathan NemanCHIEF EXECUTIVE OFFICER, Director179,800 shares at $5.56$999,688Nov 12, 2025

Plus 7 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.

Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.

Source: SEC Form 4, as of Nov 10, 2026. All filings at the SEC ↗

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 58/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+0.4%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.1%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+25.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Revenue growth 9 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.0%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−64.2% (2020) → −16.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

SG screens overvalued: fair value 28% below the price. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 203 stocks

Beats the industry median on 1/10 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 35 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −28.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) 4.6% · Below median
Return on assets −17.0% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) 2.8% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months) −16.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 2.1% · Below median

Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 89.1× · Priciest 25%
P/B 4.42× · Pricier than median
P/S (12 months) 2.30× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)11 · sector 20
PAST (return on equity)18 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 60

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG $35.92 $39.31 +9% vs SG
Yum China Holdings YUMC $49.73 $51.14 +3% vs SG
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR $77.63 $72.40 −7% vs SG
Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI $228.66 $175.82 −23% vs SG
Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ $330.06 $234.54 −29% vs SG
Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH $188.16 $128.55 −32% vs SG
Starbucks Corporation SBUX $109.95 $65.63 −40% vs SG
McDonald's Corporation MCD $282.17 $162.81 −42% vs SG
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $160.21 $73.05 −54% vs SG
CAVA Group CAVA $60.39 $12.01 −80% vs SG

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Sweetgreen Inc: fair value per Fair Value Calculator

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sweetgreen Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SG

Frequently asked questions

Is Sweetgreen Inc (SG) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 11, 2026, our estimate of fair value is $9.52 versus a price of $13.24, about 28% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SG?
Our estimate for Sweetgreen Inc is $9.52 (as of Nov 11, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $13.24.
What is the quality score of SG?
Sweetgreen Inc has a Quality Score of 35/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
Our calculated price target is the estimate of $9.52 (as of Nov 11, 2026). Cautious scenario $7.14, optimistic scenario $11.90. It is an estimate from revenue and assets compared with similar companies, because none of our valuation models currently carries, not an analyst target.
What is the Sweetgreen Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our estimate puts fair value at $9.52, about 28% lower versus a price of $13.24 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $7.14, optimistic scenario $11.90. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
Sweetgreen Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $685M (latest available figure, as of Nov 11, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sweetgreen Inc it is $9.52 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026), against a price of $13.24.
Is Sweetgreen Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 11, 2026, SG trades above its calculated fair value: price $13.24, fair value $9.52, a gap of about −28% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SG?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($13.24); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($9.52). For Sweetgreen Inc the two are $3.72 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sweetgreen Inc worth?
The market values Sweetgreen Inc at about $1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 11, 2026). Per share that is $13.24; our models calculate a fair value of $9.52 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SG?
Our models span a range for Sweetgreen Inc: cautious scenario $7.14, base $9.52, optimistic $11.90 per share (as of Nov 11, 2026, price $13.24). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SG?
Sweetgreen Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 89.1 (as of Nov 11, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $9.52 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 4.4, P/S 2.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sweetgreen Inc (as of Nov 11, 2026): return on equity 4.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 35/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SG from its 52-week high?
Sweetgreen Inc trades at $13.24, about 1% below its 52-week high of $13.36 and 182% above the low of $4.70 (as of Nov 10, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $9.52 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sweetgreen Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Yum! Brands, Inc, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sweetgreen Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 11, 2026: price $13.24, calculated fair value $9.52 (−28%), Quality Score 35/100. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.1% above its aggregate fair value. Sweetgreen Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
The closing price on Nov 10, 2026 was $13.24. Our estimate is $9.52, about 28% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sweetgreen Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($11.90). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (35/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of Sweetgreen Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
The market capitalisation of Sweetgreen Inc is $1.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sweetgreen Inc is 2.30 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
Earnings per share at Sweetgreen Inc are $0.1500 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 89.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
The net margin of Sweetgreen Inc is 2.8% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sweetgreen Inc is 4.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sweetgreen Inc is −15.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
The operating margin of Sweetgreen Inc is −16.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sweetgreen Inc (SG)?
Revenue at Sweetgreen Inc is growing +2.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg +13.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How much free cash flow does Sweetgreen Inc (SG) generate?
The free cash flow of Sweetgreen Inc is −$119M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Sweetgreen Inc (SG) carry?
The net debt of Sweetgreen Inc is $265M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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