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Data-driven stock valuation

Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR (SGGKY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

We calculate from audited financials what Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily, free.

  1. Compare price with fair valuebelow fair value = cheap, above = expensive
  2. Check the quality50 and up solid, 75 and up strong
  3. Watch it or check another stockalert when fair value or trend changes

Industrials · US · Market cap $26.5B · ISIN US82929Y1010

At a glance

ST Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR logo Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR SGGKY · US
Price$82.60
Fair Value$18.78
Upside−77.3%
Quality58/100

A solid business, but trading 340% above our fair value of $18.78.

As of Aug 23, 2026, the fair value of Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR is $18.78 per share against a price of $82.60, so the fair value sits 77% below the price. A model estimate from reported figures, not an analyst target.

!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +12.7 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 3.8% net margin
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
·1.65% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (8/15)
!Moderate moat 47/100
Evidence: High Range $14.09 to $25.83

Fair value as of: Aug 23, 2026

From 26 valuation models · updated 16 days ago

Fair value updated Aug 23, 2026, revised from $18.62 to $18.78 (+0.9%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price +0.1% over the past month.

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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($25.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Solid but not exceptional quality (58/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range ($14.09 to $25.83) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$92.25 $14.39 Fair Value $18.78 Oct 2016 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $14.39 – $92.25 · fair‑value band $14.09 – $25.83 · the $82.60 price screens above the $18.78 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 23, 2026.

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Analysis

Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR (SGGKY) currently trades at $82.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $18.78, implying the stock looks roughly 339.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 58/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: the Growth DCF group reads highest at a median of $41.80 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $82.60 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $5.53, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR generated revenue of $12.3B at a net margin of 3.8%. Revenue grew 11.7% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 16.9%. Net debt stands at $4.3B. Fundamentals as of Aug 23, 2026

Scenario range: $14.09 (bear) to $25.83 (bull), the price of $82.60 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 40% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at −77%, SGGKY screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 8 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.6602 per share) are deliberately not added.

Each model values the company its own way; the fair value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0 to 100) shows how complete a model's inputs are. How we calculate →

Model Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF $33.12 $57.63 $96.34 78
Growth DCF $33.56 $54.76 $85.92 77
5Y EBITDA Exit $33.94 $60.52 $92.01 74
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $33.12 $57.63 $96.34 78
Owner Earnings $8.06 $17.06 $31.28 73
5Y Revenue Exit $24.13 $41.69 $64.17 71
5Y EBITDA Exit $33.94 $60.52 $92.01 74
5Y P/E Exit $17.60 $29.17 $41.28 70
10Y Revenue Exit $26.11 $43.16 $66.40 66
10Y EBITDA Exit $33.28 $56.42 $88.16 67
10Y P/E Exit $22.76 $34.35 $48.50 64
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $7.72 $27.06 $36.39 64
Lynch FV $6.31 $9.01 $11.72 61
PEG = 1.0 $6.31 $9.01 $11.72 57
EPV $16.96 $20.86 $24.28 74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $15.36 $31.94 $50.67 66
DDM Multi-Stage $15.36 $26.87 $33.52 66
Multiples
P/E Multiple $17.88 $23.84 $29.80 63
P/S Multiple $14.47 $19.30 $24.12 58
P/B Multiple $14.47 $19.30 $24.12 55
EV/EBIT $31.31 $43.91 $56.51 66
EV/EBITDA $39.00 $54.16 $69.32 67
EV/Revenue $20.49 $32.05 $43.61 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.12 $5.53 $8.25 54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $33.56 $54.76 $85.92 77
Rev-Margin DCF $24.13 $41.80 $62.85 71
Economic Profit
Residual Income $8.01 $9.61 $16.99 73
ROIC Compounder $18.86 $26.26 $35.36 71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $15.43 $22.04 $28.66 67

Widest divergence: Growth DCF ($41.80) versus Asset-Based ($5.53). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (78).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 72.5
P/S ratio 2.72 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) $1.14 price ÷ EPS = P/E 72.5
Dividend yield 1.7% payout 120%
Net margin 3.7% FY2025
Return on equity 16.9% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 5.0% avg 5y
Operating margin 9.1% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) $12.3B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +11.7% 3y avg +13.0%
EPS growth (YoY) −83.7%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow $1.1B FY2025
Net debt $4.3B FY2025 · ≈ 4.0 yrs of FCF

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 23, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 58/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 75

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 68
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 27
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 86
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 72
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 88
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 81
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd operates as a technology, defence, and engineering company worldwide. The company operates through Commercial Aerospace, Defence & Public Security, and Urban Solutions & Satcom segments.

Full company description

Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd operates as a technology, defence, and engineering company worldwide. The company operates through Commercial Aerospace, Defence & Public Security, and Urban Solutions & Satcom segments. It provides cabin interiors and engineering solutions; turnkey solutions for composite panels; passenger-to-freighter conversion services; nacelles and aerostructures solutions; precision manufacturing services; unmanned aircraft system solutions; maintenance, repair, and overhaul (MRO) services for airframes, engines, and components; and aviation asset management services, including aircraft and engine leasing. It also offers integrated transport operations center; smart mobility solutions, including smart metro systems, smart rail MRO solutions, commercial and electric vehicles, fleet management systems, smart traffic systems, tolling and congestion pricing solutions, and mobility services, as well as AGIL Bus Rapid Transit, a future-ready mobility system that offers both rail and bus systems; smart security, lighting, water, and sensors; digital platforms; AGIL Smart Energy Building solutions; digital health, financial technologies, and urban environment solutions. In addition, the company provides defense and security solutions for air, land, and sea; smart facilities; training and simulation systems; logistics and facilities management, advanced manufacturing, and critical infrastructure solutions; homeland security; maritime systems; cybersecurity, data science, analytics, and AI solutions; cloud and data orchestration services; advanced connectivity solutions; and business process outsourcing services. Further, it designs and delivers robust command, control, communications, computers, cybersecurity, intelligence, surveillance, and reconnaissance solutions; and Wing-in-Ground craft solutions. The company was founded in 1967 and is headquartered in Singapore.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR reported revenue of 9.4B SGD in FY2025 versus 5.7B SGD in FY2021, a compound +13.3%/yr. Reported net income was 354M SGD in FY2025, compounding −4.4%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 92/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$9.4B
Latest YoY
+12.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+13.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+12.7%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (24Y) ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+5.7%
Value creation/yr (5Y) ⓘEarnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
−2.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend yield: the value created per share and year.
Earnings growth per share−3.6%
Dividend yield1.7%
Trend ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.5Y −3.6% vs 10Y −21.3%, picking up
Operating margin (EBIT) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.10.3% (2020) → 9.8% (2025) · steady
Worst earnings drop91% (2020) · in USD
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 16.6%/yr over ~10Y (margins intact) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Revenue +13.3%/yr
FY21 5.7B SGD
FY22 6.6B SGD
FY23 7.5B SGD
FY24 8.4B SGD
FY25 9.4B SGD
Net income −4.4%/yr
FY21 425M SGD
FY22 388M SGD
FY23 437M SGD
FY24 525M SGD
FY25 354M SGD
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) −21.5 % p.a.
Revenue per share −17.8 %

of which total revenue +6.3 % · buybacks/dilution −22.7 %

EBIT margin +0.0 %
Tax rate −0.5 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) −4.2 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SGGKY screens 340% overvalued. Compare with General Electric Company →

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Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR · Fair Value
$18.78 −340%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SGGKY

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Aerospace & Defense · 228 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Valuation
Quality Score 58 · Above median
Fair Value upside −77% · Bottom 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 17% · Above median
Return on assets 4% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 9% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 12% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.7% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 1.01× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Aerospace & Defense median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 72.5× · Priciest 25%
P/B 10.31× · Priciest 25%
P/S (TTM) 2.15× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 25.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 18.6× · Cheaper than median
PEG 0.86× · Cheaper than median

What the price implies (reverse DCF)

The inverse question: what free-cash-flow growth must Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR deliver for ten years so that today's price is fair in our DCF model? Same formula, same discount rate as the fair value.

Implied FCF growth, 10 years+8.7 % per year
Achieved revenue growth, 5 years+12.7 % p.a.
Sector median revenue growth+4.6 %
FCF yield on price4.05 %
Discount rate (WACC) in the models8.1 %

The price demands less growth than the company recently delivered: even a weaker business would justify the price. Ranking of the largest stocks →

Context: sector, industry, market

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 0
FUTURE59 · sector 49
PAST68 · sector 38
HEALTH50 · sector 93
DIVIDEND33 · sector 16

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

Weapons Defense

Similar stocks

10 more Aerospace & Defense stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 23, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
General Electric Company GE $335.71 $116.71 −65%
RTX Corporation RTX $200.79 $88.37 −56%
Airbus SE AIR €213.00 €117.01 −45%
Lockheed Martin Corporation LMT $525.28 $419.01 −20%
Howmet Aerospace Inc HWM $264.85 $50.43 −81%
General Dynamics Corporation GD $359.39 $274.32 −24%
Northrop Grumman Corporation NOC $514.98 $356.59 −31%
TransDigm Group TDG $1,235 $571.03 −54%
L3Harris Technologies, Inc LHX $256.45 $146.55 −43%
Thales S.A HO €243.70 €171.13 −30%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR (SGGKY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $18.78 versus a price of $82.60, about −77% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SGGKY?
Our model-based fair value for Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR is $18.78 (as of Aug 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $82.60.
What is the quality score of SGGKY?
Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 58/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR (SGGKY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $18.78 (as of Aug 23, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $14.09, optimistic scenario $25.83. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $18.78, about −77% upside versus a price of $82.60 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $14.09, optimistic scenario $25.83. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR (SGGKY)?
Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $12.3B (latest available figure, as of Aug 23, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SGGKY?
The net profit margin of Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR is about 3.8%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.8% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.65% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 23, 2026).
What growth is priced into Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR (SGGKY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +8.7 % per year for ten years (discount rate 8.1 %, then 2 % perpetual growth). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +12.7 % per year. As of Aug 23, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SGGKY use?
Our models discount Singapore Technologies Engineering Ltd ADR at 8.1 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.15, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
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