The Star Entertainment Group Ltd (SGR) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · AU · Market cap A$657M
Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Share price +27.3% over the past month.
Below-average quality, screening 155% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (25/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.2989). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0820 – A$4.58 · fair‑value band A$0.2989 – A$0.4151 · the A$0.1400 price screens below the A$0.3570 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.
Analysis
The Star Entertainment Group Ltd (SGR) currently trades at A$0.1400, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.3570, implying the stock looks roughly 155.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, The Star Entertainment Group Ltd generated revenue of A$1.3B at a net margin of -17.7%. Revenue declined 4.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -42.5%. Net debt stands at A$331M. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.2989 (bear case) to A$0.4151 (bull case); at A$0.1400, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 28% below its 52-week high and 75% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 8% fair-value upside, at 155%, SGR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 8 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples (A$0.9000) versus Asset-Based (A$0.0400). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 26 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
The Star Entertainment Group Limited operates and manages integrated resorts in Australia. It operates through three segments: Sydney, Gold Coast, Treasury Brisbane, and The Star Brisbane. The company owns and operates The Star Sydney and The Star Gold Coast, which include hotels, restaurants, bars, theatres, and other entertainment facilities.
Full company description
The Star Entertainment Group Limited operates and manages integrated resorts in Australia. It operates through three segments: Sydney, Gold Coast, Treasury Brisbane, and The Star Brisbane. The company owns and operates The Star Sydney and The Star Gold Coast, which include hotels, restaurants, bars, theatres, and other entertainment facilities. It also manages the Gold Coast Convention and Exhibition Centre, as well as operates the Star Grand hotel. The company was formerly known as Echo Entertainment Group Limited and changed its name to The Star Entertainment Group Limited in November 2015. The Star Entertainment Group Limited was incorporated in 2011 and is based in Brisbane, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The Star Entertainment Group Ltd reported revenue of A$1.4B in FY2025 versus A$1.5B in FY2021, a compound −3.1%/yr. Reported net income was −A$472M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Resorts & Casinos · 76 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Resorts & Casinos median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Resorts & Casinos stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Las Vegas Sands Corp LVS | $45.68 | $51.60 | +13% |
| Galaxy Entertainment Group 0027 | HK$34.20 | HK$40.46 | +18% |
| Sands China Ltd 1928 | HK$14.34 | HK$2.05 | -86% |
| MGM Resorts International, through its subsidiaries, MGM | $43.98 | $17.73 | -60% |
| Wynn Resorts, Limited WYNN | $102.97 | $69.39 | -33% |
| Red Rock Resorts, Inc RRR | $63.09 | $18.01 | -71% |
| Boyd Gaming Corporation BYD | $82.98 | $151.24 | +82% |
| Caesars Entertainment, Inc CZR | $29.74 | $80.92 | +172% |
| Genting Singapore Limited G13 | 0.6400 SGD | 0.6900 SGD | +8% |
| Vail Resorts, Inc MTN | $148.36 | $132.94 | -10% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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