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Simplex Realty Limited (SIMPLXREA) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · IN · Market cap ₹419M

SR Simplex Realty Limited SIMPLXREA · BSE
Price₹139.95
Fair Value₹332.35
Upside+137.5%
Quality43/100
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Expensive Growth
Loss-making · -29.1% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed vs. peers (4/9)
Narrow moat 9/100
Evidence: Low Range ₹219.35 – ₹415.44 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 6, 2026

From 1 valuation models · updated 31 days ago

Share price +3.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 137% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (43/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case (₹219.35). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
  • A fairly wide model range (₹219.35 to ₹415.44) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹272.75 ₹37.26 Fair Value ₹332.35 Oct 2020 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 6, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹37.26 – ₹272.75 · fair‑value band ₹219.35 – ₹415.44 · the ₹139.95 price screens below the ₹332.35 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 6, 2026.

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Analysis

Simplex Realty Limited (SIMPLXREA) currently trades at ₹139.95, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹332.35, implying the stock looks roughly 137.5% undervalued today. We read business quality at 43/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Simplex Realty Limited generated revenue of ₹129M at a net margin of -29.1%. It earns a return on equity of -3.3%. Net debt stands at ₹165M. Fundamentals as of Jul 6, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹219.35 (bear case) to ₹415.44 (bull case); at ₹139.95, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 32% below its 52-week high and 19% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 137%, SIMPLXREA screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
NCAV (Graham) ₹187.82 ₹251.68 ₹375.64 50
All 1 models by family
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹187.82 ₹251.68 ₹375.64 50

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹129M
Revenue growth (YoY) +3,286%
Net margin -29.1%
Return on equity -3.3%
Free cash flow −₹55.5M FY2026
Operating margin -9.4%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) ₹-12.53
EPS growth (YoY) -9.8%
Net debt ₹165M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 43/100

Of which business quality 46 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 35

Profitability 3
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 39
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 22
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 68
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 98
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 14
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Simplex Realty Limited engages in the real estate development business in India. It develops residential, as well as commercial properties. The company was formerly known as The Simplex Mills Company Limited. Simplex Realty Limited was incorporated in 1912 and is based in Mumbai, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Simplex Realty Limited reported revenue of ₹129M in FY2026 versus ₹19.8M in FY2022, a compound +59.7%/yr. Reported net income was −₹37.5M in FY2026.

Growth Quality 44/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹129M
Latest YoY
+169.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+101.3%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+25.4%
Avg. growth/yr (7Y)
+15.4%
Revenue +59.7%/yr
FY22 ₹19.8M
FY23 ₹15.8M
FY24 ₹17.6M
FY25 ₹48.0M
FY26 ₹129M
Net income
FY22 ₹24.7M
FY23 ₹12.7M
FY24 ₹51.1M
FY25 ₹13.0M
FY26 −₹37.5M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Simplex Realty Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SIMPLXREA

Peer Group

Real Estate - Development · 600 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 43 · Below median
Fair Value upside +138% · Top 25%
Return on assets -2% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) -29% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -9% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 3286% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.00× · Lower than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate - Development median · lower = cheaper

P/S (TTM) 0.03× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 49
FUTURE 100 · sector 0
PAST 0 · sector 9
HEALTH 100 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 0 · sector 39

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate - Development stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 6, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vinhomes Joint Stock Company VHM 147,000 VND 147,415 VND +0%
DLF Limited DLF ₹657.75 ₹159.49 -76%
Lodha Developers Limited LODHA ₹1,188 ₹583.43 -51%
PT Pantai Indah Kapuk Dua Tbk, PANI 6,125 IDR 1,330 IDR -78%
Oberoi Realty Limited OBEROIRLTY ₹1,925 ₹1,183 -39%
Godrej Properties Limited GODREJPROP ₹2,102 ₹1,044 -50%
PT Jaya Real Property, Tbk., JRPT 1,080 IDR 1,674 IDR +55%
PT Bumi Serpong Damai Tbk, BSDE 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%
PT Sentul City Tbk, BKSL 64.00 IDR 84.16 IDR +32%
PT Ciputra Development Tbk, CTRA 555.00 IDR 1,388 IDR +150%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Simplex Realty Limited (SIMPLXREA) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 6, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹332.35 versus a price of ₹139.95, about +137% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SIMPLXREA?
Our model-based fair value for Simplex Realty Limited is ₹332.35 (as of Jul 6, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is ₹139.95.
What is the quality score of SIMPLXREA?
Simplex Realty Limited has a Quality Score of 43/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of Simplex Realty Limited (SIMPLXREA)?
Simplex Realty Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹129M (latest available figure, as of Jul 6, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SIMPLXREA?
The net profit margin of Simplex Realty Limited is about -29.1%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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