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Sixt SE (SIX2) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · DE · Market cap €3.3B

SS Sixt SE SIX2 · XETRA
Price€73.00
Fair Value€56.51
Upside-22.6%
Quality47/100
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Risks

!Trades 29% ABOVE our fair value of €56.51
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +22.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 6.9% net margin
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +22.8 %/yr)
Thin margins · 6.9% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
4.54% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (7/14)
Narrow moat 44/100
Evidence: High Range €43.29 – €104.89 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 17 valuation models · updated 11 days ago

Share price +4.7% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and trading another 29% above our fair value.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • Solid but not exceptional quality (47/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
  • A fairly wide model range (€43.29 to €104.89) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

€132.23 €55.61 Fair Value €56.51 Jun 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range €55.61 – €132.23 · fair‑value band €43.29 – €104.89 · the €73.00 price screens above the €56.51 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

Sixt SE (SIX2) currently trades at €73.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €56.51, implying the stock looks roughly 22.6% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 47/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sixt SE generated revenue of €4.4B at a net margin of 6.9%. Revenue grew 8.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 14.1%. Net debt stands at €3.5B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from €43.29 (bear case) to €104.89 (bull case); at €73.00, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 26% below its 52-week high and 27% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -20% fair-value upside, at -23%, SIX2 screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income €43.26 €52.10 €104.53 76
ROIC Compounder €39.68 €58.78 €89.50 72
Gordon GGM €23.78 €47.38 €71.75 70
All 17 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings €68.89 €141.12 €254.45 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd €41.41 €161.12 €218.55 54
Lynch FV €39.56 €56.51 €73.46 50
PEG = 1.0 €39.56 €56.51 €73.46 46
EPV €39.68 €52.79 €64.09 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM €23.78 €47.38 €71.75 70
DDM Multi-Stage €23.78 €40.95 €50.02 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple €95.91 €127.88 €159.85 63
P/S Multiple €77.64 €103.52 €129.40 58
P/B Multiple €77.64 €103.52 €129.40 55
EV/EBIT €104.25 €153.44 €202.63 53
EV/EBITDA €123.15 €178.64 €234.12 54
EV/Revenue €62.01 €107.14 €152.28 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) €22.91 €30.70 €45.83 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income €43.26 €52.10 €104.53 76
ROIC Compounder €39.68 €58.78 €89.50 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E €70.93 €101.33 €131.73 68

Widest divergence: DCF Models (€141.12) versus Asset-Based (€30.70). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 12.0 as of May 31, 2026
P/S ratio 0.82 TTM
Dividend yield 4.3% payout 49.2%
Net margin 6.9% TTM
Return on equity 14.1% TTM
Return on assets 5.6% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Operating margin 3.7% TTM
EPS (TTM) €6.38
Growth
Revenue (TTM) €4.4B TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +8.2% 3y avg +11.8%
EPS growth (YoY) -2.0%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow −€174M FY2025
Net debt €3.5B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 47/100

Of which business quality 42 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 47

Profitability 41
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 6
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 30
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 81
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 65
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 42
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 32
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 82
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

Sixt SE, through its subsidiaries, provides mobility services through a corporate and franchise branch network for private and business customers.

Full company description

Sixt SE, through its subsidiaries, provides mobility services through a corporate and franchise branch network for private and business customers. It offers its products through the SIXT app, which comprises SIXT rent, a car rental service; SIXT van and truck for commercial vehicle rental; SIXT share, a car sharing service, as well as offering micromobility services through e-scooters, e-mopeds, and e-bikes; SIXT+ for car subscriptions/long-term rentals; and SIXT ride, which includes transfer services, brokerage of professional driver and chauffeur services, and event transport services; and SIXT charge, a charging solutions for e-vehicles. It operates in Germany, Europe, North America, and internationally. It serves private customers, tourists, business and corporate clients, and intermediary partners, distributing its offerings through direct (B2C), business (B2B), and partner (B2P) sales channels. The company was founded in 1912 and is headquartered in Pullach, Germany. Sixt SE is a subsidiary of Erich Sixt Vermögensverwaltung GmbH.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Sixt SE reported revenue of €4.3B in FY2025 versus €2.3B in FY2021, a compound +17.0%/yr. Reported net income was €286M in FY2025, compounding −2.3%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 55/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
€4.3B
Latest YoY
+7.0%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+11.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.8%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+6.4%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+5.2% (0.9 + 4.3)
Revenue +17.0%/yr
FY21 €2.3B
FY22 €3.1B
FY23 €3.6B
FY24 €4.0B
FY25 €4.3B
Net income −2.3%/yr
FY21 €313M
FY22 €386M
FY23 €335M
FY24 €244M
FY25 €286M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +10.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +7.4 pp

of which total revenue +7.2 pp · buybacks/dilution +0.2 pp

EBIT margin +0.6 pp
Tax rate +0.5 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) +1.7 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SIX2 screens 23% overvalued. Compare with United Rentals, Inc →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sixt SE Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SIX2

Earlier news

External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.

Peer Group

Rental & Leasing Services · 98 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Above median
Fair Value upside −23% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 14% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 7% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 8% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.4% · Above median
Debt / equity 1.02× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Rental & Leasing Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 12.0× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.79× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.88× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.7× · Pricier than median
PEG 27.09× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE3 · sector 58
FUTURE41 · sector 27
PAST56 · sector 26
HEALTH49 · sector 70
DIVIDEND88 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Rental & Leasing Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Rentals, Inc URI $1,129 $449.86 -60%
Sunbelt Rentals Holdings SUNB $84.80 $65.76 -22%
AerCap Holdings AER $146.79 $301.51 +105%
Ayvens AYV €11.36 €25.90 +128%
Ryder System, Inc R $262.96 $109.71 -58%
Element Fleet Management Corp EFN C$27.92 C$20.86 -25%
BOC Aviation Limited 2588 HK$74.40 HK$18.61 -75%
GATX Corporation GATX $176.16 $140.90 -20%
Avis Budget Group CAR $139.58 $158.11 +13%
WillScot Holdings WSC $23.76 $43.19 +82%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sixt SE (SIX2) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of €56.51 versus a price of €73.00, about −23% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SIX2?
Our model-based fair value for Sixt SE is €56.51 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: €73.00.
What is the quality score of SIX2?
Sixt SE has a Quality Score of 47/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sixt SE (SIX2)?
Sixt SE reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €4.4B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SIX2?
The net profit margin of Sixt SE is about 6.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 6.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sixt SE pay a dividend?
Sixt SE currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.30% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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