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Sika AG (SKFOF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Sika AG $125, price $207, upside -39.7%, quality 61 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? Yes
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Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
Broad data
Oct 3, 2026
Sika AG
SKFOF · USStretched ValuationStrong overvaluation with only moderate quality.
!Fair value $124.81 · Strongly overvalued (−39.7%)
✓Quality 61/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +7.3 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 9.3% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓1.8% dividend yield · Well covered
!Moderate moat 57/100
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $150.61 – $381.41 · fair‑value band $77.84 – $158.56 · the $206.81 price screens above the $124.81 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
Company profile
Sika AG, a specialty chemicals company, develops, produces, and sells systems and products for bonding, sealing, damping, reinforcing, and protecting in the building sector and motor vehicle industry worldwide.
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Sika AG, a specialty chemicals company, develops, produces, and sells systems and products for bonding, sealing, damping, reinforcing, and protecting in the building sector and motor vehicle industry worldwide. It offers admixtures and additives for concrete, cement, and mortar production;waterproofing solutions, such as flexible membrane systems, liquid-applied membranes, joint waterproofing systems, waterproofing mortars, and injection resins under the SikaProof brand for commercial and residential basements, tunnels, bridges, and water retaining structures; and flat roofing systems, including both flexible sheet and liquid-applied membranes under the Sika Sarnafil brand, as well as vapor control layers, adhesives, insulation, fixation, roof drainage, and accessories. The company also provides adhesives and grouts, systems for under-tile waterproofing, sound reduction, decorative finishes, and exterior insulation finishing systems; flooring solutions, such as synthetic resin and cementitious systems for industrial and commercial settings; and sealants, adhesives, spray foams, and tapes for commercial, industrial, residential, and infrastructure construction projects. It serves automobile and commercial vehicle assembly, industrial lamination, renewable energy, home appliances, and advanced resins industries. The company was founded in 1910 and is headquartered in Baar, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
Sika AG (SKFOF) currently trades at $206.81, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $124.81, 39.7% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $132.76 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $206.81 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $33.01, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $77.84 (bear) to $158.56 (bull), the price of $206.81 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Sika AG reported revenue of CHF 11.2B in FY2025 versus CHF 9.3B in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 1.0B in FY2025, compounding −0.1%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $33.2B · P/E ratio 25.4 · P/S ratio 2.37 · EPS (TTM) $8.04 · Dividend yield 1.8% · Net margin 9.3% · Return on equity 15.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 53 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 37% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −40%, SKFOF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $77.84
Fair Value $124.81
Bull $158.56
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($3.28 per share) are deliberately not added.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$94.58
$159.89
$259.61
78
Growth DCF
$96.59
$154.41
$237.28
77
Owner Earnings
$94.05
$159.07
$258.33
75
All 26 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$94.58
$159.89
$259.61
78
Owner Earnings
$94.05
$159.07
$258.33
75
5Y Revenue Exit
$73.24
$126.04
$192.71
71
5Y EBITDA Exit
$85.81
$149.55
$223.30
74
5Y P/E Exit
$76.41
$131.97
$189.74
70
10Y Revenue Exit
$77.17
$127.21
$193.27
66
10Y EBITDA Exit
$87.88
$143.54
$216.62
67
10Y P/E Exit
$81.89
$131.33
$191.00
63
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd
$53.50
$166.63
$221.63
65
Lynch FV
$36.24
$51.77
$67.30
61
PEG = 1.0
$36.24
$51.77
$67.30
57
EPV
$64.29
$78.77
$91.45
74
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$19.96
$41.50
$65.83
66
DDM Multi-Stage
$19.96
$33.01
$43.55
66
Multiples
P/E Multiple
$100.32
$133.75
$167.19
63
P/S Multiple
$94.85
$126.47
$158.08
58
P/B Multiple
$100.32
$133.75
$167.19
55
EV/EBIT
$97.72
$137.82
$177.93
65
EV/EBITDA
$93.93
$132.76
$171.60
67
EV/Revenue
$65.94
$103.88
$141.82
53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$25.05
$33.57
$50.10
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$96.59
$154.41
$237.28
77
Rev-Margin DCF
$73.24
$126.64
$188.25
72
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$51.80
$65.87
$98.47
75
ROIC Compounder
$67.71
$92.30
$122.97
71
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E
$85.04
$121.48
$157.92
67
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
61/100
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 49
Profitability
56
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
36
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
62
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
64
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
48
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
53
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
44
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
81
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
73/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.4% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+4.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.8%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.4.8% vs 8.0%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 14%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+13.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CHF, Switzerland: IMF forecast 0.6% a year to 2030, 0.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.2% a year for the price and +3.2% for the forecasts.
Forecast 2026 (sales)+0.1%
Forecast 2027 (sales)+5.4%
Projected 2028 (sales)+5.0%
Projected 2029 (sales)+4.6%
Projected 2030 (sales)+4.1%
SKFOF screens overvalued: fair value 40% below the price. Compare with Linde plc →
Earlier news
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.
Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
- SIKA CLOSES ACQUISITION OF AKKIM – ACCELERATING GLOBAL EXPANSION IN ADHESIVES AND SEALANTS
- Sika AG (SKFOF) (H1 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Navigating Challenges with Strategic Growth ...
- Sika AG GAAP EPS of CHF 3.43, revenue of CHF 5.59B; raises FY2026 sales growth outlook
- SIKA DELIVERS 4.0% LOCAL CURRENCY REVENUE GROWTH AND UPGRADES FULL-YEAR GROWTH EXPECTATIONS
Compare Sika AG with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 696 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/15 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Materials sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Chemicals stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Linde plc LIN | $474.65 | $441.72 | −7% |
| The Sherwin-Williams Company SHW | $330.44 | $151.68 | −54% |
| Ecolab Inc ECL | $274.58 | $96.56 | −65% |
| Air Products and Chemicals, Inc APD | $279.19 | $121.30 | −57% |
| Nan Ya Plastics Corporation 1303 | 238.00 TWD | 234.23 TWD | −2% |
| Givaudan SA GIVN | CHF 3,360 | CHF 1,527 | −55% |
| Wanhua Chemical Group 600309 | ¥69.45 | ¥68.03 | −2% |
| DSM-Firmenich AG DSFIR | CHF 92.30 | CHF 29.70 | −68% |
| Asian Paints Limited ASIANPAINT | ₹2,444 | ₹1,479 | −39% |
| PPG Industries, Inc PPG | $104.67 | $76.98 | −26% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is Sika AG (SKFOF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $124.81 versus a price of $206.81, about −40% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SKFOF?
Our model-based fair value for Sika AG is $124.81 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $206.81.
What is the quality score of SKFOF?
Sika AG has a Quality Score of 61/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sika AG (SKFOF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $124.81 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $77.84, optimistic scenario $158.56. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sika AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $124.81, about −40% upside versus a price of $206.81 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $77.84, optimistic scenario $158.56. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sika AG (SKFOF)?
Sika AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 11.2B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Sika AG pay a dividend?
Sika AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.79% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sika AG (SKFOF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sika AG would have to grow free cash flow by +13.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.3 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SKFOF use?
Our models discount Sika AG at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.18, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sika AG that is +13.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sika AG (SKFOF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sika AG grew +7.3 % a year. The price currently implies +13.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sika AG (SKFOF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sika AG (+13.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sika AG (SKFOF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.53 %: that much free cash flow Sika AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sika AG (SKFOF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sika AG it is $124.81 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $206.81. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sika AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, SKFOF trades above its calculated fair value: price $206.81, fair value $124.81, a gap of about −40% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SKFOF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($206.81); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($124.81). For Sika AG the two are $82.00 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sika AG worth?
The market values Sika AG at about $33.2B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $206.81; our models calculate a fair value of $124.81 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SKFOF?
Our models span a range for Sika AG: cautious scenario $77.84, base $124.81, optimistic $158.56 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $206.81). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SKFOF?
Sika AG trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 25.4 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $124.81 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.5, P/B 4.8, P/S 2.8, EV/EBITDA 17.9.
What is the PEG ratio of SKFOF?
The PEG ratio of Sika AG is 2.47 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sika AG (SKFOF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sika AG (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 15.3%, debt of 0.57 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 61/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SKFOF from its 52-week high?
Sika AG trades at $206.81, about 14% below its 52-week high of $240.00 and 37% above the low of $150.61 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $124.81 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sika AG?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sika AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $206.81, calculated fair value $124.81 (−40%), Quality Score 61/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SKFOF calculated?
We run Sika AG through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $124.81, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Sika AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sika AG (SKFOF)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $206.81. Our model-based fair value is $124.81, about −40% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sika AG right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($158.56). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($77.84 to $158.56) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Sika AG (SKFOF) come from?
Earnings per share at Sika AG grew +9.0 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.6 %, EBIT margin +1.2 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.5 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Sika AG
How large is the market capitalisation of Sika AG (SKFOF)?
The market capitalisation of Sika AG is $33.2B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sika AG (SKFOF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sika AG is 2.37 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sika AG (SKFOF)?
Earnings per share at Sika AG are $8.04 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 25.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sika AG (SKFOF)?
The dividend yield of Sika AG is 1.8% (payout 46.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sika AG (SKFOF)?
The net margin of Sika AG is 9.3% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sika AG (SKFOF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sika AG is 15.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sika AG (SKFOF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sika AG is 11.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sika AG (SKFOF)?
The operating margin of Sika AG is 10.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sika AG (SKFOF)?
Revenue at Sika AG is growing −7.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sika AG (SKFOF)?
Earnings per share at Sika AG are growing −46.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sika AG (SKFOF) carry?
The net debt of Sika AG is CHF 4.7B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 3.8 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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