SMN Corporation (SMNOF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of SMN Corporation $2.69, price $2.97, upside -9.4%, quality 73 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $2.20 – $7.83 · fair‑value band $2.07 – $3.10 · the $2.97 price screens above the $2.69 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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SMN Corporation engages in digital marketing activities business in Japan. The company offers VALIS-Engine, an AI engine; Logicad, a demand side platform; and VALIS-Cockpit, human resources solution and a marketing analytics tool.
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SMN Corporation engages in digital marketing activities business in Japan. The company offers VALIS-Engine, an AI engine; Logicad, a demand side platform; and VALIS-Cockpit, human resources solution and a marketing analytics tool. It also provides data collection and analysis, advertising management, and content-based marketing solutions for agencies and advertisers; and creates and distributes ad content for SSPs and media outlets. In addition, the company offers marketing solutions to support advertisation on the web portal of ISP So-Net. The company was incorporated in 2000 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan. SMN Corporation operates as a subsidiary of Sony Network Communications Inc.
Stock analysis
SMN Corporation (SMNOF) currently trades at $2.97, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.69, so the stock looks roughly fairly valued today (gap 10.4%).
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Valuation
Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of $4.50 per share, and 11 of the 22 models we run sit above the $2.97 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.15, and 11 of the 22 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $2.07 (bear) to $3.10 (bull), the price of $2.97 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 73/100 (solid quality), in the Communication Services sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
SMN Corporation reported revenue of ¥11.6B in FY2025 versus ¥12.1B in FY2021, a compound −1.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥292M in FY2025.
Key figures
Market cap $43.3M · P/E ratio 14.1 · P/S ratio 0.35 · EPS (TTM) $0.2100 · Net margin 2.5% · Return on equity 10.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.2% · Operating margin 8.1%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 43 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 35% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Communication Services peers we cover trades at 23% fair-value upside, at −9%, SMNOF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.07Fair Value $2.69Bull $3.10
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.2100 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.85/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
−11.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−11.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 2%
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
The price assumes less growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
−17.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in JPY, Japan: IMF forecast 2.1% a year to 2030, 1.3% from 2016 to 2025) that is about −19.6% a year for the price.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Advertising Agencies · 197 stocks
Beats the industry median on 11/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score73 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside−9.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)10.4% · Top 25%
Return on assets5.6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)3.5% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)8.1% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth6.6% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.02× · Below median
Valuation Multiplesvs Advertising Agencies median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SMN Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SMNOF
Frequently asked questions
Is SMN Corporation (SMNOF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.69 versus a price of $2.97, about −9% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SMNOF?
Our model-based fair value for SMN Corporation is $2.69 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $2.97.
What is the quality score of SMNOF?
SMN Corporation has a Quality Score of 73/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SMN Corporation (SMNOF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.69 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 22 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.07, optimistic scenario $3.10. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SMN Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.69, about −9% upside versus a price of $2.97 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $2.07, optimistic scenario $3.10. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SMN Corporation (SMNOF)?
SMN Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥12.3B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into SMN Corporation (SMNOF)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, SMN Corporation would have to grow free cash flow by -17.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 8.5 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +0.1 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SMNOF use?
Our models discount SMN Corporation at 8.5 %: a base by market capitalisation (nano), damped by beta 0.21, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For SMN Corporation that is -17.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (8.5 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has SMN Corporation (SMNOF) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at SMN Corporation grew +0.1 % a year. The price currently implies -17.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of SMN Corporation (SMNOF) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.6 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into SMN Corporation (-17.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of SMN Corporation (SMNOF)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 13.03 %: that much free cash flow SMN Corporation produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (8.5 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of SMN Corporation (SMNOF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SMN Corporation it is $2.69 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $2.97. It is the blended result of 22 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SMN Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SMNOF trades above its calculated fair value: price $2.97, fair value $2.69, a gap of about −9% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SMNOF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($2.97); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.69). For SMN Corporation the two are $0.2800 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SMN Corporation worth?
The market values SMN Corporation at about $43.3M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $2.97; our models calculate a fair value of $2.69 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SMNOF?
Our models span a range for SMN Corporation: cautious scenario $2.07, base $2.69, optimistic $3.10 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $2.97). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SMNOF?
SMN Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.1 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $2.69 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.7, P/S 0.6, EV/EBITDA 4.1.
How solid is the balance sheet of SMN Corporation (SMNOF)?
Balance-sheet figures for SMN Corporation (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 10.4%, debt of 0.02 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 73/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SMNOF from its 52-week high?
SMN Corporation trades at $2.97, at its 52-week high of $2.97 and 35% above the low of $2.20 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.69 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SMN Corporation?
From the same area (Communication Services) we also value AppLovin Corporation, Publicis Groupe S.A, Omnicom Group, Focus Media Information Technology Co, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SMN Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $2.97, calculated fair value $2.69 (−9%), Quality Score 73/100, from 22 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SMNOF calculated?
We run SMN Corporation through 22 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.69, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. SMN Corporation itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SMN Corporation (SMNOF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $2.97. Our model-based fair value is $2.69, about −9% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SMN Corporation right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Key figures of SMN Corporation
How large is the market capitalisation of SMN Corporation (SMNOF)?
The market capitalisation of SMN Corporation is $43.3M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SMN Corporation (SMNOF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SMN Corporation is 0.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SMN Corporation (SMNOF)?
Earnings per share at SMN Corporation are $0.2100 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.1). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of SMN Corporation (SMNOF)?
The net margin of SMN Corporation is 2.5% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SMN Corporation (SMNOF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SMN Corporation is 10.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SMN Corporation (SMNOF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SMN Corporation is 2.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SMN Corporation (SMNOF)?
The operating margin of SMN Corporation is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SMN Corporation (SMNOF)?
Revenue at SMN Corporation is growing +6.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −4.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SMN Corporation (SMNOF)?
Earnings per share at SMN Corporation are growing −13.3% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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Sep 24, 2026