Samsonite Group (SMSGY) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $2.6B
Samsonite Group
SMSGY · US
Fair value as of: Jul 21, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 20 days ago
Share price +3.2% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 95% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case ($11.36). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Solid quality (59/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
- A fairly wide model range ($11.36 to $26.49) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $6.99 – $17.31 · fair‑value band $11.36 – $26.49 · the $9.00 price screens below the $17.53 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 21, 2026.
Analysis
Samsonite Group (SMSGY) currently trades at $9.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $17.53, implying the stock looks roughly 94.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Samsonite Group generated revenue of $3.5B at a net margin of 7.7%. Revenue grew 4.1% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.1%. Net debt stands at $1.1B. Fundamentals as of Jul 21, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $11.36 (bear case) to $26.49 (bull case); at $9.00, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 33% below its 52-week high and 14% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at 0% fair-value upside, at 95%, SMSGY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($21.19) versus Asset-Based ($3.93). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 21, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 57 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 36
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Samsonite Group S.A. engages in the design, manufacture, sourcing, and distribution of luggage, business and computer bags, outdoor and casual bags, and travel accessories in Asia, North America, Europe, and Latin America.
Full company description
Samsonite Group S.A. engages in the design, manufacture, sourcing, and distribution of luggage, business and computer bags, outdoor and casual bags, and travel accessories in Asia, North America, Europe, and Latin America. The company sells its products under the Samsonite, Tumi, American Tourister, Gregory, High Sierra, Lipault, and Hartmann brands, as well as other owned and licensed brand names. It distributes its products through wholesale distribution channels, as well as through company-operated retail stores and e-commerce. The company was formerly known as Samsonite International S.A. and changed its name to Samsonite Group S.A. in January 2025. Samsonite Group S.A. was founded in 1910 and is headquartered in Luxembourg, Luxembourg.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Samsonite Group reported revenue of $3.5B in FY2025 versus $2.9B in FY2022, a compound +6.7%/yr. Reported net income was $289M in FY2025, compounding −2.6%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Footwear & Accessories · 94 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Footwear & Accessories median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 40/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Footwear & Accessories stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 21, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIKE, Inc NKE | $44.37 | $35.63 | -20% |
| adidas AG 1ADS | €165.00 | €65.71 | -60% |
| Deckers Outdoor Corporation DECK | $106.49 | $125.16 | +18% |
| On Holding ONON | $38.20 | $17.64 | -54% |
| Zhejiang China Commodities City Group 600415 | ¥12.11 | ¥13.03 | +8% |
| Birkenstock Holding BIRK | $44.36 | $44.14 | -0% |
| Crocs, Inc CROX | $138.91 | $203.65 | +47% |
| Huali Industrial Group 300979 | ¥31.10 | ¥54.71 | +76% |
| PUMA SE PUM | €29.31 | €10.57 | -64% |
| Steven Madden, Ltd SHOO | $43.26 | $11.69 | -73% |
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Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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