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SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd (SNKCF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 18, 2026: fair value of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd $10.49, price $11.35, upside -7.6%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
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Industrials · US

SG SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd logo Some data Sep 24, 2026

SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd

SNKCF · US

Low PriorityFair Value upside is limited and quality is weak.

·Fair value $10.49 · Fairly valued (−8%)
!Quality 39/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +11.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 2.2% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
·3.14% dividend yield
!Mixed vs. peers (6/13)
!Narrow moat 33/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on valuation: 23 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$13.34 $9.31 Fair Value $10.49 Dec 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

21‑month range $9.31 – $13.34 · fair‑value band $7.34 – $13.63 · the $11.35 price screens above the $10.49 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.

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Company profile

SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a logistics company worldwide. It operates through Logistics; Commercial and Trading, Life Support; Business support; and Product businesses segments.

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SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a logistics company worldwide. It operates through Logistics; Commercial and Trading, Life Support; Business support; and Product businesses segments. The company engages in trucking, rail transport, marine transport, and international transport handling, warehousing business; and packaging and transportation of raw materials and products. It is also involved in oil, and commercial sales; paper products and daily necessities sales; and trading business. Additionally, the company offers living support, such as general wholesale and retail store business; nursing care business; elderly care facility management business; and sports facility management, etc. In addition, it provides information processing outsourcing, outsourcing of administrative processing, and call center business. Further, the company engages in manufacture and sales of food, storage, transportation, medical, and other containers, as well as offers packaging films and sheets. The company was formerly known as Senko Co., Ltd. and changed its name to SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd. in April 2017. SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Stock analysis

SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd (SNKCF) currently trades at $11.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.49, implying the stock looks roughly 8.2% fairly valued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $12.34 per share, and 7 of the 14 models we run sit above the $11.35 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $3.64, and 7 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $7.34 (bear) to $13.63 (bull), the price of $11.35 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd reported revenue of ¥855B in FY2025 versus ¥572B in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was ¥18.6B in FY2025, compounding +6.9%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $1.9B · P/E ratio 16.2 · P/S ratio 0.35 · EPS (TTM) $0.7000 · Dividend yield 3.1% · Net margin 2.2% · Return on equity 8.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 15% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 12% fair-value upside, at −8%, SNKCF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $7.34 Fair Value $10.49 Bull $13.63
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV $2.51 $3.64 $4.59 71
ROIC Compounder $2.51 $3.64 $4.59 69
Residual Income $7.10 $7.38 $7.60 68
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.76 $20.04 $27.34 61
Lynch FV $5.09 $7.27 $9.45 58
PEG = 1.0 $5.09 $7.27 $9.45 55
EPV $2.51 $3.64 $4.59 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple $11.03 $14.71 $18.39 63
P/S Multiple $8.93 $11.91 $14.88 58
P/B Multiple $8.93 $11.91 $14.88 55
EV/EBIT $10.97 $16.56 $22.15 65
EV/EBITDA $19.07 $27.36 $35.65 67
EV/Revenue $6.17 $11.30 $16.43 52
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.58 $6.13 $9.15 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $7.10 $7.38 $7.60 68
ROIC Compounder $2.51 $3.64 $4.59 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $8.64 $12.34 $16.04 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 45

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 43
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 99
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 30
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 10
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 17
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+9.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+11.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+5.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+2.5%
Dividend (yield on the price)3.1%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 4%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 217 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −8% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.1% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.92× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.2× · Pricier than median
P/B 1.26× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.34× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA 6.4× · Cheaper than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)23 · sector 51
FUTURE (revenue growth)32 · sector 9
PAST (return on equity)33 · sector 27
HEALTH (low debt)54 · sector 92
DIVIDEND (yield)63 · sector 60

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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S.F. Holding 002352 ¥30.94 ¥106.04 +243%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $149.56 $86.56 −42%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $187.51 $115.95 −38%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$155.70 HK$260.98 +68%

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SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd · Fair Value
$10.49 −8%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SNKCF

Frequently asked questions

Is SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd (SNKCF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.49 versus a price of $11.35, about −8% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SNKCF?
Our model-based fair value for SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd is $10.49 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $11.35.
What is the quality score of SNKCF?
SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd (SNKCF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $10.49 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.34, optimistic scenario $13.63. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $10.49, about −8% upside versus a price of $11.35 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $7.34, optimistic scenario $13.63. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd (SNKCF)?
SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥900B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd pay a dividend?
SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.14% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd (SNKCF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd it is $10.49 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $11.35. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SNKCF trades above its calculated fair value: price $11.35, fair value $10.49, a gap of about −8% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SNKCF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($11.35); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($10.49). For SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd the two are $0.8610 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd worth?
The market values SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd at about $1.9B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $11.35; our models calculate a fair value of $10.49 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SNKCF?
Our models span a range for SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd: cautious scenario $7.34, base $10.49, optimistic $13.63 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $11.35). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SNKCF?
SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $10.49 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 1.3, P/S 0.3, EV/EBITDA 6.4.
How solid is the balance sheet of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd (SNKCF)?
Balance-sheet figures for SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 8.3%, debt of 0.92 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SNKCF from its 52-week high?
SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd trades at $11.35, about 15% below its 52-week high of $13.34 and at the low of $11.35 (as of Sep 18, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $10.49 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $11.35, calculated fair value $10.49 (−8%), Quality Score 39/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SNKCF calculated?
We run SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $10.49, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd (SNKCF)?
The closing price on Sep 18, 2026 was $11.35. Our model-based fair value is $10.49, about −8% upside (fairly valued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. A fairly wide model range ($7.34 to $13.63) leaves room in how you read the outcome.

Key figures of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd

How large is the market capitalisation of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd (SNKCF)?
The market capitalisation of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd is $1.9B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd (SNKCF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd is 0.35 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd (SNKCF)?
Earnings per share at SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd are $0.7000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 16.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd (SNKCF)?
The dividend yield of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd is 3.1% (payout 50.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd (SNKCF)?
The net margin of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd is 2.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd (SNKCF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd is 8.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd (SNKCF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd is 4.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd (SNKCF)?
The operating margin of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd is 3.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd (SNKCF)?
Revenue at SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd is growing +6.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +11.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd (SNKCF)?
Earnings per share at SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd are growing +62.8% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd (SNKCF) generate?
The free cash flow of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd is −¥9.7B (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd (SNKCF) carry?
The net debt of SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd is ¥206B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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