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SENKO Group (SNKCF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $1.9B

SG SENKO Group logo SENKO Group SNKCF · US
Price$11.35
Fair Value$10.32
Upside-9.1%
Quality39/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 2.2% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
3.14% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (4/10)
Narrow moat 33/100
Evidence: Medium Range $7.23 – $13.41 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • A fairly wide model range ($7.23 to $13.41) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
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Price vs Fair Value (20 months)

$13.34 $9.31 Fair Value $10.32 Dec 2024 Jul 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

20‑month range $9.31 – $13.34 · fair‑value band $7.23 – $13.41 · the $11.35 price screens above the $10.32 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

SENKO Group (SNKCF) currently trades at $11.35, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $10.32, implying the stock looks roughly 9.1% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).

Over the trailing twelve months, SENKO Group generated revenue of $900B at a net margin of 2.2%. Revenue grew 6.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.3%. Net debt stands at $206B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $7.23 (bear case) to $13.41 (bull case); at $11.35, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 16% below its 52-week high and 18% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -9%, SNKCF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder $2.47 $3.58 $4.51 72
Growth-Adj P/E $8.50 $12.14 $15.78 68
P/E Multiple $10.85 $14.47 $18.09 63
All 14 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $4.69 $19.71 $26.90 54
Lynch FV $5.01 $7.15 $9.30 50
PEG = 1.0 $5.01 $7.15 $9.30 46
EPV $2.47 $3.58 $4.51 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $10.85 $14.47 $18.09 63
P/S Multiple $8.79 $11.71 $14.64 58
P/B Multiple $8.79 $11.71 $14.64 55
EV/EBIT $10.79 $16.29 $21.79 53
EV/EBITDA $18.76 $26.91 $35.07 54
EV/Revenue $6.07 $11.11 $16.16 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.50 $6.03 $9.01 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $6.98 $7.26 $7.47 61
ROIC Compounder $2.47 $3.58 $4.51 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $8.50 $12.14 $15.78 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($12.14) versus Economic Profit ($3.58). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $900B
Revenue growth (YoY) +6.3%
Net margin 2.2%
Return on equity 8.3%
Free cash flow −$9.7B FY2025
P/E ratio 16.2
More key figures
Operating margin 3.6%
EPS (TTM) $0.7000
Dividend yield 3.1%
EPS growth (YoY) +62.8%
Net debt $206B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 39/100

Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 53

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 58
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 36
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 50
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 43
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 79
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 38
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 50
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 17
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a logistics company worldwide. It operates through Logistics; Commercial and Trading, Life Support; Business support; and Product businesses segments.

Full company description

SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd., together with its subsidiaries, operates as a logistics company worldwide. It operates through Logistics; Commercial and Trading, Life Support; Business support; and Product businesses segments. The company engages in trucking, rail transport, marine transport, and international transport handling, warehousing business; and packaging and transportation of raw materials and products. It is also involved in oil, and commercial sales; paper products and daily necessities sales; and trading business. Additionally, the company offers living support, such as general wholesale and retail store business; nursing care business; elderly care facility management business; and sports facility management, etc. In addition, it provides information processing outsourcing, outsourcing of administrative processing, and call center business. Further, the company engages in manufacture and sales of food, storage, transportation, medical, and other containers, as well as offers packaging films and sheets. The company was formerly known as Senko Co., Ltd. and changed its name to SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd. in April 2017. SENKO Group Holdings Co., Ltd. was founded in 1916 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SENKO Group reported revenue of $855B in FY2025 versus $572B in FY2021, a compound +10.5%/yr. Reported net income was $18.6B in FY2025, compounding +6.9%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 51/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$855B
Latest YoY
+9.8%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+11.1%
Revenue +10.5%/yr
FY21 $572B
FY22 $623B
FY23 $696B
FY24 $778B
FY25 $855B
Net income +6.9%/yr
FY21 $14.2B
FY22 $15.2B
FY23 $15.3B
FY24 $15.9B
FY25 $18.6B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SENKO Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SNKCF

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 219 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 39 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −9% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 8% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 2% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM) 4% · Below median
Revenue growth 6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 3.1% · Above median
Debt / equity 0.92× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 16.2× · Pricier than median

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 21 · sector 45
FUTURE 32 · sector 8
PAST 33 · sector 26
HEALTH 54 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 63 · sector 55

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $117.72 $104.58 -11%
FedEx Corporation FDX $314.69 $347.68 +10%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €57.22 €53.18 -7%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,660 kr 712.57 -57%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 209.90 CHF 147.92 -30%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $291.41 $133.80 -54%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥31.91 ¥48.64 +52%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $193.50 $86.56 -55%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $172.02 $115.95 -33%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$181.40 HK$241.93 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SENKO Group (SNKCF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $10.32 versus a price of $11.35, about −9% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SNKCF?
Our model-based fair value for SENKO Group is $10.32 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $11.35.
What is the quality score of SNKCF?
SENKO Group has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SENKO Group (SNKCF)?
SENKO Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $900B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SNKCF?
The net profit margin of SENKO Group is about 2.2%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.2% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does SENKO Group pay a dividend?
SENKO Group currently shows a dividend yield of about 3.14% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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