OMV Petrom S.A (SNP) Fair Value & Analysis
Energy · RO · Market cap 64.7B RON
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 25 valuation models · updated 22 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from 0.6900 RON to 0.9100 RON (+31.9%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 12% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- Our model range runs from 0.6800 RON (bear) to 1.11 RON (bull), base 0.9100 RON. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 56/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.1824 RON – 1.06 RON · fair‑value band 0.6800 RON – 1.11 RON · the 1.04 RON price screens above the 0.9100 RON fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.
Analysis
OMV Petrom S.A (SNP) currently trades at 1.04 RON, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.9100 RON, implying the stock looks roughly 12.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, OMV Petrom S.A generated revenue of 35.8B RON at a net margin of 8.4%. Revenue grew 6.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 7.6%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 20.8. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 0.6800 RON (bear case) to 1.11 RON (bull case); at 1.04 RON, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 2% below its 52-week high and 50% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at -12%, SNP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 25 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (0.9600 RON) versus Earnings-Based (0.2700 RON). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 55 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 83
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
OMV Petrom S.A., an energy company, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas in Romania and rest of Europe. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining and Marketing; and Gas and Power. The Exploration and Production segment engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas.
Full company description
OMV Petrom S.A., an energy company, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas in Romania and rest of Europe. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining and Marketing; and Gas and Power. The Exploration and Production segment engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas. The Refining and Marketing segment produces and delivers gasoline, diesel, and other petroleum products through Petrobrazi refinery; and provides services and non-oil business products. The Gas and Power segment engages in the production of electricity, as well as sale of gas and power; and operates gas fired power plant. It also offers airport, medical, financial, IT, and other services; produces bioethanol products; and operates charging network for electric vehicles, as well as filling stations and distributes products to retail and wholesale customers. The company was founded in 1857 and is headquartered in Bucharest, Romania. OMV Petrom S.A. operates as a subsidiary of OMV Aktiengesellschaft.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
OMV Petrom S.A reported revenue of 36.6B RON in FY2025 versus 26.0B RON in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was 3.1B RON in FY2025, compounding +1.6%/yr from FY2021.
SNP screens 12% overvalued. Compare with Saudi Arabian Oil Company →
Recent news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- OMV Petrom SA (FRA:XNE) (Q2 2026) Earnings Call Highlights: Clean CCS Operating Result Surges ...
- OMV Petrom moves ahead with Gabare project in Bulgaria
- OMV Petrom makes final investment decision for Bulgarian solar and storage project
- OMV Petrom SA (FRA:XNE) (Q4 2025) Earnings Call Highlights: Strong Operating Cash Flow Amidst ...
Peer Group
Oil & Gas Integrated · 54 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Oil & Gas Integrated stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Saudi Arabian Oil Company 2222 | 26.72 SAR | 20.14 SAR | -25% |
| Exxon Mobil Corporation XOM | $144.51 | $90.37 | -37% |
| Chevron Corporation CHEV | C$22.88 | C$7.97 | -65% |
| PetroChina Company 601857 | ¥10.29 | ¥16.51 | +60% |
| Shell plc SHELL | €38.04 | €46.09 | +21% |
| TotalEnergies SE TTE | C$13.80 | C$7.92 | -43% |
| Petróleo Brasileiro S.A PETR3 | 12,540 ARS | 30,914 ARS | +147% |
| BP p.l.c., an integrated energy company, BP | $40.83 | $12.71 | -69% |
| China Petroleum & Chemical Corporation 600028 | ¥5.03 | ¥4.46 | -11% |
| Equinor ASA EQNR | $36.19 | $34.53 | -5% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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