Omv Petrom S.A (SNP) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Omv Petrom S.A RON 0.69, price RON 1.16, upside -40.6%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 0.2068 RON – 1.30 RON · fair‑value band 0.5200 RON – 0.8600 RON · the 1.16 RON price screens above the 0.6900 RON fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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OMV Petrom S.A., an energy company, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas in Romania and rest of Europe. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining and Marketing; and Gas and Power. The Exploration and Production segment engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas.
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OMV Petrom S.A., an energy company, engages in the exploration and production of oil and gas in Romania and rest of Europe. It operates through three segments: Exploration and Production; Refining and Marketing; and Gas and Power. The Exploration and Production segment engages in the exploration, development, and production of crude oil and natural gas. The Refining and Marketing segment produces and delivers gasoline, diesel, and other petroleum products through Petrobrazi refinery; and provides services and non-oil business products. The Gas and Power segment engages in the production of electricity, as well as sale of gas and power; and operates gas fired power plant. It also offers airport, medical, financial, IT, and other services; produces bioethanol products; and operates charging network for electric vehicles, as well as filling stations and distributes products to retail and wholesale customers. The company was founded in 1857 and is headquartered in Bucharest, Romania. OMV Petrom S.A. operates as a subsidiary of OMV Aktiengesellschaft.
Stock analysis
Omv Petrom S.A (SNP) currently trades at 1.16 RON, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 0.6900 RON, implying the stock looks roughly 68.3% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of 0.9200 RON per share, and 1 of the 25 models we run sit above the 1.16 RON price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at 0.2700 RON, and 24 of the 25 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is low.
Scenario range: 0.5200 RON (bear) to 0.8600 RON (bull), the price of 1.16 RON sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Energy sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Omv Petrom S.A reported revenue of 36.6B RON in FY2025 versus 26.0B RON in FY2021, a compound +8.9%/yr. Reported net income was 3.1B RON in FY2025, compounding +1.6%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap 72.3B RON (≈ $15.6B) · P/E ratio 23.2 · P/S ratio 1.94 · EPS (TTM) 0.0500 RON · Dividend yield 4.0% · Net margin 8.4% · Return on equity 7.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 10.8%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 10% below its 52-week high and 46% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Energy peers we cover trades at −21% fair-value upside, at −41%, SNP screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear 0.5200 RONFair Value 0.6900 RONBull 0.8600 RON
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 12 months old). Earnings retained since then (0.0030 RON per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.40/100
Revenue growth is inconsistent: the periods point in different directions, so there is no trend to rely on.
Revenue growth 1 year
+2.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−15.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+13.2%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+11.7%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+7.7%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.0%
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.8% → 8%
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+18.5%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
−3.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (Romania: IMF forecast 4.3% a year to 2030, 5.2% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +13.6% a year for the price and −7.8% for the forecasts.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Oil & Gas Integrated · 52 stocks
Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score56 · Below median
Fair Value upside−41% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)8% · Below median
Return on assets3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)8% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)14% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM)4.0% · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Oil & Gas Integrated median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)23.2× · Priciest 25%
P/B0.41× · Cheapest 25%
P/S (TTM)0.44× · Cheapest 25%
P/FCF7.0× · Cheaper than median
EV/EBITDA1.3× · Cheapest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 13
FUTURE (revenue growth)35· sector 12
PAST (return on equity)30· sector 49
HEALTH (low debt)100· sector 86
DIVIDEND (yield)81· sector 71
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Is Omv Petrom S.A (SNP) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of 0.6900 RON versus a price of 1.16 RON, about −41% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SNP?
Our model-based fair value for Omv Petrom S.A is 0.6900 RON (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: 1.16 RON.
What is the quality score of SNP?
Omv Petrom S.A has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Omv Petrom S.A (SNP)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of 0.6900 RON (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 25 valuation models. Cautious scenario 0.5200 RON, optimistic scenario 0.8600 RON. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Omv Petrom S.A stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at 0.6900 RON, about −41% upside versus a price of 1.16 RON (overvalued). Cautious scenario 0.5200 RON, optimistic scenario 0.8600 RON. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Omv Petrom S.A (SNP)?
Omv Petrom S.A reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 35.8B RON (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Omv Petrom S.A pay a dividend?
Omv Petrom S.A currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.05% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Omv Petrom S.A (SNP)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Omv Petrom S.A would have to grow free cash flow by +18.5 % per year for five years (discount rate 10.4 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +13.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SNP use?
Our models discount Omv Petrom S.A at 10.4 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 0.28, country premium for Romania. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Omv Petrom S.A that is +18.5 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (10.4 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Omv Petrom S.A (SNP) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Omv Petrom S.A grew +13.2 % a year. The price currently implies +18.5 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Omv Petrom S.A (SNP) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Omv Petrom S.A (+18.5 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Omv Petrom S.A (SNP)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.07 %: that much free cash flow Omv Petrom S.A produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (10.4 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Omv Petrom S.A (SNP)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Omv Petrom S.A it is 0.6900 RON per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of 1.16 RON. It is the blended result of 25 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Omv Petrom S.A stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SNP trades above its calculated fair value: price 1.16 RON, fair value 0.6900 RON, a gap of about −41% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SNP?
No. The price is what the market pays today (1.16 RON); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (0.6900 RON). For Omv Petrom S.A the two are 0.4710 RON per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Omv Petrom S.A worth?
The market values Omv Petrom S.A at about 72.3B RON (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is 1.16 RON; our models calculate a fair value of 0.6900 RON per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SNP?
Our models span a range for Omv Petrom S.A: cautious scenario 0.5200 RON, base 0.6900 RON, optimistic 0.8600 RON per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price 1.16 RON). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SNP?
Omv Petrom S.A trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 23.2 (as of Sep 24, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of 0.6900 RON is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.4, P/S 0.4, EV/EBITDA 1.3.
How solid is the balance sheet of Omv Petrom S.A (SNP)?
Balance-sheet figures for Omv Petrom S.A (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 7.6%. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SNP from its 52-week high?
Omv Petrom S.A trades at 1.16 RON, about 10% below its 52-week high of 1.30 RON and 46% above the low of 0.7942 RON (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of 0.6900 RON is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Omv Petrom S.A?
From the same area (Energy) we also value Saudi Arabian Oil Company, Exxon Mobil Corporation, Chevron Corporation, PetroChina Company, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Omv Petrom S.A stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price 1.16 RON, calculated fair value 0.6900 RON (−41%), Quality Score 56/100, from 25 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SNP calculated?
We run Omv Petrom S.A through 25 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of 0.6900 RON, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Omv Petrom S.A itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Omv Petrom S.A (SNP)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was 1.16 RON. Our model-based fair value is 0.6900 RON, about −41% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Omv Petrom S.A right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (0.8600 RON). The favourable scenario is already priced in. The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (56/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
Key figures of Omv Petrom S.A
How large is the market capitalisation of Omv Petrom S.A (SNP)?
The market capitalisation of Omv Petrom S.A is 72.3B RON (≈ $15.6B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Omv Petrom S.A (SNP)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Omv Petrom S.A is 1.94 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Omv Petrom S.A (SNP)?
Earnings per share at Omv Petrom S.A are 0.0500 RON (price ÷ EPS = P/E 23.2). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Omv Petrom S.A (SNP)?
The dividend yield of Omv Petrom S.A is 4.0% (payout 94.0%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Omv Petrom S.A (SNP)?
The net margin of Omv Petrom S.A is 8.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Omv Petrom S.A (SNP)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Omv Petrom S.A is 7.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Omv Petrom S.A (SNP)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Omv Petrom S.A is 10.8% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Omv Petrom S.A (SNP)?
The operating margin of Omv Petrom S.A is 14.1% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Omv Petrom S.A (SNP)?
Revenue at Omv Petrom S.A is growing +6.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg −15.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Omv Petrom S.A (SNP)?
Earnings per share at Omv Petrom S.A are growing −4.1% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
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