Alsok Co (SOHGF) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $3.8B
Alsok Co
SOHGF · US
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $8.67 to $8.49 (−2.1%) since Jun 24, 2026.
A solid business, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- Our model range runs from $5.92 (bear) to $10.61 (bull), base $8.49. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
- Quality 59/100 (solid quality) with medium evidence: read the verdict with care.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.62 – $25.92 · fair‑value band $5.92 – $10.61 · the $7.85 price screens below the $8.49 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Alsok Co (SOHGF) currently trades at $7.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $8.49, implying the stock looks roughly 8.2% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Alsok Co generated revenue of $597B at a net margin of 5.6%. Revenue grew 4.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 8.8%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 19.1. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $5.92 (bear case) to $10.61 (bull case); at $7.85, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at 8%, SOHGF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 24 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($8.49) versus Earnings-Based ($2.22). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 58 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 62
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Alsok Co.,Ltd. engages in the electronic, stationed, and transportation security services in Japan and internationally. The company offers home security systems and services, such as housework contracting and safety confirmation services for senior citizens; stalker countermeasures for women; and long-term care services.
Full company description
Alsok Co.,Ltd. engages in the electronic, stationed, and transportation security services in Japan and internationally. The company offers home security systems and services, such as housework contracting and safety confirmation services for senior citizens; stalker countermeasures for women; and long-term care services. It also provides various systems for corporate customers, including online security systems, electronic security systems, condominium complex security systems, and automated management system for ATMs, as well as security systems for supporting schedule management at unmanned stores and other buildings; and damage insurance policies. In addition, the company offers stationed security services, total security and robot systems, transportation security systems, cash management solutions for stores, and total ATM management systems; and general property management and fire protection, building management, and call center services, as well as automated external defibrillator, a device that administrates an electric shock. Further, it provides other products and services for corporate customers, such as guest reception terminals, risk management tools, and security camera systems, as well as information security, specialty security, confidential document collection and recycling, test administration support, career training, telegram, BCP solution, and acquisition support services. The comp any was formerly known as Sohgo Security Services Co.,Ltd. and changed its name to Alsok Co.,Ltd. in July 2025. Alsok Co.,Ltd. was incorporated in 1965 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Alsok Co reported revenue of $597B in FY2026 versus $489B in FY2022, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was $33.3B in FY2026, compounding +3.5%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 113 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 348.40 | kr 269.97 | -23% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €10.26 | €12.40 | +21% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $137.24 | $127.80 | -7% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 162.10 | kr 186.34 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.57 | ¥23.58 | +42% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $169.00 | $118.51 | -30% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.06 | $17.10 | +142% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $104.24 | $101.84 | -2% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $90.16 | $73.43 | -19% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $29.46 | $32.36 | +10% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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