Spectur Limited (SP3) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · AU · Market cap A$5.4M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 2 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Share price −28.6% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and screening another 15% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (A$0.0107). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- Weak quality (40/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- The models converge in a tight band (A$0.0107 to A$0.0118), unusually little disagreement for a valuation.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range A$0.0100 – A$0.1150 · fair‑value band A$0.0107 – A$0.0118 · the A$0.0100 price screens above the A$0.0085 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Spectur Limited (SP3) currently trades at A$0.0100, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is A$0.0085, implying the stock looks roughly 15.0% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 40/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Spectur Limited generated revenue of A$8.2M at a net margin of -10.0%. Revenue declined 11.5% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -59.8%. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from A$0.0107 (bear case) to A$0.0118 (bull case); at A$0.0100, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 72% below its 52-week high, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 10% fair-value upside, at -15%, SP3 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 2 models by family
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 41 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 13
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Spectur Limited, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells solar-powered and remotely connected hardware products in Australia and New Zealand.
Full company description
Spectur Limited, together with its subsidiaries, designs, develops, manufactures, and sells solar-powered and remotely connected hardware products in Australia and New Zealand. The company offers various security and surveillance cameras, such as STA7 camera platform, SS7 site shield, ERB7 warning system, and STA7-240X system; static and mobile solutions, including spectacular metal mobile base, concrete installation base, and in-ground install; and mobile solar-powered solutions comprising STA-Power 200 series, STA-Power 400 series, STA-Power Trailer Light, and STA-Power Trailer Heavy. It also provides a range of software products, such as Spectur Connect, a software platform that provides 24/7 access via online and mobile app, as well as live HD/4K streaming; Envirocoms platform, an environmental data management software; Secure Go, a cloud-based software solution for video surveillance networks; and LARA (Lifeguard Activity Reporting Assistant), a software reporting system that collects real-time data and information for lifeguard teams. In addition, the company offers data collecting, interpretation, and reporting solutions, including thermal monitoring; emergency warning systems comprising flood monitoring, shark warning system, and emergency rescue beacon; and security, deterrence, and surveillance solutions. Further, it provides warehousing, installation, repair, and maintenance services to its customers and resellers; a selection of 3rd party hardware and software; and equipment rental services. Spectur Limited was incorporated in 2009 and is based in Welshpool, Australia.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Spectur Limited reported revenue of A$8.7M in FY2025 versus A$5.2M in FY2021, a compound +13.5%/yr. Reported net income was −A$779K in FY2025.
SP3 screens 15% overvalued. Compare with ASSA ABLOY AB →
Peer Group
Security & Protection Services · 114 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Security & Protection Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Security & Protection Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| ASSA ABLOY AB ASSAB | kr 348.40 | kr 269.97 | -23% |
| Verisure plc VSURE | €10.26 | €12.40 | +21% |
| Allegion plc ALLE | $137.24 | $127.80 | -7% |
| Securitas AB SECUB | kr 162.10 | kr 186.34 | +15% |
| Zhejiang Dahua Technology Co 002236 | ¥16.57 | ¥23.58 | +42% |
| MSA Safety Incorporated MSA | $169.00 | $118.51 | -30% |
| ADT Inc ADT | $7.06 | $17.10 | +142% |
| The Brink's Company BCO | $104.24 | $101.84 | -2% |
| Brady Corporation BRC | $90.16 | $73.43 | -19% |
| The GEO Group GEO | $29.46 | $32.36 | +10% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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