Spadel SA (SPA) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Defensive · BE · Market cap €1.5B
Fair value as of: Aug 6, 2026
From 26 valuation models · updated 4 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 6, 2026, revised from €232.40 to €223.08 (−4.0%) since Jul 18, 2026. Share price −18.3% over the past month.
A solid business, but screening 39% overvalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€301.83). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Solid but not exceptional quality (64/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (€159.61 to €301.83) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range €97.11 – €448.00 · fair‑value band €159.61 – €301.83 · the €366.00 price screens above the €223.08 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 6, 2026.
Analysis
Spadel SA (SPA) currently trades at €366.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €223.08, implying the stock looks roughly 39.1% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 64/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Defensive sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Spadel SA generated revenue of €400M at a net margin of 12.8%. Revenue grew 13.0% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 15.5%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of €151M. Fundamentals as of Aug 6, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €159.61 (bear case) to €301.83 (bull case); at €366.00, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 1% below its 52-week high and 88% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Defensive peers we cover trades at -14% fair-value upside, at -39%, SPA screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 26 models by family
Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (€218.58) versus Dividend Discount (€36.44). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 6, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 64 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 82
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Spadel SA produces and markets natural mineral water in Belgium. It offers natural mineral and flavored water, including still and sparkling, as well as lemonades. The company provides its products under the Spa, Bru, Wattwiller, Carola, and Devin brand names. Spadel SA was founded in 1583 and is headquartered in Brussels, Belgium.
Full company description
Spadel SA produces and markets natural mineral water in Belgium. It offers natural mineral and flavored water, including still and sparkling, as well as lemonades. The company provides its products under the Spa, Bru, Wattwiller, Carola, and Devin brand names. Spadel SA was founded in 1583 and is headquartered in Brussels, Belgium. The company operates as a subsidiary of Finances Et Industries Sa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Spadel SA reported revenue of €400M in FY2025 versus €282M in FY2021, a compound +9.1%/yr. Reported net income was €51.2M in FY2025, compounding +17.7%/yr from FY2021.
SPA screens 39% overvalued. Compare with The Coca-Cola Company →
Peer Group
Beverages - Non-Alcoholic · 91 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Beverages - Non-Alcoholic median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Beverages - Non-Alcoholic stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 6, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Coca-Cola Company KO | $87.05 | $36.57 | -58% |
| PepsiCo, Inc PEP | $139.02 | $106.91 | -23% |
| Monster Beverage Corporation MNST | $97.50 | $35.82 | -63% |
| Nongfu Spring Co 9633 | HK$41.44 | HK$30.72 | -26% |
| Coca-Cola Europacific Partners PLC CCEP | €92.10 | €85.41 | -7% |
| Keurig Dr Pepper Inc KDP | $31.25 | $30.99 | -1% |
| Coca-Cola FEMSA, S.A. KOF | $102.04 | $106.45 | +4% |
| Coca-Cola HBC AG EEE | €57.90 | €52.82 | -9% |
| Varun Beverages Limited VBL | ₹495.70 | ₹187.49 | -62% |
| Eastroc Beverage (Group) Co 605499 | ¥124.43 | ¥107.57 | -14% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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