Virgin Galactic Holdings (SPCE) Fair Value & Analysis
Industrials · US · Market cap $355M
Virgin Galactic Holdings
SPCE · US
Fair value as of: Jun 24, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 6 days ago
Share price −53.2% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $2.25 – $7.81 · fair‑value band $8.32 – $13.86 · the $3.00 price screens below the $11.09 fair value. As of Jun 24, 2026.
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Virgin Galactic Holdings (SPCE) currently trades at $3.00, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $11.09 — implying the stock looks roughly 269.7% undervalued today. We read business quality at 95/100 (high quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low) — always confirm before acting.
Trailing-twelve-month revenue stands at $1.3M. Revenue declined 50.8% year over year. Net debt stands at $230M. Fundamentals as of Jun 24, 2026
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jun 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc., an aerospace and space travel company, focuses on the development, manufacture, and operation of spaceships and related technologies. It engages in the design and development, manufacturing, ground and flight testing, spaceflight operation, and post-flight maintenance of spaceflight systems for private individuals, researchers, and government agencies. Virgin Galactic Holdings, Inc. is headquartered in Tustin, California.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Virgin Galactic Holdings reported revenue of $1.5M in FY2025 versus $3.3M in FY2021, a compound −17.2%/yr. Reported net income was −$279M in FY2025.
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data — nothing guessed.
Educational research only · not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.