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Suburban Propane Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, (SPH) Fair Value & Analysis

Utilities · US · Market cap $1.1B

SP Suburban Propane Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, logo Suburban Propane Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, SPH · US
Price$17.71
Fair Value$15.79
Upside-10.8%
Quality53/100
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Healthy Growth
Thin margins · 9.6% net margin
High debt · generates free cash flow
7.85% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (10/15)
Moderate moat 64/100
Evidence: High Range $11.02 – $24.29 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 24 valuation models · updated 23 days ago

Share price −2.2% over the past month.

A solid business, but screening 11% overvalued on our models.

What matters now

  • A fairly wide model range ($11.02 to $24.29) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
  • Our model range runs from $11.02 (bear) to $24.29 (bull), base $15.79. The closer the price sits to the lower half, the larger the margin of safety.
  • Quality 53/100 (solid quality) with high evidence: the data supports the verdict.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$20.44 $10.03 Fair Value $15.79 Apr 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $10.03 – $20.44 · fair‑value band $11.02 – $24.29 · the $17.71 price screens above the $15.79 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

Suburban Propane Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, (SPH) currently trades at $17.71, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $15.79, implying the stock looks roughly 10.8% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 53/100 (solid quality), in the Utilities sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Suburban Propane Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, generated revenue of $1.4B at a net margin of 9.6%. Revenue declined 6.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 18.8%. Net debt stands at $1.3B. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $11.02 (bear case) to $24.29 (bull case); at $17.71, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 14% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Utilities peers we cover trades at -19% fair-value upside, at -11%, SPH screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth DCF $1.31 $6.49 80
Residual Income $9.13 $11.20 $20.25 76
Rev-Margin DCF $3.29 $15.18 $27.74 74
All 24 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF $1.32 $7.14 38
Owner Earnings $0.0100 $5.45 31
5Y Revenue Exit $3.29 $15.01 $29.63 39
5Y EBITDA Exit $3.87 $16.02 $29.66 41
5Y P/E Exit $7.47 $15.95 38
10Y Revenue Exit $8.86 $20.00 36
10Y EBITDA Exit $0.6200 $9.47 $20.02 37
10Y P/E Exit $4.26 $11.13 35
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $10.92 $22.33 $28.16 54
EPV $4.18 $7.23 $9.78 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM $9.86 $13.54 $16.91 70
DDM Multi-Stage $9.86 $13.20 $16.57 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple $21.69 $28.91 $36.14 63
P/S Multiple $20.48 $27.31 $34.13 58
P/B Multiple $12.18 $16.24 $20.30 55
EV/EBIT $16.78 $28.44 $40.10 53
EV/EBITDA $13.26 $23.75 $34.24 54
EV/Revenue $10.09 $22.22 $34.35 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $4.51 $6.04 $9.02 50
Growth DCF
Growth DCF $1.31 $6.49 80
Rev-Margin DCF $3.29 $15.18 $27.74 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income $9.13 $11.20 $20.25 76
ROIC Compounder $4.18 $7.23 $10.06 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $15.94 $22.78 $29.61 68

Widest divergence: Multiples ($23.75) versus Growth DCF ($1.31). Highest evidence: Growth DCF (80).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.4B
Revenue growth (YoY) -6.2%
Net margin 9.6%
Return on equity 18.8%
Free cash flow $114M FY2025
P/E ratio 8.7
More key figures
Operating margin 28.6%
EPS (TTM) $1.96
Dividend yield 7.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -1.9%
Net debt $1.3B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 53/100

Of which business quality 48 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 50

Profitability 42
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 49
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 56
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 12
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 79
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 92
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 32
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 33
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 72
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Suburban Propane Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, engages in the retail marketing and distribution of propane, renewable propane, renewable natural gas, fuel oil, and refined fuels in the United States. It operates through four segments: Propane, Fuel Oil and Refined Fuels, Natural Gas and Electricity, and All Other.

Full company description

Suburban Propane Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, engages in the retail marketing and distribution of propane, renewable propane, renewable natural gas, fuel oil, and refined fuels in the United States. It operates through four segments: Propane, Fuel Oil and Refined Fuels, Natural Gas and Electricity, and All Other. The Propane segment is involved in the retail distribution of propane for space heating, water heating, cooking, and clothes drying for use as a motor fuel in internal combustion engines to power over-the-road vehicles, forklifts, and stationary engines, as well as to fire furnaces as a cutting gas to the industrial customers; and for tobacco curing, crop drying, poultry brooding, and weed control in the agricultural markets. It also engages in the wholesale distribution of propane to industrial end users. Its Fuel Oil and Refined Fuels segment engages in the retail distribution of fuel oil, diesel, kerosene, and gasoline to residential and commercial customers for use in primarily as a source of heat in homes and buildings. The Natural Gas and Electricity segment markets natural gas and electricity to residential and commercial customers in the deregulated energy markets. Its All Other segment sells, installs, and services a range of home comfort equipment, including whole-house heating products, air cleaners, humidifiers, and space heaters. The company serves residential, commercial, industrial, and agricultural customers. Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. was founded in 1945 and is based in Whippany, New Jersey.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Suburban Propane Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, reported revenue of $1.4B in FY2025 versus $1.3B in FY2021, a compound +2.7%/yr. Reported net income was $107M in FY2025, compounding −3.5%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 70/100
Revenue growth appears healthy and is supported by profitability and cash-flow quality.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$1.4B
Latest YoY
+7.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
−1.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+5.3%
Avg. growth/yr (34Y)
+2.3%
Revenue +2.7%/yr
FY21 $1.3B
FY22 $1.5B
FY23 $1.4B
FY24 $1.3B
FY25 $1.4B
Net income −3.5%/yr
FY21 $123M
FY22 $140M
FY23 $124M
FY24 $74.2M
FY25 $107M

SPH screens 11% overvalued. Compare with Naturgy Energy Group →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Suburban Propane Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPH

Peer Group

Utilities - Regulated Gas · 104 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 53 · Above median
Fair Value upside −11% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 19% · Top 25%
Return on assets 6% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 29% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -6% · Below median
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 2.02× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Utilities - Regulated Gas median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 8.7× · Cheaper than 75% of peers
P/B 1.88× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 0.81× · Cheaper than median
P/FCF 9.9× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 8.2× · Cheaper than median
PEG 1.21× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 19 · sector 22
FUTURE 0 · sector 0
PAST 75 · sector 34
HEALTH 0 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 100 · sector 67

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Utilities - Regulated Gas stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Naturgy Energy Group NTGY €28.84 €35.80 +24%
Atmos Energy Corporation ATO $177.68 $85.67 -52%
NiSource Inc NI $47.07 $28.59 -39%
Uniper SE UN0 €42.80 €49.13 +15%
The Hong Kong and China Gas Company 0003 HK$7.03 HK$5.08 -28%
Italgas S.p.A IG €9.98 €8.11 -19%
GAIL (India) Limited GAIL ₹171.71 ₹147.74 -14%
Adani Total Gas Limited ATGL ₹723.90 ₹101.36 -86%
ENN Natural Gas Co 600803 ¥17.30 ¥25.71 +49%
UGI Corporation UGI $35.84 $27.13 -24%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Suburban Propane Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, (SPH) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $15.79 versus a price of $17.71, about −11% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SPH?
Our model-based fair value for Suburban Propane Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, is $15.79 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $17.71.
What is the quality score of SPH?
Suburban Propane Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, has a Quality Score of 53/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Suburban Propane Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, (SPH)?
Suburban Propane Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.4B (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SPH?
The net profit margin of Suburban Propane Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, is about 9.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 9.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Suburban Propane Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, pay a dividend?
Suburban Propane Partners, L.P., through its subsidiaries, currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.85% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 18, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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