Singapore Post Ltd (SPSTY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
We calculate from audited financials what Singapore Post Ltd is really worth. The fair value tells you whether the price is too high or too low, the quality score (0 to 100) how solid the business behind it is. 26 models, 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $4.50 – $16.65 · fair‑value band $3.95 – $6.58 · the $5.31 price screens above the $5.26 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 13, 2026.
Singapore Post Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the post and parcel, eCommerce logistics, and property businesses in Singapore and internationally.
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Singapore Post Limited, together with its subsidiaries, engages in the post and parcel, eCommerce logistics, and property businesses in Singapore and internationally. The company offers post and parcel related services for collecting, sorting, transporting, and distributing domestic and international mail, as well as agency, financial, and parcel delivery services; and sells philatelic products. It also provides eCommerce logistics, warehousing, fulfilment and distribution, freight forwarding, and other value-added services. In addition, the company provides property rental, as well as management, and advertising and promotion services. Further, it offers management and consultancy, customs brokerage, and financial and treasury services, as well as online shopping platforms and services. The company was founded in 1819 and is headquartered in Singapore.
Stock analysis
Singapore Post Ltd ADR (SPSTY) currently trades at $5.31, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $5.26, implying the stock looks roughly 0.9% fairly valued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $15.18 per share, and 10 of the 15 models we run sit above the $5.31 price.
Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at $2.99, and 5 of the 15 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $3.95 (bear) to $6.58 (bull), the price of $5.31 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 45/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Singapore Post Ltd ADR reported revenue of 376M SGD in FY2026 versus 1.7B SGD in FY2022, a compound −31.1%/yr. Reported net income was 60.8M SGD in FY2026, compounding −7.5%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $598M · P/E ratio 14.8 · P/S ratio 2.39 · EPS (TTM) $0.3600 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 16.2% · Return on equity 4.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 2.5%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 42 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 37% below its 52-week high and 17% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at 3% fair-value upside, at −1%, SPSTY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $3.95Fair Value $5.26Bull $6.58
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 5 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.1643 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.19/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−53.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−41.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−23.2%
Revenue growth 24 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−0.1%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−4.8%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−6.1%
Dividend (yield on the price)1.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−6% vs −9%, steady
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.4% → 3%
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 1.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 203 stocks
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Singapore Post Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SPSTY
Frequently asked questions
Is Singapore Post Ltd (SPSTY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $5.26 versus a price of $5.31, about −1% upside (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SPSTY?
Our model-based fair value for Singapore Post Ltd ADR is $5.26 (as of Sep 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $5.31.
What is the quality score of SPSTY?
Singapore Post Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 45/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Singapore Post Ltd (SPSTY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $5.26 (as of Sep 13, 2026) from 15 valuation models. Cautious scenario $3.95, optimistic scenario $6.58. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Singapore Post Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $5.26, about −1% upside versus a price of $5.31 (fairly valued). Cautious scenario $3.95, optimistic scenario $6.58. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Singapore Post Ltd (SPSTY)?
Singapore Post Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $376M (latest available figure, as of Sep 13, 2026).
Does Singapore Post Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Singapore Post Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.30% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 13, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Singapore Post Ltd (SPSTY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Singapore Post Ltd ADR it is $5.26 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026), against a price of $5.31. It is the blended result of 15 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Singapore Post Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 13, 2026, SPSTY trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.31, fair value $5.26, a gap of about −1% (fairly valued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SPSTY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.31); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($5.26). For Singapore Post Ltd ADR the two are $0.0500 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Singapore Post Ltd ADR worth?
The market values Singapore Post Ltd ADR at about $598M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 13, 2026). Per share that is $5.31; our models calculate a fair value of $5.26 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SPSTY?
Our models span a range for Singapore Post Ltd ADR: cautious scenario $3.95, base $5.26, optimistic $6.58 per share (as of Sep 13, 2026, price $5.31). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SPSTY?
Singapore Post Ltd ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 14.8 (as of Sep 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $5.26 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 0.5, P/B 0.5, P/S 1.4, EV/EBITDA 6.8.
What is the PEG ratio of SPSTY?
The PEG ratio of Singapore Post Ltd ADR is 0.45 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 13, 2026). That is below 1, so growth is priced more cheaply than the earnings multiple alone suggests.
How solid is the balance sheet of Singapore Post Ltd (SPSTY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Singapore Post Ltd ADR (as of Sep 13, 2026): return on equity 4.1%, debt of 0.21 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 45/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SPSTY from its 52-week high?
Singapore Post Ltd ADR trades at $5.31, about 37% below its 52-week high of $8.43 and 17% above the low of $4.54 (as of Sep 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $5.26 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Singapore Post Ltd ADR?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, FedEx Corporation, Deutsche Post AG, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Singapore Post Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 13, 2026: price $5.31, calculated fair value $5.26 (−1%), Quality Score 45/100, from 15 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SPSTY calculated?
We run Singapore Post Ltd ADR through 15 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $5.26, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 15.8 % above its aggregate fair value. Singapore Post Ltd ADR itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What should I pay attention to with Singapore Post Ltd ADR right now?
The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension. The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin. The data supports the verdict: every model runs on fully documented inputs.
Where does the earnings growth of Singapore Post Ltd (SPSTY) come from?
Earnings per share at Singapore Post Ltd ADR grew −0.8 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share −2.4 %, EBIT margin −10.2 %, tax rate +1.2 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +11.8 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Singapore Post Ltd ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Singapore Post Ltd (SPSTY)?
The market capitalisation of Singapore Post Ltd ADR is $598M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Singapore Post Ltd (SPSTY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Singapore Post Ltd ADR is 2.39 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Singapore Post Ltd (SPSTY)?
Earnings per share at Singapore Post Ltd ADR are $0.3600 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Singapore Post Ltd (SPSTY)?
The dividend yield of Singapore Post Ltd ADR is 1.3% (payout 19.2%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Singapore Post Ltd (SPSTY)?
The net margin of Singapore Post Ltd ADR is 16.2% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Singapore Post Ltd (SPSTY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Singapore Post Ltd ADR is 4.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Singapore Post Ltd (SPSTY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Singapore Post Ltd ADR is 2.5% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Singapore Post Ltd (SPSTY)?
The operating margin of Singapore Post Ltd ADR is 2.9% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Singapore Post Ltd (SPSTY)?
Revenue at Singapore Post Ltd ADR is growing −27.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg −41.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Singapore Post Ltd (SPSTY)?
Earnings per share at Singapore Post Ltd ADR are growing −16.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Singapore Post Ltd (SPSTY) generate?
The free cash flow of Singapore Post Ltd ADR is −$37.4M (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Singapore Post Ltd (SPSTY) carry?
The net debt of Singapore Post Ltd ADR is $79.8M (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Sep 13, 2026