Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings (SPWH) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $49.2M
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings
SPWH · US
Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026
From 11 valuation models · updated yesterday
Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $13.13 to $2.89 (−78.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −8.9% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $1.13 – $3.76 · fair‑value band $1.55 – $4.98 · the $1.17 price screens below the $2.89 fair value. As of Jul 19, 2026.
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Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings (SPWH) currently trades at $1.17, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.89, implying the stock looks roughly 147.0% undervalued today. We read business quality at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings generated revenue of $1.2B at a net margin of -4.2%. Revenue grew 2.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -26.5%. Net debt stands at $425M. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $1.55 (bear case) to $4.98 (bull case); at $1.17, the current price sits below that range. The share trades about 70% below its 52-week high and 8% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -21% fair-value upside, at 147%, SPWH screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, operates as an outdoor sporting goods retailer in the United States. It offers camping products, such as backpacks, camp essentials, canoes and kayaks, coolers, outdoor cooking equipment, sleeping bags, tents, and tools; and apparel products, including camouflage, jackets, hats, outerwear, sportswear, technical gear, and work wear. The company also provides fishing products comprising bait, electronics, fishing rods, flotation items, fly fishing products, lines, lures, reels, tackles, and small boats; and footwear products consist of hiking and work boots, socks, sport sandals, technical footwear, trial and casual shoes, and waders. In addition, it offers hunting and shooting products, such as ammunition, archery items, ATV accessories, blinds and tree stands, decoys, firearms, firearms safety and storage products, reloading equipment, and shooting gear products; and optics, electronics, accessories, and other …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Sportsman's Warehouse Holdings reported revenue of $1.2B in FY2026 versus $1.5B in FY2022, a compound −5.3%/yr. Reported net income was −$50.1M in FY2026.
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Similar stocks
10 more Specialty Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc ATD | C$82.26 | C$61.82 | -25% |
| Casey's General Stores, Inc CASY | $831.67 | $308.04 | -63% |
| Williams-Sonoma, Inc WSM | $206.94 | $116.29 | -44% |
| Ulta Beauty, Inc ULTA | $467.07 | $370.46 | -21% |
| DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc DKS | $238.57 | $229.41 | -4% |
| Best Buy Co BBY | $70.99 | $84.30 | +19% |
| China Tourism Group 601888 | ¥57.20 | ¥40.60 | -29% |
| Tractor Supply Company TSCO | $29.81 | $35.52 | +19% |
| Murphy USA Inc MUSA | $546.51 | $228.99 | -58% |
| Five Below, Inc FIVE | $193.45 | $184.19 | -5% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.