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SIR Royalty Income Fund, through SIR Royalty Limited (SRV-UN) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · CA · Market cap C$135M (≈ $97.2M) · ISIN CA8296361097

What is SIR Royalty Income Fund, through SIR Royalty Limited really worth?

SR SIR Royalty Income Fund, through SIR Royalty Limited SRV-UN · TO
PriceC$15.26
Fair ValueC$8.60
Upside−43.6%
Quality71/100

A solid business, but trading 77% above our fair value of C$8.60.

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Strengths

Highly profitable · 71.4% net margin
generates free cash flow
Ranks above peers (9/13)
Wide moat 71/100

Risks

!Weak Growth (revenue 3y −36.4 %/yr)

For context

·7.90% dividend yield
Evidence: High Range C$8.09 – C$9.37

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 19 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Share price −6.4% over the past month.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

What matters now

  • A high-quality business (quality 71/100), yet the market already pays well above fair value. Quality at a full price, with little margin of safety.
  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (C$9.37). The favourable scenario is already priced in.

Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

C$16.75 C$5.15 Fair Value C$8.60 Jun 2021 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range C$5.15 – C$16.75 · fair‑value band C$8.09 – C$9.37 · the C$15.26 price screens above the C$8.60 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

SIR Royalty Income Fund, through SIR Royalty Limited (SRV-UN) currently trades at C$15.26, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is C$8.60, implying the stock looks roughly 77.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 71/100 (solid quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of C$28.16 per share, and 10 of the 19 models we run sit above the C$15.26 price. Bear case: the Multiples group reads lowest at C$2.19, and 9 of the 19 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.

Over the trailing twelve months, SIR Royalty Income Fund, through SIR Royalty Limited generated revenue of C$11.2M at a net margin of 78.3%. Revenue grew 4.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.2%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 14.5. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from C$8.09 (bear case) to C$9.37 (bull case); at C$15.26, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 4% below its 52-week high and 28% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at −44%, SRV-UN screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
FCF DCF C$12.47 C$18.62 C$34.17 76
Residual Income C$8.09 C$8.60 C$9.37 76
Growth DCF C$11.83 C$19.49 C$32.01 74
All 19 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF C$12.47 C$18.62 C$34.17 76
5Y Revenue Exit C$5.26 C$7.07 C$10.16 70
5Y P/E Exit C$14.59 C$29.57 C$48.67 66
10Y Revenue Exit C$7.84 C$11.26 C$14.15 65
10Y P/E Exit C$13.49 C$26.24 C$47.74 58
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd C$6.87 C$47.81 C$67.09 63
Lynch FV C$14.11 C$20.15 C$26.20 61
PEG = 1.0 C$14.11 C$20.15 C$26.20 57
EPV C$0.4600 C$0.5200 C$0.5600 70
Multiples
P/E Multiple C$16.68 C$22.24 C$27.80 63
P/S Multiple C$1.35 C$1.81 C$2.26 58
P/B Multiple C$12.89 C$17.18 C$21.48 55
EV/EBIT C$1.65 C$2.19 C$2.72 63
EV/Revenue C$1.12 C$1.59 C$2.05 51
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) C$5.15 C$6.91 C$10.31 51
Growth DCF
Growth DCF C$11.83 C$19.49 C$32.01 74
Economic Profit
Residual Income C$8.09 C$8.60 C$9.37 76
ROIC Compounder C$0.4600 C$0.5200 C$0.5600 70
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E C$19.71 C$28.16 C$36.61 67

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings (C$28.16) versus Economic Profit (C$0.5200). Highest evidence: FCF DCF (76).

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Key figures & financial health

P/E ratio 14.5
P/S ratio 9.76 P/E × margin
EPS (TTM) C$1.05 price ÷ EPS = P/E 14.5
Dividend yield 7.9% payout 115%
Net margin 67.2% FY2025
Return on equity 10.2% TTM
More key figures
Profitability
Return on assets (EBIT) 18.1% avg 5y
Operating margin 84.9% TTM
Growth
Revenue (TTM) C$11.2M TTM
Revenue growth (YoY) +4.6% 3y avg −36.4%
EPS growth (YoY) +33.3%
Balance sheet & cash flow
Free cash flow C$9.4M FY2025
Net cash C$321K FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 71/100

Of which business quality 67 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 63

Profitability 46
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 51
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 85
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 60
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 88
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 100
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 45
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 53
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 83
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.

About the company

SIR Royalty Income Fund, through SIR Royalty Limited Partnership, creates, owns, and operates service inspired restaurants in Canada. The company operates concept restaurant brands under Jack Astor's and Scaddabush brands; and signature restaurants under the Reds Square One, Edna +Vita, The Antler Room, Duke's Refresher, and Loose Moose Tap & Grill brands.

Full company description

SIR Royalty Income Fund, through SIR Royalty Limited Partnership, creates, owns, and operates service inspired restaurants in Canada. The company operates concept restaurant brands under Jack Astor's and Scaddabush brands; and signature restaurants under the Reds Square One, Edna +Vita, The Antler Room, Duke's Refresher, and Loose Moose Tap & Grill brands. It also owns and operates seasonal restaurant and retail outlet under the Abbey's Bakehouse brand in Muskoka, Ontario. The company was founded in 2004 and is based in Burlington, Canada.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

SIR Royalty Income Fund, through SIR Royalty Limited reported revenue of C$12.6M in FY2025 versus C$7.1M in FY2021, a compound +15.3%/yr. Reported net income was C$8.5M in FY2025, compounding +14.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 40/100
Revenue growth is weak, negative or inconsistent.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
C$12.6M
Latest YoY
+18.2%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−36.4%
Avg. revenue growth/yr (21Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+8.2%
Value creation/yr (5Y) Earnings growth per share (CAGR 5 years) plus dividend yield: value created per share and year.
+11.8% (3.9 + 7.9)
Revenue +15.3%/yr
FY21 C$7.1M
FY22 C$49.0M
FY23 C$23.3M
FY24 C$10.7M
FY25 C$12.6M
Net income +14.6%/yr
FY21 C$4.9M
FY22 C$44.4M
FY23 C$19.1M
FY24 C$12.0M
FY25 C$8.5M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2014-2025) +6.2 % p.a.
Revenue per share +4.0 %

of which total revenue +2.8 % · buybacks/dilution +1.2 %

EBIT margin −6.9 %
Tax rate +0.8 %
Residual (interest, one-offs) +8.8 %

Annual growth per factor. These are factors, not summands: multiplied they give the EPS growth rate, added they do not quite. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

SRV-UN screens 77% overvalued. Compare with McDonald's Corporation →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SIR Royalty Income Fund, through SIR Royalty Limited Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SRV-UN

Peer Group

Restaurants · 220 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 71 · Top 25%
Fair Value upside −44% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 8% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 71% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) 125% · Top 25%
Revenue growth 7% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 7.9% · Top 25%

Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 14.5× · Cheaper than median
P/B 1.13× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 8.52× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/FCF 10.4× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 8.0× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 26
FUTURE34 · sector 18
PAST38 · sector 16
HEALTH0 · sector 97
DIVIDEND100 · sector 68

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Insider activity: 45/100

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
McDonald's Corporation MCD $260.06 $149.03 −43%
Starbucks Corporation SBUX $107.26 $35.83 −67%
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG $38.03 $17.92 −53%
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $153.31 $58.17 −62%
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR C$104.50 C$36.37 −65%
Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI $218.86 $173.68 −21%
Yum China Holdings YUMC $47.18 $54.27 +15%
Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH $198.99 $104.89 −47%
Dutch Bros Inc BROS $51.02 $12.80 −75%
Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ $332.06 $227.31 −32%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SIR Royalty Income Fund, through SIR Royalty Limited (SRV-UN) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of C$8.60 versus a price of C$15.26, about −44% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SRV-UN?
Our model-based fair value for SIR Royalty Income Fund, through SIR Royalty Limited is C$8.60 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: C$15.26.
What is the quality score of SRV-UN?
SIR Royalty Income Fund, through SIR Royalty Limited has a Quality Score of 71/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SIR Royalty Income Fund, through SIR Royalty Limited (SRV-UN)?
SIR Royalty Income Fund, through SIR Royalty Limited reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about C$11.2M (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SRV-UN?
The net profit margin of SIR Royalty Income Fund, through SIR Royalty Limited is about 78.3%, meaning it keeps roughly 78.3% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does SIR Royalty Income Fund, through SIR Royalty Limited pay a dividend?
SIR Royalty Income Fund, through SIR Royalty Limited currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.90% relative to its recent price (as of Aug 13, 2026).
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