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SSAB AB (publ) (SSAB-B) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 20, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of SSAB AB (publ) stock SEK 72.43, price SEK 103, upside -29.6%, quality 54 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

Fair value above price? No
Good quality? Yes
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Basic Materials · SE · ISIN SE0000120669

Some data Oct 13, 2026

SSAB AB (publ)

SSAB-B · ST

Overvalued / MonitorQuality is not strong enough to offset the price risk.

Our calculation puts a fair price 30% below what the stock costs today.

Low debt

Quality 54/100

Mixed Growth (revenue YoY −7.0 %/yr in SEK)

Thin margins · 5.7% net margin (TTM)

1.9% dividend yield · Watch coverage

Mixed vs. peers (6/14)

Some data

Fair value kr 72.43 · Overvalued (−29.6%)

Negative free cash flow

Narrow moat 39/100

⟳ Cyclical

26 models, one by oneBear kr 54.91 to bull kr 94.15 Growth analysisrevenue history, year by year Quality 54/100 in detail37 factors, each one shown Compared with its peersrank on every measure, side by side

Watch SSAB AB (publ) for free: we tell you when fair value or trend changes. Watch for free

What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range kr 24.91 – kr 109.40 · fair‑value band kr 54.91 – kr 94.15 · the kr 102.85 price screens above the kr 72.43 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 13, 2026.

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Company profile

SSAB AB (publ) engages in the production and sale of steel products in Sweden, Finland, Germany, Poland, Denmark, Asia, the Rest of Europe, the United States, and internationally. It operates through five segments: SSAB Special Steels, SSAB Europe, SSAB Americas, Tibnor, and Ruukki Construction.

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The SSAB Special Steels segment offers quenched and tempered steels, and advanced high-strength steel products. The SSAB Europe segment provides strip, heavy plate, and tubular products. The SSAB Americas segment is involved in the sale of heavy plates.

The Tibnor segment distributes a range of steel and non-ferrous metals in the Nordics and Baltics. The Ruukki Construction segment produces and sells building solutions. It also offers fossil free steel products.

The company markets its steel products under the Strenx, Hardox, Docol, GreenCoat, Toolox, Armox, Duroxite, Cor-Ten, SSAB AM, SSAB Boron, SSAB Domex, SSAB Form, SSAB Laser, SSAB Weathering, and SSAB Multisteel brands.

It serves heavy transport, automotive, material handling, construction machinery, energy, construction, protection, and tooling customers through its sales channels, service centers, and distributors. SSAB AB (publ) was founded in 1878 and is headquartered in Stockholm, Sweden.

Stock analysis

SSAB AB (publ) (SSAB-B) currently trades at kr 102.85, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is kr 72.43, 29.6% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of kr 89.08 per share, and 2 of the 14 models we run sit above the kr 102.85 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at kr 25.74, and 12 of the 14 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: kr 54.91 (bear) to kr 94.15 (bull), the price of kr 102.85 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 54/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.

Mixed Growth: Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.

SSAB AB (publ) reported revenue of 96.2B SEK in FY2025 versus 95.9B SEK in FY2021, a compound +0.1%/yr. Reported net income was 4.9B SEK in FY2025, compounding −24.0%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap 103B SEK (≈ $10.3B) Large · P/E ratio 18.7 · P/S ratio 1.05 · EPS (TTM) kr 5.58 · Dividend yield 1.9% · Net margin 5.7% · Return on equity 8.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 9.7%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 39 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 6% below its 52-week high and 83% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −43% fair-value upside, at −30%, SSAB-B screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear kr 54.91 Fair Value kr 72.43 Bull kr 94.15

Price kr 102.85 · Upside -29.6%

Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then (kr 2.87 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.

Best data coverage

Residual Income kr 54.91 kr 57.36 kr 63.09 73

EPV kr 57.65 kr 64.23 kr 69.90 72

ROIC Compounder kr 57.65 kr 64.23 kr 71.47 69

All 14 models by family

Earnings-Based

Graham-Dodd kr 33.45 kr 91.38 kr 119.84 60

Lynch FV kr 18.08 kr 25.82 kr 33.57 57

PEG = 1.0 kr 18.08 kr 25.82 kr 33.57 53

EPV kr 57.65 kr 64.23 kr 69.90 72

Multiples

P/E Multiple kr 62.71 kr 83.62 kr 104.52 61

P/S Multiple kr 62.71 kr 83.62 kr 104.52 56

P/B Multiple kr 148.50 kr 198.00 kr 247.50 53

EV/EBIT kr 74.15 kr 95.05 kr 115.94 65

EV/EBITDA kr 86.88 kr 112.02 kr 137.16 66

EV/Revenue kr 65.79 kr 89.08 kr 112.36 53

Asset-Based

NCAV (Graham) kr 16.99 kr 25.74 kr 32.18 53

Economic Profit

Residual Income kr 54.91 kr 57.36 kr 63.09 73

ROIC Compounder kr 57.65 kr 64.23 kr 71.47 69

Growth Earnings

Growth-Adj P/E kr 50.70 kr 72.43 kr 94.15 64

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 54/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 38

How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital

Quality Growth 10

Are margins and returns getting better?

Cashflow 37

Do the profits arrive as real cash?

Financial strength 83

Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble

Investment 77

Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?

Low Volatility 49

How calm the share price moves, does not count

Momentum 76

Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count

Near the 52-week high 94

Distance to the 52-week high, does not count

New shares 87

Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 55/100

Spin-off in 2024: revenue and profit before it include the divested business. Growth is measured afresh from 2024.

What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.

−6.5%

Earnings growth per share plus dividend.

Earnings per share, growth per year−8.4%

Dividend (yield on the price)1.9%

Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−8.4% vs 15.4%, slowing

Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−1% → 6%

Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)

SSAB-B screens overvalued: fair value 30% below the price. Compare with Nucor Corporation →

Earlier news

News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (71 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation. Positive

Recent news coverage is more positive than average.

SSAB (OM:SSAB A) Stock Sees Modest Fair Value Lift As Analyst Targets Move Higher Yahoo Finance · Oct 7, 2026
Steel Supply Shock Puts SSAB Stock In Focus Yahoo Finance · Sep 30, 2026
Wear-Resistant Materials Market Forecasts Growth from $10.9B (2026) to $17.6B by 2033, Profiling SSAB, Saint-Gobain, ArcelorMittal, Kennamet Yahoo Finance · Sep 15, 2026
SSAB (SSAAY) Upgraded to Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock? Yahoo Finance · Sep 8, 2026

Note from the team Oct 11, 2026

AI conclusion: Progress toward fossil-free steel via electric arc furnaces supports low-emission grades, yet the core commoditized business still shows limited pricing power and negative free cash flow.

Main risk: Capital and operational hurdles of the electric arc furnace transition risk further pressuring already negative free cash flow.

SSAB is moving ahead with its electric arc furnace transition and fossil-free steel production, marked by the recent concession for new power lines serving the Luleå plant. This supports its role in low-emission steel applications while the broader steel cycle stays challenging. Will the gains from specialty and sustainable grades more than offset the capital and operational hurdles of the shift?

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Steel · 398 stocks

Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures

A mixed picture versus its industry peers.

Valuation

Quality Score 54 · Above median

Fair Value upside −29.6% · Below median

Profitability

Return on equity (12 months) 8.1% · Above median

Return on assets 4.6% · Above median

Net margin (12 months) 5.7% · Above median

Operating margin (12 months) 9.7% · Above median

Growth and dividend

Revenue growth (quarter YoY) 7.2% · Above median

Dividend yield (12 months) 1.9% · Below median

Balance sheet

Debt / equity 0.11× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (12 months) 18.7× · Pricier than median

P/B 1.51× · Pricier than median

P/S (12 months) 1.05× · Pricier than median

EV/EBITDA 8.2× · Pricier than median

PEG 3.76× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

This stock

Sector peers

VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 24

FUTURE (revenue growth)36 · sector 33

PAST (return on equity)33 · sector 20

HEALTH (low debt)95 · sector 95

DIVIDEND (yield)39 · sector 52

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock	Price	Fair Value	vs Fair Value	Compare
Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019	¥5.90	¥8.07	+37%	vs SSAB-B
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL	₹1,216	₹1,095	−10%	vs SSAB-B
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL	₹175.50	₹148.06	−16%	vs SSAB-B
ArcelorMittal S.A MT	€56.52	€35.56	−37%	vs SSAB-B
Steel Dynamics, Inc STLD	$245.17	$140.62	−43%	vs SSAB-B
POSCO Holdings 005490	296,500 KRW	155,270 KRW	−48%	vs SSAB-B
Reliance, Inc RS	$411.17	$211.55	−49%	vs SSAB-B
Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL	₹1,013	₹516.27	−49%	vs SSAB-B
Nucor Corporation NUE	$251.83	$116.49	−54%	vs SSAB-B
Inner Mongolia Baotou Steel Union Co 600010	¥2.09	¥0.5300	−75%	vs SSAB-B

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SSAB AB (publ) · Fair Value
kr 72.43 −30%Fair Value
Calculator →

<a href="https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SSAB-B" target="_blank" rel="nofollow noopener" style="display:inline-flex;align-items:center;gap:12px;box-sizing:border-box;font-family:system-ui,-apple-system,Segoe UI,Roboto,sans-serif;text-decoration:none;background:#0f1814;color:#eaf2ed;border:1px solid #2a3a30;border-radius:12px;padding:12px 16px;max-width:360px"><span style="line-height:1.35"><span style="font-size:12px;color:#9fb0a8">SSAB AB (publ) · Fair Value</span><br><b style="font-size:20px">kr 72.43</b> <span style="color:var(--red);font-weight:700;font-size:14px">−30%</span></span><span style="font-size:11px;color:var(--fvc-g-mitte);font-weight:700;margin-left:auto;text-align:right;line-height:1.3">Fair&nbsp;Value<br>Calculator&nbsp;→</span></a>

Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SSAB AB (publ) Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SSAB-B

Frequently asked questions

Is SSAB AB (publ) (SSAB-B) overvalued or undervalued?

As of Oct 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of kr 72.43 versus a price of kr 102.85, about −30% upside (overvalued).

What is the fair value of SSAB-B?

Our model-based fair value for SSAB AB (publ) is kr 72.43 (as of Oct 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: kr 102.85.

What is the quality score of SSAB-B?

SSAB AB (publ) has a Quality Score of 54/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.

What is the price target for SSAB AB (publ) (SSAB-B)?

Our model-based price target is the fair value of kr 72.43 (as of Oct 13, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario kr 54.91, optimistic scenario kr 94.15. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.

What is the SSAB AB (publ) stock forecast for 2026?

Our models put fair value at kr 72.43, about −30% upside versus a price of kr 102.85 (overvalued). Cautious scenario kr 54.91, optimistic scenario kr 94.15. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.

What is the revenue of SSAB AB (publ) (SSAB-B)?

SSAB AB (publ) reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 97.9B SEK (latest available figure, as of Oct 13, 2026).

Does SSAB AB (publ) pay a dividend?

SSAB AB (publ) currently shows a dividend yield of 1.94% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 13, 2026).

What is the intrinsic value of SSAB AB (publ) (SSAB-B)?

Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SSAB AB (publ) it is kr 72.43 per share (as of Oct 13, 2026), against a price of kr 102.85. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).

Is SSAB AB (publ) stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?

As of Oct 13, 2026, SSAB-B trades above its calculated fair value: price kr 102.85, fair value kr 72.43, a gap of about −30% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.

Is fair value the same as the market price of SSAB-B?

No. The price is what the market pays today (kr 102.85); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (kr 72.43). For SSAB AB (publ) the two are kr 30.42 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.

How much is SSAB AB (publ) worth?

The market values SSAB AB (publ) at about 103B SEK (market capitalisation, as of Oct 13, 2026). Per share that is kr 102.85; our models calculate a fair value of kr 72.43 per share.

What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SSAB-B?

Our models span a range for SSAB AB (publ): cautious scenario kr 54.91, base kr 72.43, optimistic kr 94.15 per share (as of Oct 13, 2026, price kr 102.85). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.

What is the P/E ratio of SSAB-B?

SSAB AB (publ) trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18.7 (as of Oct 13, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of kr 72.43 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 3.8, P/B 1.5, P/S 1.0, EV/EBITDA 8.2.

What is the PEG ratio of SSAB-B?

The PEG ratio of SSAB AB (publ) is 3.76 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 13, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.

How solid is the balance sheet of SSAB AB (publ) (SSAB-B)?

Balance-sheet figures for SSAB AB (publ) (as of Oct 13, 2026): return on equity 8.1%, debt of 0.11 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 54/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.

How far is SSAB-B from its 52-week high?

SSAB AB (publ) trades at kr 102.85, about 6% below its 52-week high of kr 109.40 and 83% above the low of kr 56.10 (as of Oct 20, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of kr 72.43 is for.

Which stocks are comparable to SSAB AB (publ)?

From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Nucor Corporation, ArcelorMittal S.A, Steel Dynamics, Inc, JSW Steel Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.

Is SSAB AB (publ) stock attractive at the current price?

The data as of Oct 13, 2026: price kr 102.85, calculated fair value kr 72.43 (−30%), Quality Score 54/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.

How is the fair value of SSAB-B calculated?

We run SSAB AB (publ) through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of kr 72.43, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.

Is it still worth investing in stocks now?

The global stock market currently sits 13.9 % above its aggregate fair value. SSAB AB (publ) itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.

What is the share price of SSAB AB (publ) (SSAB-B)?

The closing price on Oct 20, 2026 was kr 102.85. Our model-based fair value is kr 72.43, about −30% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.

What should I pay attention to with SSAB AB (publ) right now?

The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (kr 94.15). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (54/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.

Key figures of SSAB AB (publ)

How large is the market capitalisation of SSAB AB (publ) (SSAB-B)?

The market capitalisation of SSAB AB (publ) is 103B SEK (≈ $10.3B). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.

What is the P/S ratio of SSAB AB (publ) (SSAB-B)?

The price-to-sales ratio of SSAB AB (publ) is 1.05 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.

What are the earnings per share of SSAB AB (publ) (SSAB-B)?

Earnings per share at SSAB AB (publ) are kr 5.58 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 18.7). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.

What is the dividend yield of SSAB AB (publ) (SSAB-B)?

The dividend yield of SSAB AB (publ) is 1.9% (payout 35.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.

What is the net margin of SSAB AB (publ) (SSAB-B)?

The net margin of SSAB AB (publ) is 5.7% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.

What is the return on equity of SSAB AB (publ) (SSAB-B)?

The return on equity (ROE) of SSAB AB (publ) is 8.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.

What is the EBIT return on assets of SSAB AB (publ) (SSAB-B)?

On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SSAB AB (publ) is 9.7% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.

What is the operating margin of SSAB AB (publ) (SSAB-B)?

The operating margin of SSAB AB (publ) is 9.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.

How fast is revenue growing at SSAB AB (publ) (SSAB-B)?

Revenue at SSAB AB (publ) is growing +7.2% versus a year earlier (3y avg −8.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.

How fast are earnings growing at SSAB AB (publ) (SSAB-B)?

Earnings per share at SSAB AB (publ) are growing +12.2% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.

How much free cash flow does SSAB AB (publ) (SSAB-B) generate?

The free cash flow of SSAB AB (publ) is −3.5B SEK (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.

How much net cash does SSAB AB (publ) (SSAB-B) hold?

SSAB AB (publ) holds more cash than debt, 11.4B SEK net (fiscal year 2025). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.

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