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STEEL EXCHANGE INDIA LIMITED (STEELXIND) Fair Value & Analysis

Basic Materials · IN · Market cap ₹15.8B

SE STEEL EXCHANGE INDIA LIMITED STEELXIND · NSE
Price₹10.60
Fair Value₹3.05
Upside-71.2%
Quality30/100
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Risks

!Trades 71% ABOVE our fair value of ₹3.05
!Mixed Growth
!Thin margins · 2.6% net margin
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 2.6% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/12)
Narrow moat 35/100
Evidence: High Range ₹2.70 – ₹3.73 Share as image

Fair value as of: Aug 13, 2026

From 16 valuation models · updated 8 days ago

Share price −9.8% over the past month.

Below-average quality, and screening another 71% overvalued on our models.

What runs behind every stock

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

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What matters now

  • The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹3.73). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
  • Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

₹25.53 ₹5.72 Fair Value ₹3.05 May 2021 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range ₹5.72 – ₹25.53 · fair‑value band ₹2.70 – ₹3.73 · the ₹10.60 price screens above the ₹3.05 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 13, 2026.

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Analysis

STEEL EXCHANGE INDIA LIMITED (STEELXIND) currently trades at ₹10.60, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹3.05, implying the stock looks roughly 71.2% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, STEEL EXCHANGE INDIA LIMITED generated revenue of ₹10.6B at a net margin of 2.6%. Revenue declined 1.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 3.7%. Net debt stands at ₹4.0B. Fundamentals as of Aug 13, 2026

Our scenario range runs from ₹2.70 (bear case) to ₹3.73 (bull case); at ₹10.60, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 24% below its 52-week high and 51% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -22% fair-value upside, at -71%, STEELXIND screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income ₹4.40 ₹4.26 ₹3.67 76
ROIC Compounder ₹4.92 ₹6.04 ₹7.51 72
Gordon GGM ₹0.0100 ₹0.0100 70
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹2.20 ₹3.83 ₹6.11 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹1.44 ₹3.05 ₹3.86 54
PEG = 1.0 ₹0.4600 ₹0.6600 ₹0.8600 46
EPV ₹4.92 ₹6.04 ₹7.01 59
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹0.0100 ₹0.0100 70
DDM Multi-Stage ₹0.0100 ₹0.0100 61
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹2.70 ₹3.60 ₹4.50 63
P/S Multiple ₹2.70 ₹3.60 ₹4.50 58
P/B Multiple ₹2.70 ₹3.60 ₹4.50 55
EV/EBIT ₹6.70 ₹9.52 ₹12.34 53
EV/EBITDA ₹5.95 ₹8.52 ₹11.09 54
EV/Revenue ₹5.57 ₹8.71 ₹11.86 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹3.01 ₹4.03 ₹6.02 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹4.40 ₹4.26 ₹3.67 76
ROIC Compounder ₹4.92 ₹6.04 ₹7.51 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹2.01 ₹2.87 ₹3.73 68

Widest divergence: Economic Profit (₹4.26) versus Dividend Discount (₹0.0100). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) ₹10.6B
Revenue growth (YoY) -1.4%
Net margin 2.6%
Return on equity 3.7%
Free cash flow −₹1.1B FY2026
P/E ratio 48.2
More key figures
Operating margin 14.9%
EPS (TTM) ₹0.2200
EPS growth (YoY) +150%
Net debt ₹4.0B FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 13, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 30 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 59

Profitability 31
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 22
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 51
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 65
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 67
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 61
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 48
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 20
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Steel Exchange India Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of steel products under the SIMHADRI TMT brand name in India. It operates through Iron and Steel, and Power segments. The company offers rebars; billets and ingots; sponge iron and pig iron; steel scrap; iron ore; and pillets.

Full company description

Steel Exchange India Limited engages in the manufacture and sale of steel products under the SIMHADRI TMT brand name in India. It operates through Iron and Steel, and Power segments. The company offers rebars; billets and ingots; sponge iron and pig iron; steel scrap; iron ore; and pillets. It also deals in a range of steel products, including semis, coal, scrap, and others. In addition, the company generates and sell power from waste heat recovery boilers. Steel Exchange India Limited was incorporated in 1999 and is based in Visakhapatnam, India.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

STEEL EXCHANGE INDIA LIMITED reported revenue of ₹10.6B in FY2026 versus ₹11.0B in FY2022, a compound −0.9%/yr. Reported net income was ₹270M in FY2026, compounding −30.6%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 19/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
₹10.6B
Latest YoY
−7.4%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
−8.6%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.4%
Avg. growth/yr (20Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.5%
Revenue −0.9%/yr
FY22 ₹11.0B
FY23 ₹13.9B
FY24 ₹10.9B
FY25 ₹11.4B
FY26 ₹10.6B
Net income −30.6%/yr
FY22 ₹1.2B
FY23 −₹589M
FY24 ₹109M
FY25 ₹259M
FY26 ₹270M
Character of growth · EPS growth decomposed (2015-2026) −4.1 % p.a.
Revenue per share −9.6 pp

of which total revenue −4.0 pp · buybacks/dilution −5.6 pp

EBIT margin +20.2 pp
Tax rate −0.1 pp
Residual (interest, one-offs) −14.6 pp

Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).

STEELXIND screens 71% overvalued. Compare with JSW Steel Limited →

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "STEEL EXCHANGE INDIA LIMITED Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STEELXIND

Peer Group

Steel · 388 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −71% · Bottom 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 4% · Below median
Return on assets 5% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM) 3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 15% · Top 25%
Revenue growth -1% · Below median
Debt / equity 0.31× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 48.2× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/B 2.06× · Pricier than 75% of peers
P/S (TTM) 1.49× · Pricier than 75% of peers
EV/EBITDA 13.8× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE0 · sector 15
FUTURE0 · sector 3
PAST15 · sector 16
HEALTH84 · sector 95
DIVIDEND0 · sector 48

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 13, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL ₹1,296 ₹1,119 -14%
Tata Steel Limited TATASTEEL ₹186.20 ₹145.39 -22%
POSCO Holdings 005490 325,000 KRW 155,270 KRW -52%
Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID 11,230 ARS 16,076 ARS +43%
Jindal Steel & Power Limited JINDALSTEL ₹1,114 ₹429.44 -61%
Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME ₹1,891 ₹793.69 -58%
Gerdau S.A GGBN 83.50 MXN 39.22 MXN -53%
Ternium S.A TXR 17,780 ARS 27,472 ARS +55%
NMDC Limited NMDC ₹84.35 ₹116.23 +38%
Jindal Stainless Limited JSL ₹735.40 ₹552.30 -25%

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Frequently asked questions

Is STEEL EXCHANGE INDIA LIMITED (STEELXIND) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Aug 13, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹3.05 versus a price of ₹10.60, about −71% (overvalued).
What is the fair value of STEELXIND?
Our model-based fair value for STEEL EXCHANGE INDIA LIMITED is ₹3.05 (as of Aug 13, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹10.60.
What is the quality score of STEELXIND?
STEEL EXCHANGE INDIA LIMITED has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of STEEL EXCHANGE INDIA LIMITED (STEELXIND)?
STEEL EXCHANGE INDIA LIMITED reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹10.6B (latest available figure, as of Aug 13, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of STEELXIND?
The net profit margin of STEEL EXCHANGE INDIA LIMITED is about 2.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 2.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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