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One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 15, 2026: fair value of One Group Hospitality Inc $1.59, price $1.41, upside +13.0%, quality 25 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? No
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Consumer Cyclical · US · ISIN US88338K1034

OG One Group Hospitality Inc logo Thin data Oct 2, 2026

One Group Hospitality Inc

STKS · US

SpeculativeUpside exists, but weak quality makes the signal speculative.

The stock costs 12% less than our calculation considers fair.

Fair value $1.59 · Undervalued (+13.0%)
Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +41.5 %/yr in USD)
Negative equity (buybacks among others)
Quality 25/100
Loss-making · -10.3% net margin (TTM) · excl. goodwill write-downs -9.7%
Negative free cash flow
Trails peers (3/9)
Narrow moat 13/100
Thin data
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$16.13 $1.41 Fair Value $1.59 Jul 2021 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $1.41 – $16.13 · fair‑value band $0.5455 – $1.59 · the $1.41 price screens below the $1.59 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 2, 2026.

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Company profile

The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc., a restaurant company, owns, develops, operates, manages, licenses, and franchises restaurants worldwide. The company operates through STK, Benihana, and Grill Concepts segments.

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Its restaurant brands include STK, an American steakhouse that serves steaks, seafood, and specialty cocktails; Benihana, a dining destination wherein chefs prepare food in front of guests and serve sushi and cocktails; Kona Grill, a casual bar-centric grill concept that serves American sushi and specialty cocktails; and RA Sushi, a Japanese cuisine concept that offered sushi and drinks.

The company also provides One Hospitality, a platform composed of F&B hospitality management services, which includes development, management, and operation of restaurants, bars, rooftop lounges, banqueting and catering facilities, private dining rooms, room service, and mini bars of hotels and casinos; and hospitality advisory and consulting services.

In addition, it operates Heliot, a steakhouse and bar; Radio Rooftop, a rooftop restaurant and lounge bar concept; Rivershore Bar & Grill; and Salt Water Social, which offers seafood items, beef dishes, and cocktails. The company was founded in 2004 and is based in Denver, Colorado.

Stock analysis

One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS) currently trades at $1.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.59, implying the stock looks roughly 11.5% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $14.45 per share, and 4 of the 4 models we run sit above the $1.41 price.

Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.44, and 0 of the 4 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is low.

Scenario range: $0.5455 (bear) to $1.59 (bull), the price of $1.41 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 25/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.

Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.

One Group Hospitality Inc reported revenue of $806M in FY2025 versus $277M in FY2021, a compound +30.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$92.2M in FY2025.

Key figures

Market cap $48.8M · P/S ratio 0.06 · EPS (TTM) $−3.84 · Net margin −11.4% · Return on equity −54.1% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.6% · Operating margin 3.8% · Revenue (TTM) $801M.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 13 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 49% below its 52-week high and at its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −20% fair-value upside, at 13%, STKS screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $0.5455 Fair Value $1.59 Bull $1.59
Price $1.41 · Upside +13.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Best data coverage
EV/EBITDA $14.29 $22.52 $30.75 66
EV/EBIT $8.23 $14.45 $20.66 64
NCAV (Graham) $1.82 $2.44 $3.64 54
All 4 models by family
Multiples
EV/EBIT $8.23 $14.45 $20.66 64
EV/EBITDA $14.29 $22.52 $30.75 66
EV/Revenue $2.16 $7.54 $12.93 49
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.82 $2.44 $3.64 54

Open the full fair value analysis →

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 25/100

It rates the business: profits, how they develop, real cash, balance sheet, investing and share count.

Profitability 17
How much profit the company makes from its sales and capital
Quality Growth 47
Are margins and returns getting better?
Cashflow 10
Do the profits arrive as real cash?
Financial strength 3
Debt, balance sheet and risk of trouble
Investment 27
Does it invest with discipline instead of growing at any price?
Low Volatility 22
How calm the share price moves, does not count
Momentum 11
Price trend of the last 3 to 12 months, does not count
Near the 52-week high 0
Distance to the 52-week high, does not count
New shares 74
Buys back shares or issues new ones?

Open the full quality analysis →

Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 35/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
+19.7%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+36.5%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+41.5%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +29.5% a year
Revenue growth 13 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+22.1%
Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
−9.6% (2020) → 5.4% (2025)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2025 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Restaurants · 212 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/9 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 25 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +13.0% · Above median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months) Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
Return on assets −10.4% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (12 months) −10.3% · Bottom 25%
Operating margin (12 months) 3.8% · Below median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −3.3% · Below median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.

Valuation Multiplesvs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper

P/B Negative equity ⓘThe company's equity is below zero, for example after large share buybacks. A ratio to negative equity has no meaning, so we show no number here and do not rank it against the peer group.
P/S (12 months) 0.06× · Cheapest 25%
EV/EBITDA 4.7× · Cheapest 25%
PEG 18.58× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)51 · sector 33
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 19
PAST (return on equity)0 · sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)0 · sector 94
DIVIDEND (yield)0 · sector 61

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value Compare
Yum China Holdings YUMC $42.84 $50.76 +18% vs STKS
Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG $30.77 $33.85 +10% vs STKS
Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR $71.12 $73.34 +3% vs STKS
Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI $197.66 $175.20 −11% vs STKS
Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH $161.50 $128.55 −20% vs STKS
Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ $310.90 $233.22 −25% vs STKS
McDonald's Corporation MCD $235.23 $162.81 −31% vs STKS
Yum! Brands, Inc YUM $144.82 $76.78 −47% vs STKS
Starbucks Corporation SBUX $92.00 $35.83 −61% vs STKS
Dutch Bros Inc BROS $38.05 $10.27 −73% vs STKS

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One Group Hospitality Inc · Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "One Group Hospitality Inc Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STKS

Frequently asked questions

Is One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 2, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.59 versus a price of $1.41, about +13% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of STKS?
Our model-based fair value for One Group Hospitality Inc is $1.59 (as of Oct 2, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.41.
What is the quality score of STKS?
One Group Hospitality Inc has a Quality Score of 25/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $1.59 (as of Oct 2, 2026) from 4 valuation models. Cautious scenario $0.5455, optimistic scenario $1.59. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the One Group Hospitality Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $1.59, about +13% upside versus a price of $1.41 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $0.5455, optimistic scenario $1.59. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS)?
One Group Hospitality Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $801M (latest available figure, as of Oct 2, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For One Group Hospitality Inc it is $1.59 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026), against a price of $1.41. It is the blended result of 4 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is One Group Hospitality Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 2, 2026, STKS trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.41, fair value $1.59, a gap of about +13% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of STKS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.41); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($1.59). For One Group Hospitality Inc the two are $0.1840 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is One Group Hospitality Inc worth?
The market values One Group Hospitality Inc at about $48.8M (market capitalisation, as of Oct 2, 2026). Per share that is $1.41; our models calculate a fair value of $1.59 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about STKS?
Our models span a range for One Group Hospitality Inc: cautious scenario $0.5455, base $1.59, optimistic $1.59 per share (as of Oct 2, 2026, price $1.41). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of STKS?
The PEG ratio of One Group Hospitality Inc is 18.58 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 2, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS)?
Balance-sheet figures for One Group Hospitality Inc (as of Oct 2, 2026): negative equity, so no return on equity and no debt-to-equity ratio. They feed the Quality Score of 25/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is STKS from its 52-week high?
One Group Hospitality Inc trades at $1.41, about 49% below its 52-week high of $2.75 and at the low of $1.41 (as of Oct 15, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $1.59 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to One Group Hospitality Inc?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value McDonald's Corporation, Starbucks Corporation, Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc, Yum! Brands, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is One Group Hospitality Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 2, 2026: price $1.41, calculated fair value $1.59 (+13%), Quality Score 25/100, from 4 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of STKS calculated?
We run One Group Hospitality Inc through 4 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $1.59, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.8 % above its aggregate fair value. One Group Hospitality Inc currently trades 12 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS)?
The closing price on Oct 15, 2026 was $1.41. Our model-based fair value is $1.59, about +13% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with One Group Hospitality Inc right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($0.5455 to $1.59). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Evidence is limited here (fewer models, shorter history), so the fair value is a rougher estimate than usual.

Key figures of One Group Hospitality Inc

How large is the market capitalisation of One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS)?
The market capitalisation of One Group Hospitality Inc is $48.8M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of One Group Hospitality Inc is 0.06 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS)?
Earnings per share at One Group Hospitality Inc are $−3.84. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the net margin of One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS)?
The net margin of One Group Hospitality Inc is −11.4% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of One Group Hospitality Inc is −54.1% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of One Group Hospitality Inc is 4.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS)?
The operating margin of One Group Hospitality Inc is 3.8% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS)?
Revenue at One Group Hospitality Inc is growing −3.3% versus a year earlier (3y avg +36.5%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS)?
Earnings per share at One Group Hospitality Inc are growing −2.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS) generate?
The free cash flow of One Group Hospitality Inc is −$27.3M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS) carry?
The net debt of One Group Hospitality Inc is $647M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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