The ONE Group (STKS) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $56.8M
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 8 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $12.56 to $1.86 (−85.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.3% over the past month.
Price vs Fair Value (12 months)
12‑month range $1.67 – $4.02 · fair‑value band $0.6354 – $1.86 · the $1.86 price screens below the $1.86 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.
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The ONE Group (STKS) currently trades at $1.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.86, implying the stock looks roughly 0.1% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, The ONE Group generated revenue of $807M at a net margin of -11.2%. Revenue grew 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -57.3%. Net debt stands at $647M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.6354 (bear case) to $1.86 (bull case); at $1.86, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at 0%, STKS screens cheaper than that median.
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
About the company
The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc., a restaurant company, owns, develops, operates, manages, licenses, and franchises restaurants worldwide. The company operates through STK, Benihana, and Grill Concepts segments. Its restaurant brands include STK, an American steakhouse that serves steaks, seafood, and specialty cocktails; Benihana, a dining destination wherein chefs prepare food in front of guests and serve sushi and cocktails; Kona Grill, a casual bar-centric grill concept that serves American sushi and specialty cocktails; and RA Sushi, a Japanese cuisine concept that offered sushi and drinks. The company also provides One Hospitality, a platform composed of F&B hospitality management services, which includes development, management, and operation of restaurants, bars, rooftop lounges, banqueting and catering facilities, private dining rooms, room service, and mini bars of hotels and casinos; and hospitality advisory and consulting services. In addition, it operates Heliot, a …
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
The ONE Group reported revenue of $806M in FY2025 versus $277M in FY2021, a compound +30.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$92.2M in FY2025.
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Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Compass Group CPG | $32.13 | $13.98 | -56% |
| McDonald's Corporation MCDS | C$24.01 | C$15.37 | -36% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | C$27.68 | C$7.21 | -74% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $30.54 | $26.56 | -13% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $150.74 | $59.42 | -61% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$101.81 | C$47.95 | -53% |
| Restaurant Brands International Limited RSTRF | $77.57 | $49.50 | -36% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc D1RI34 | R$265.92 | R$41.43 | -84% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $42.88 | $41.58 | -3% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $164.24 | $107.31 | -35% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.