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The ONE Group (STKS) Fair Value & Analysis

Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $56.8M

TO The ONE Group logo The ONE Group STKS · US
Price$1.86
Fair Value$1.86
Upside+0.1%
Quality23/100
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Evidence: Medium Range $0.6354 – $1.86

Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026

From 8 valuation models · updated today

Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from $12.56 to $1.86 (−85.2%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +0.3% over the past month.

Price vs Fair Value (12 months)

$4.02 $1.67 Fair Value $1.86 Jul 2025 Jul 2026

12‑month range $1.67 – $4.02 · fair‑value band $0.6354 – $1.86 · the $1.86 price screens below the $1.86 fair value. As of Jul 18, 2026.

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Analysis

The ONE Group (STKS) currently trades at $1.86, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.86, implying the stock looks roughly 0.1% fairly valued today. We read business quality at 23/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, The ONE Group generated revenue of $807M at a net margin of -11.2%. Revenue grew 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -57.3%. Net debt stands at $647M. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $0.6354 (bear case) to $1.86 (bull case); at $1.86, the current price sits within that range. The share trades about 65% below its 52-week high and 12% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at -36% fair-value upside, at 0%, STKS screens cheaper than that median.

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $807M
Revenue growth (YoY) +0.8%
Net margin -11.2%
Return on equity -57.3%
Free cash flow −$27.3M FY2025
Operating margin 7.7%
More key figures
EPS (TTM) $-4.04
EPS growth (YoY) -2.0%
Net debt $647M FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals (EODHD) · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

About the company

The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc., a restaurant company, owns, develops, operates, manages, licenses, and franchises restaurants worldwide. The company operates through STK, Benihana, and Grill Concepts segments. Its restaurant brands include STK, an American steakhouse that serves steaks, seafood, and specialty cocktails; Benihana, a dining destination wherein chefs prepare food in front of guests and serve sushi and cocktails; Kona Grill, a casual bar-centric grill concept that serves American sushi and specialty cocktails; and RA Sushi, a Japanese cuisine concept that offered sushi and drinks. The company also provides One Hospitality, a platform composed of F&B hospitality management services, which includes development, management, and operation of restaurants, bars, rooftop lounges, banqueting and catering facilities, private dining rooms, room service, and mini bars of hotels and casinos; and hospitality advisory and consulting services. In addition, it operates Heliot, a …

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

The ONE Group reported revenue of $806M in FY2025 versus $277M in FY2021, a compound +30.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$92.2M in FY2025.

Revenue +30.6%/yr
FY21 $277M
FY22 $317M
FY23 $333M
FY24 $673M
FY25 $806M
Net income
FY21 $31.3M
FY22 $13.5M
FY23 $4.7M
FY24 −$15.8M
FY25 −$92.2M

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "The ONE Group Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/STKS

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10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).

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Frequently asked questions

Is The ONE Group (STKS) undervalued?
As of Jul 18, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $1.86 versus a price of $1.86, about +0% (fairly valued). Model-based estimate, not financial advice.
What is the fair value of STKS?
Our model-based fair value for The ONE Group is $1.86 (as of Jul 18, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $1.86.
What is the quality score of STKS?
The ONE Group has a Quality Score of 23/100, measuring profitability, growth and balance-sheet strength from non-valuation factors.
What is the revenue of The ONE Group (STKS)?
The ONE Group reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $807M (latest available figure, as of Jul 18, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of STKS?
The net profit margin of The ONE Group is about -11.2%, meaning it is currently running at a net loss. Based on the latest reported figures.

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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Not financial advice · no buy/sell recommendation. Model-based estimates are not certainties; their reliability depends on data quality and assumptions.