One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS) Fair Value & Analysis
Consumer Cyclical · US · Market cap $56.8M · ISIN US88338K1034
What is One Group Hospitality Inc really worth?
One Group Hospitality Inc
STKS · US
Below-average quality, trading 10% below our fair value of $1.86.
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 19, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 12 days ago
Fair value updated Aug 19, 2026, revised from $1.87 to $1.86 (−0.1%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −5.6% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The model range is unusually wide ($0.6380 to $1.86). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution.
- The price sits in the upper half of our model range, so the margin of safety is thin.
- Read the verdict with care: some models are missing inputs, so the estimate scatters more than usual.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $1.64 – $16.13 · fair‑value band $0.6380 – $1.86 · the $1.68 price screens below the $1.86 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 19, 2026.
Analysis
One Group Hospitality Inc (STKS) currently trades at $1.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $1.86, implying the stock looks roughly 9.8% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 29/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector. Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $14.50 per share, and 4 of the 4 models we run sit above the $1.68 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $2.45, and 0 of the 4 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Over the trailing twelve months, One Group Hospitality Inc generated revenue of $807M at a net margin of −11.2%. Revenue grew 0.8% year over year. It earns a return on equity of −57.3%. Net debt stands at $647M. Fundamentals as of Aug 19, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $0.6380 (bear case) to $1.86 (bull case); at $1.68, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 68% below its 52-week high and 2% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −47% fair-value upside, at 11%, STKS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($14.50) versus Asset-Based ($2.45). Highest evidence: EV/EBITDA (66).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 28 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 12
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc., a restaurant company, owns, develops, operates, manages, licenses, and franchises restaurants worldwide. The company operates through STK, Benihana, and Grill Concepts segments.
Full company description
The ONE Group Hospitality, Inc., a restaurant company, owns, develops, operates, manages, licenses, and franchises restaurants worldwide. The company operates through STK, Benihana, and Grill Concepts segments. Its restaurant brands include STK, an American steakhouse that serves steaks, seafood, and specialty cocktails; Benihana, a dining destination wherein chefs prepare food in front of guests and serve sushi and cocktails; Kona Grill, a casual bar-centric grill concept that serves American sushi and specialty cocktails; and RA Sushi, a Japanese cuisine concept that offered sushi and drinks. The company also provides One Hospitality, a platform composed of F&B hospitality management services, which includes development, management, and operation of restaurants, bars, rooftop lounges, banqueting and catering facilities, private dining rooms, room service, and mini bars of hotels and casinos; and hospitality advisory and consulting services. In addition, it operates Heliot, a steakhouse and bar; Radio Rooftop, a rooftop restaurant and lounge bar concept; Rivershore Bar & Grill; and Salt Water Social, which offers seafood items, beef dishes, and cocktails. The company was founded in 2004 and is based in Denver, Colorado.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
One Group Hospitality Inc reported revenue of $806M in FY2025 versus $277M in FY2021, a compound +30.6%/yr. Reported net income was −$92.2M in FY2025.
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Peer Group
Restaurants · 230 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Restaurants median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Restaurants stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 19, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| McDonald's Corporation MCD | $260.06 | $149.03 | −43% |
| Starbucks Corporation SBUX | $107.26 | $35.83 | −67% |
| Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc CMG | $38.03 | $17.92 | −53% |
| Yum! Brands, Inc YUM | $154.41 | $58.17 | −62% |
| Restaurant Brands International Inc QSR | C$104.50 | C$36.37 | −65% |
| Darden Restaurants, Inc DRI | $218.86 | $173.68 | −21% |
| Yum China Holdings YUMC | $47.18 | $54.27 | +15% |
| Texas Roadhouse, Inc TXRH | $198.99 | $104.89 | −47% |
| Dutch Bros Inc BROS | $51.02 | $12.80 | −75% |
| Domino's Pizza, Inc DPZ | $332.06 | $227.31 | −32% |
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