Stalprodukt S.A (STP) Fair Value & Analysis
Basic Materials · PL · Market cap 1.1B PLN
Fair value as of: Jul 18, 2026
From 4 valuation models · updated 23 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 18, 2026, revised from 2,120 PLN to 374.71 PLN (−82.3%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price +6.8% over the past month.
A solid business, screening 70% undervalued on our models.
What matters now
- The price is below even our cautious bear case (317.21 PLN). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
- The large gap to fair value rests on thin data (low evidence): fewer applicable models and a shorter history. Read it with extra caution.
- Solid quality (52/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range 194.35 PLN – 365.76 PLN · fair‑value band 317.21 PLN – 432.20 PLN · the 220.00 PLN price screens below the 374.71 PLN fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 18, 2026.
Analysis
Stalprodukt S.A (STP) currently trades at 220.00 PLN, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is 374.71 PLN, implying the stock looks roughly 70.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 52/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: low), always confirm before acting.
Over the trailing twelve months, Stalprodukt S.A generated revenue of 3.6B PLN at a net margin of -1.6%. Revenue declined 13.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -1.6%. The balance sheet holds a net cash position of 736M PLN. Fundamentals as of Jul 18, 2026
Our scenario range runs from 317.21 PLN (bear case) to 432.20 PLN (bull case); at 220.00 PLN, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 20% below its 52-week high and 1% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at -7% fair-value upside, at 70%, STP screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 4 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (473.37 PLN) versus Dividend Discount (69.00 PLN). Highest evidence: Gordon GGM (70).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 18, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 52 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 43
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Stalprodukt S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells processed steel products in Poland. It operates through three segments: Electrical Sheets, Profiles, and Zinc.
Full company description
Stalprodukt S.A., together with its subsidiaries, manufactures and sells processed steel products in Poland. It operates through three segments: Electrical Sheets, Profiles, and Zinc. The company offers cold-bent sections, cold- and hot-rolled cut sheets and strips, transformer sheets and toroidal cores, cold-bent pipes and sections, road and bridge protective barriers, and transformer cores; and heat supplies, alterations/repair, transport and equipment-related, and hotel services, as well as edible protein casings, hoop iron products, and woodwork products. It is also involved in the spare parts production and repair; metallurgical products trading; property and people protection; construction production and galvanizing; non-ferrous metals mining and zinc and lead production; hydrogen sales; lightning protection wire and galvanizing; and internet commerce activities, as well as investigative, detective, and security-related business. The company sells its products through warehouses and sales offices. The company was formerly known as ZPH Stalprodukt S.A. and changed its name to Stalprodukt S.A. in 2005. The company was founded in 1991 and is based in Bochnia, Poland.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Stalprodukt S.A reported revenue of 3.7B PLN in FY2025 versus 4.7B PLN in FY2021, a compound −5.4%/yr. Reported net income was −50.7M PLN in FY2025.
of which total revenue +3.9 pp · buybacks/dilution +1.8 pp
Absolute contributions in percentage points per year; they sum to the EPS growth rate. Start and end points are 3-year averages (details on hover).
Watch STP: get an alert when its fair value changes →
Peer Group
Steel · 378 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Steel median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Steel stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 18, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tata Steel Limited TTST | $0.2010 | $0.2000 | -0% |
| JSW Steel Limited JSWSTEEL | ₹1,227 | ₹1,140 | -7% |
| Baoshan Iron & Steel Co 600019 | ¥5.89 | ¥8.07 | +37% |
| China Steel Corporation 2002A | 38.55 TWD | 8.74 TWD | -77% |
| POSCO Holdings 005490 | 313,500 KRW | 155,270 KRW | -50% |
| Companhia Siderúrgica Nacional, SID | 13,670 ARS | 15,940 ARS | +17% |
| Jindal Steel Limited JINDALSTEL | ₹1,028 | ₹545.12 | -47% |
| Lloyds Metals and Energy Limited LLOYDSME | ₹1,844 | ₹1,098 | -40% |
| Gerdau S.A GGBN | 83.50 MXN | 42.64 MXN | -49% |
| Ternium S.A TXR | 17,780 ARS | 27,210 ARS | +53% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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