Stratus Properties Inc (STRS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Sep 23, 2026: fair value of Stratus Properties Inc $13.79, price $18.16, upside -24.1%, quality 39 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $12.48 – $32.11 · fair‑value band $10.34 – $17.24 · the $18.16 price screens above the $13.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 23, 2026.
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Stratus Properties Inc., a real estate company, engages in the entitlement, development, management, leasing, and sale of multi and single family residential and commercial real estate properties in the Austin, Texas area, and other select markets in Texas. The company operates through Real Estate Operations and Leasing Operations segments.
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Stratus Properties Inc., a real estate company, engages in the entitlement, development, management, leasing, and sale of multi and single family residential and commercial real estate properties in the Austin, Texas area, and other select markets in Texas. The company operates through Real Estate Operations and Leasing Operations segments. Its leasing operations cover lease of space at retail and mixed-use and multi-family properties. The company was formerly known as Fm Properties Inc and changed its name to Stratus Properties Inc. in May 1998. Stratus Properties Inc. was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Austin, Texas.
Stock analysis
Stratus Properties Inc (STRS) currently trades at $18.16, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.79, implying the stock looks roughly 31.7% overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $24.36 per share, and 2 of the 6 models we run sit above the $18.16 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $17.16, and 4 of the 6 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $10.34 (bear) to $17.24 (bull), the price of $18.16 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 39/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Stratus Properties Inc reported revenue of $29.9M in FY2025 versus $28.2M in FY2021, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was $12.0M in FY2025, compounding −32.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $146M · P/E ratio 6.8 · P/S ratio 2.72 · EPS (TTM) $2.67 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 40.1% · Return on equity 6.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 21% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −9% fair-value upside, at −24%, STRS screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $10.34Fair Value $13.79Bull $17.24
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 9 months old). Earnings retained since then ($1.95 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.13/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−44.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −9.5% a year
Revenue growth 33 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−26.4%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−26.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−27% vs −1%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−15% → −73%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 10.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 132 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score41 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−24% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)6% · Above median
Return on assets−3% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)75% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM)−198% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−25% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.70× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
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Is Stratus Properties Inc (STRS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 23, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.79 versus a price of $18.16, about −24% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of STRS?
Our model-based fair value for Stratus Properties Inc is $13.79 (as of Sep 23, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $18.16.
What is the quality score of STRS?
Stratus Properties Inc has a Quality Score of 39/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $13.79 (as of Sep 23, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.34, optimistic scenario $17.24. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Stratus Properties Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $13.79, about −24% upside versus a price of $18.16 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $10.34, optimistic scenario $17.24. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
Stratus Properties Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $28.7M (latest available figure, as of Sep 23, 2026).
Does Stratus Properties Inc pay a dividend?
Stratus Properties Inc currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.17% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 23, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Stratus Properties Inc it is $13.79 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026), against a price of $18.16. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Stratus Properties Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 23, 2026, STRS trades above its calculated fair value: price $18.16, fair value $13.79, a gap of about −24% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of STRS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($18.16); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($13.79). For Stratus Properties Inc the two are $4.37 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Stratus Properties Inc worth?
The market values Stratus Properties Inc at about $146M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 23, 2026). Per share that is $18.16; our models calculate a fair value of $13.79 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about STRS?
Our models span a range for Stratus Properties Inc: cautious scenario $10.34, base $13.79, optimistic $17.24 per share (as of Sep 23, 2026, price $18.16). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of STRS?
Stratus Properties Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.8 (as of Sep 23, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $13.79 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 1.2, P/B 0.7, P/S 5.1.
What is the PEG ratio of STRS?
The PEG ratio of Stratus Properties Inc is 1.19 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 23, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Stratus Properties Inc (as of Sep 23, 2026): return on equity 6.2%, debt of 0.70 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 39/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is STRS from its 52-week high?
Stratus Properties Inc trades at $18.16, about 31% below its 52-week high of $26.13 and 21% above the low of $14.96 (as of Sep 23, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $13.79 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Stratus Properties Inc?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Swiss Prime Site AG, Central Pattana Public Company, Prestige Estates Projects Limited, The Phoenix Mills Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Stratus Properties Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 23, 2026: price $18.16, calculated fair value $13.79 (−24%), Quality Score 39/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of STRS calculated?
We run Stratus Properties Inc through 6 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $13.79, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Stratus Properties Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
The closing price on Sep 23, 2026 was $18.16. Our model-based fair value is $13.79, about −24% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Stratus Properties Inc right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($17.24). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (39/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Stratus Properties Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
The market capitalisation of Stratus Properties Inc is $146M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Stratus Properties Inc is 2.72 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
Earnings per share at Stratus Properties Inc are $2.67 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.8). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
The dividend yield of Stratus Properties Inc is 0.2% (payout 1.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
The net margin of Stratus Properties Inc is 40.1% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Stratus Properties Inc is 6.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Stratus Properties Inc is 1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
The operating margin of Stratus Properties Inc is −198% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
Revenue at Stratus Properties Inc is growing −24.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
Earnings per share at Stratus Properties Inc are growing −74.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Stratus Properties Inc (STRS) generate?
The free cash flow of Stratus Properties Inc is −$38.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Stratus Properties Inc (STRS) carry?
The net debt of Stratus Properties Inc is $84.7M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Sep 23, 2026