Stratus Properties Inc (STRS) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 6, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Stratus Properties Inc stock $13.79, price $17.02, that is 19.0% below the price, quality 42 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 6 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 8, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $12.48 – $32.11 · fair‑value band $10.34 – $17.24 · the $17.02 price screens above the $13.79 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 2 fiscal years are left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. As of Nov 8, 2026.
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Stratus Properties Inc., a real estate company, engages in the entitlement, development, management, leasing, and sale of multi and single family residential and commercial real estate properties in the Austin, Texas area, and other select markets in Texas.
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The company operates through Real Estate Operations and Leasing Operations segments. Its leasing operations cover lease of space at retail and mixed-use and multi-family properties. The company was formerly known as Fm Properties Inc and changed its name to Stratus Properties Inc. in May 1998.
Stratus Properties Inc. was incorporated in 1992 and is based in Austin, Texas.
Stock analysis
Stratus Properties Inc (STRS) currently trades at $17.02, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $13.79, 19% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $27.54 per share, and 3 of the 6 models we run sit above the $17.02 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $17.16, and 3 of the 6 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $10.34 (bear) to $17.24 (bull), the price of $17.02 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 42/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Stratus Properties Inc reported revenue of $29.9M in FY2025 versus $28.2M in FY2021, a compound +1.5%/yr. Reported net income was $12.0M in FY2025, compounding −32.4%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $137M Micro · P/E ratio 6.4 · P/S ratio 4.78 · EPS (TTM) $2.65 · Dividend yield 0.2% · Net margin 75.0% · Return on equity 6.2% · Return on assets (EBIT) 1.2% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 37 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 35% below its 52-week high and 13% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at −19%, STRS screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$10.34Fair Value $13.79Bull$17.24
Price $17.02 · Downside -19.0%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2025 figures (about 10 months old). Earnings retained since then ($2.27 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
SaleJames JosephDirector2× since May 18, 2026: 15,715 shares, avg. $28.80$452,564Jun 3, 2026
SaleOasis Management Co Ltd.10% owner2× since Nov 26, 2025: 10,818 shares, avg. $28.58$309,150May 26, 2026
Plus 6 other filings such as grants, option exercises or tax withholding. They are not market purchases or sales.
Sales are often planned (taxes, diversification, 10b5-1 plans). Purchases with their own money are seen as the stronger sign. For information only: not part of the quality score or Fair Value.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.13/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−44.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.3%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−7.6%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −9.5% a year
Revenue growth 33 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−3.2%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: adjusted.
−37.0%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−37.2%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.2%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−26.6% vs −0.7%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.−15% → −73%
Pace: the 5-year rate starts in 2020 (pandemic)
⚠ Revenue per share shrinking 10.9%/yr over ~10Y (margins eroding too) ⓘStructural-decline marker: revenue PER SHARE has fallen over the last decade (robust median trend, not a single year). Backtested across 2005 to 2017, such businesses trailed the market by about 2.5 percentage points per year. Display only: it does not change the fair value or the quality score.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (87 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Neutral
Recent news coverage is roughly neutral, about typical for how stocks are covered.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 114 stocks
Beats the industry median on 4/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score42 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside−19.0% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)6.2% · Above median
Return on assets2.1% · Below median
Net margin (12 months)75.0% · Top 25%
Operating margin (12 months)−197.7% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)−24.8% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)0.2% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.70× · Above median
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
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Is Stratus Properties Inc (STRS) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 8, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $13.79 versus a price of $17.02, about 19% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of STRS?
Our model-based fair value for Stratus Properties Inc is $13.79 (as of Nov 8, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $17.02.
What is the quality score of STRS?
Stratus Properties Inc has a Quality Score of 42/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $13.79 (as of Nov 8, 2026) from 6 valuation models. Cautious scenario $10.34, optimistic scenario $17.24. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Stratus Properties Inc stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $13.79, about 19% lower versus a price of $17.02 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $10.34, optimistic scenario $17.24. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
Stratus Properties Inc reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $28.7M (latest available figure, as of Nov 8, 2026).
Does Stratus Properties Inc pay a dividend?
Stratus Properties Inc currently shows a dividend yield of 0.17% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 8, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
Stratus Properties Inc has a dividend yield of 0.2%.
What is the intrinsic value of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Stratus Properties Inc it is $13.79 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026), against a price of $17.02. It is the blended result of 6 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Stratus Properties Inc stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 8, 2026, STRS trades above its calculated fair value: price $17.02, fair value $13.79, a gap of about −19% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of STRS?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($17.02); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($13.79). For Stratus Properties Inc the two are $3.23 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Stratus Properties Inc worth?
The market values Stratus Properties Inc at about $137M (market capitalisation, as of Nov 8, 2026). Per share that is $17.02; our models calculate a fair value of $13.79 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about STRS?
Our models span a range for Stratus Properties Inc: cautious scenario $10.34, base $13.79, optimistic $17.24 per share (as of Nov 8, 2026, price $17.02). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of STRS?
Stratus Properties Inc trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 6.4 (as of Nov 8, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $13.79 is built from several models across several years. Excluding one-off items of fiscal year 2025 it is 17.4 (reported for FY2025: 11.6). Other multiples: PEG 1.2, P/B 0.7, P/S 4.8.
What is the PEG ratio of STRS?
The PEG ratio of Stratus Properties Inc is 1.19 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 8, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
Balance-sheet figures for Stratus Properties Inc (as of Nov 8, 2026): return on equity 6.2%, debt of 0.70 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 42/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is STRS from its 52-week high?
Stratus Properties Inc trades at $17.02, about 35% below its 52-week high of $26.13 and 13% above the low of $15.03 (as of Nov 6, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $13.79 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Stratus Properties Inc?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Henderson Land Development Company, Swiss Prime Site AG, The Phoenix Mills Limited, Prestige Estates Projects Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Stratus Properties Inc stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 8, 2026: price $17.02, calculated fair value $13.79 (−19%), Quality Score 42/100, from 6 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of STRS calculated?
We run Stratus Properties Inc through 6 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $13.79 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.3% above its aggregate fair value. Stratus Properties Inc itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
The closing price on Nov 6, 2026 was $17.02. Our model-based fair value is $13.79, about 19% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Stratus Properties Inc right now?
Weak quality (42/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of Stratus Properties Inc
How large is the market capitalisation of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
The market capitalisation of Stratus Properties Inc is $137M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Stratus Properties Inc is 4.78 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
Earnings per share at Stratus Properties Inc are $2.65 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 6.4). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
The dividend yield of Stratus Properties Inc is 0.2% (payout 1.1%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
The net margin of Stratus Properties Inc is 75.0% (last twelve months). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Stratus Properties Inc is 6.2% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Stratus Properties Inc is 1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
The operating margin of Stratus Properties Inc is −198% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
Revenue at Stratus Properties Inc is growing −24.8% versus a year earlier (3y avg −7.3%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Stratus Properties Inc (STRS)?
Earnings per share at Stratus Properties Inc are growing −74.4% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Stratus Properties Inc (STRS) generate?
The free cash flow of Stratus Properties Inc is −$38.0M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Stratus Properties Inc (STRS) carry?
The net debt of Stratus Properties Inc is $84.7M (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 8, 2026