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SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD (SUNCLAY) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Oct 1, 2026: fair value of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD ₹709, price ₹1,183, upside -40.1%, quality 30 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? No
  2. Good quality? No
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · IN · ISIN INE0Q3R01026

SC Some data Sep 27, 2026

SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD

SUNCLAY · NSE

Weakest SetupStrongly overvalued and low quality.

!Fair value ₹709.19 · Strongly overvalued (−40.1%)
!Quality 30/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 5y +12.6 %/yr)
✓Solidly profitable · 12.3% net margin (TTM)
!Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
!0.4% dividend yield · Token dividend
!Trails peers (3/13)
!Narrow moat 40/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on dividend: 8 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

₹2,857 ₹1,130 Fair Value ₹709.19 Dec 2023 Oct 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

33‑month range ₹1,130 – ₹2,857 · fair‑value band ₹582.81 – ₹920.96 · the ₹1,183 price screens above the ₹709.19 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Sundaram-Clayton Limited manufactures and sells non-ferrous gravity and pressure die castings in India.

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Sundaram-Clayton Limited manufactures and sells non-ferrous gravity and pressure die castings in India. The company offers flywheel, gear, and clutch housing; and filter head, air connector, lube oil cooler cover assembly, filtration module casting, turbo charger, compressor cover assembly, charge air pipe, and intake manifold products, as well as cover coolant ducts for the truck segment. It also provides cylinder head, case transaxle assembly, oil pan, chain case, cylinder head cover, adaptor oil filter, fuel pump housing, fork gear shift, starter housing, and A/C compressor housing products for passenger cars. In addition, the company offers crank case, cylinder head and barrel, and wheel hub products for powered two wheelers and brake equipment valve bodies. Sundaram-Clayton Limited was formerly known as Sundaram - Clayton DCD Limited and changed its name to Sundaram-Clayton Limited in August 2023. The company was founded in 1962 and is based in Chennai, India.

Stock analysis

SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD (SUNCLAY) currently trades at ₹1,183, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is ₹709.19, 40.1% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of ₹1,983 per share, and 4 of the 12 models we run sit above the ₹1,183 price.

Bear case: the Earnings-Based group reads lowest at ₹361.75, and 8 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: ₹582.81 (bear) to ₹920.96 (bull), the price of ₹1,183 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 30/100 (below-average quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD reported revenue of ₹20.3B in FY2026 versus ₹16.6B in FY2022, a compound +5.1%/yr. Reported net income was ₹2.5B in FY2026, compounding +77.9%/yr from FY2022.

Key figures

Market cap ₹30.1B (≈ $312M) · P/E ratio 10.3 · P/S ratio 1.29 · EPS (TTM) ₹114.52 · Dividend yield 0.4% · Net margin 12.5% · Return on equity 22.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) −1.2%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −57% fair-value upside, at −40%, SUNCLAY screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear ₹582.81 Fair Value ₹709.19 Bull ₹920.96
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 6 months old). Earnings retained since then (₹55.76 per share) are deliberately not added. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
Owner Earnings ₹700.31 ₹1,041 ₹1,453 77
Residual Income ₹633.09 ₹773.20 ₹1,047 76
Gordon GGM ₹18.33 ₹26.05 ₹33.22 69
All 12 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings ₹700.31 ₹1,041 ₹1,453 77
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd ₹778.45 ₹1,659 ₹2,105 66
PEG = 1.0 ₹253.23 ₹361.75 ₹470.28 57
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM ₹18.33 ₹26.05 ₹33.22 69
DDM Multi-Stage ₹18.33 ₹24.84 ₹31.30 67
Multiples
P/E Multiple ₹1,889 ₹2,519 ₹3,148 63
P/S Multiple ₹826.92 ₹1,103 ₹1,378 58
P/B Multiple ₹1,460 ₹1,946 ₹2,433 55
EV/EBITDA ₹73.85 ₹217.91 ₹361.98 62
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) ₹293.79 ₹393.68 ₹587.59 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income ₹633.09 ₹773.20 ₹1,047 76
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E ₹1,388 ₹1,983 ₹2,578 67

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 30/100

Of which business quality 31 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 33

Profitability 49
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 20
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 32
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 29
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 68
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 25
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 6
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 59
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 59/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
−10.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+12.6%
Start year 2021 (pandemic)
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in INR ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Measured in INR: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+56.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+55.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)0.4%
Profit margin 2021 to 2026 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.5% → −5%

SUNCLAY screens overvalued: fair value 40% below the price. Compare with ATI Inc →

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Metal Fabrication · 252 stocks

Beats the industry median on 3/13 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 30 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside −40.1% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 22.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets −1.5% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM) 12.3% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −2.2% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth −10.5% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 0.4% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.65× · Highest 25%

Valuation Multiplesvs Metal Fabrication median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 10.3× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 2.32× · Pricier than median
P/S (TTM) 1.47× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 29.8× · Priciest 25%

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0 · sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0 · sector 43
PAST (return on equity)89 · sector 21
HEALTH (low debt)67 · sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)8 · sector 24

VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

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₹709.19 −40%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SUNCLAY

Frequently asked questions

Is SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD (SUNCLAY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of ₹709.19 versus a price of ₹1,183, about −40% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SUNCLAY?
Our model-based fair value for SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD is ₹709.19 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: ₹1,183.
What is the quality score of SUNCLAY?
SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD has a Quality Score of 30/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD (SUNCLAY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of ₹709.19 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario ₹582.81, optimistic scenario ₹920.96. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at ₹709.19, about −40% upside versus a price of ₹1,183 (overvalued). Cautious scenario ₹582.81, optimistic scenario ₹920.96. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD (SUNCLAY)?
SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ₹20.5B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD pay a dividend?
SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD currently shows a dividend yield of about 0.38% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD (SUNCLAY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD it is ₹709.19 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of ₹1,183. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, SUNCLAY trades above its calculated fair value: price ₹1,183, fair value ₹709.19, a gap of about −40% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SUNCLAY?
No. The price is what the market pays today (₹1,183); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify (₹709.19). For SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD the two are ₹473.81 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD worth?
The market values SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD at about ₹30.1B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is ₹1,183; our models calculate a fair value of ₹709.19 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SUNCLAY?
Our models span a range for SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD: cautious scenario ₹582.81, base ₹709.19, optimistic ₹920.96 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price ₹1,183). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SUNCLAY?
SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 10.3 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of ₹709.19 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 2.3, P/S 1.5, EV/EBITDA 29.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD (SUNCLAY)?
Balance-sheet figures for SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 22.3%, debt of 0.65 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 30/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SUNCLAY from its 52-week high?
SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD trades at ₹1,183, about 30% below its 52-week high of ₹1,697 and 5% above the low of ₹1,130 (as of Oct 1, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of ₹709.19 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value ATI Inc, Carpenter Technology Corporation, Mueller Industries, Inc, Bharat Forge Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price ₹1,183, calculated fair value ₹709.19 (−40%), Quality Score 30/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SUNCLAY calculated?
We run SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of ₹709.19, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD (SUNCLAY)?
The closing price on Oct 1, 2026 was ₹1,183. Our model-based fair value is ₹709.19, about −40% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (₹920.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (30/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.

Key figures of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD

How large is the market capitalisation of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD (SUNCLAY)?
The market capitalisation of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD is ₹30.1B (≈ $312M). The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD (SUNCLAY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD is 1.29 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD (SUNCLAY)?
Earnings per share at SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD are ₹114.52 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 10.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD (SUNCLAY)?
The dividend yield of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD is 0.4% (payout 3.9%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD (SUNCLAY)?
The net margin of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD is 12.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD (SUNCLAY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD is 22.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD (SUNCLAY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD is −1.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD (SUNCLAY)?
The operating margin of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD is −2.2% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD (SUNCLAY)?
Revenue at SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD is growing −10.5% versus a year earlier (3y avg 0.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD (SUNCLAY)?
Earnings per share at SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD are growing +184% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD (SUNCLAY) generate?
The free cash flow of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD is −₹3.8B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD (SUNCLAY) carry?
The net debt of SUNDARAM CLAYTON LTD is ₹12.4B (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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