Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · GB · Market cap 1.1B GBX · ISIN GB00BF345X11
What is Supermarket Income REIT PLC really worth?
A solid business, but trading 16% above our fair value of £0.7200.
As of Aug 30, 2026, the fair value of Supermarket Income REIT PLC is £0.7200 per share against a price of £0.8375, so the fair value sits 14% below the price. A model estimate blended from multiple valuation models, recalculated regularly.
Strengths
Risks
For context
Fair value as of: Aug 30, 2026
From 16 valuation models · updated 7 days ago
Share price −3.5% over the past month.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- Solid but not exceptional quality (61/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder.
- A fairly wide model range (£0.4800 to £1.00) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range £0.5444 – £0.9706 · fair‑value band £0.4800 – £1.00 · the £0.8375 price screens above the £0.7200 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). 1 fiscal year is left out: there the valuation rested on only a fraction of the usual models. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 30, 2026.
Analysis
Supermarket Income REIT PLC (SUPR) currently trades at £0.8375, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is £0.7200, implying the stock looks roughly 16.3% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 61/100 (solid quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bull case: the DCF Models group reads highest at a median of £0.9800 per share, and 7 of the 16 models we run sit above the £0.8375 price. Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at £0.5900, and 9 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Over the trailing twelve months, Supermarket Income REIT PLC generated revenue of £108M at a net margin of 56.5%. Revenue declined 10.9% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 5.5%. Net debt stands at £508M. Fundamentals as of Aug 30, 2026
Our scenario range runs from £0.4800 (bear case) to £1.00 (bull case); at £0.8375, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −51% fair-value upside, at −14%, SUPR screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted, family-balanced blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
All 16 models by family
Widest divergence: DCF Models (£0.9800) versus Asset-Based (£0.5900). Highest evidence: Residual Income (76).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 30, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 60 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 66
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Supermarket Income REIT plc, a FTSE 250 company, is the only LSE listed company dedicated to investing in grocery properties which are an essential part of national food infrastructure.
Full company description
Supermarket Income REIT plc, a FTSE 250 company, is the only LSE listed company dedicated to investing in grocery properties which are an essential part of national food infrastructure. The Company focuses on grocery stores which are predominantly omnichannel, fulfilling online and in-person sales and are let to leading supermarket operators in the UK and Europe. The portfolio was valued at 1.6 billion as of 30 June 2025. The Company's properties earn long-dated, secure, inflation-linked, growing rental income. SUPR targets a progressive dividend and the potential for long term capital growth. The Company's shares are traded on the LSE's Main Market and on the Main Board of the JSE Limited in South Africa. Supermarket Income REIT plc was incorporated in 2017 in South Africa.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Supermarket Income REIT PLC reported revenue of £115M in FY2025 versus £49.0M in FY2021, a compound +23.7%/yr. Reported net income was £61.5M in FY2025, compounding −6.9%/yr from FY2021.
SUPR screens 16% overvalued. Compare with Simon Property Group →
Earlier news
External third-party headlines (Yahoo Finance, Reuters and others), not an editorial selection.
- Zephyr Energy, Sintana Energy, Genel Energy, Supermarket Income REIT - Small Cap Snapshot
- Futura Medical, Ilika, Rome Resources, Galantas Gold, Supermarket Income REIT - Small Cap Snapshot
- Why Jefferies thinks Supermarket Income REIT is worth buying after solid update
- Supermarket Income REIT H1 Earnings Call Highlights
Peer Group
REIT - Retail · 94 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs REIT - Retail median · lower = cheaper
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Insider activity: 35/100
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more REIT - Retail stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 30, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Simon Property Group SPG | $212.32 | $84.26 | −60% |
| Realty Income Corporation O | $61.98 | $30.45 | −51% |
| Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield SE URW | €103.40 | €98.09 | −5% |
| Kimco Realty Corporation KIM | $23.71 | $12.49 | −47% |
| CapitaLand Integrated Commercial Trust (CICT or the Trust) C38U | 2.38 SGD | 0.9100 SGD | −62% |
| Scentre Group SCG | A$3.56 | A$3.34 | −6% |
| Regency Centers Corporation REG | $75.92 | $33.37 | −56% |
| Link Real Estate Investment Trust (Link REIT) 0823 | HK$39.76 | HK$41.98 | +6% |
| Federal Realty Investment Trust FRT | $116.75 | $41.47 | −64% |
| Brixmor Property Group BRX | $29.50 | $12.34 | −58% |
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