Sumitomo Realty & Development Co (SURDF) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · US · Market cap $19.6B
Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026
From 7 valuation models · updated 14 days ago
Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $21.82 to $21.47 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −4.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.
What matters now
- The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (5 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.90 – $33.19 · fair‑value band $18.01 – $30.02 · the $22.98 price screens above the $21.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.
Analysis
Sumitomo Realty & Development Co (SURDF) currently trades at $22.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.47, implying the stock looks roughly 6.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).
Over the trailing twelve months, Sumitomo Realty & Development Co generated revenue of $1.1T at a net margin of 20.1%. Revenue grew 20.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.2%. Net debt stands at $3.9T. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026
Our scenario range runs from $18.01 (bear case) to $30.02 (bull case); at $22.98, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at -7%, SURDF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 7 models by family
Widest divergence: Multiples ($3,520) versus Asset-Based ($1,804). Highest evidence: Residual Income (61).
Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
About the company
Sumitomo Realty & Development Co., Ltd. operates as a real estate company in Japan. It develops and leases office buildings; develops and sells condominium units, and detached houses; and develops, leases, and sells real estate properties, as well as operates and manages office buildings, multipurpose halls, commercial complexes, hotels, fitness clubs, golf …
Full company description
Sumitomo Realty & Development Co., Ltd. operates as a real estate company in Japan. It develops and leases office buildings; develops and sells condominium units, and detached houses; and develops, leases, and sells real estate properties, as well as operates and manages office buildings, multipurpose halls, commercial complexes, hotels, fitness clubs, golf course, and retail facilities. The company also engages in provision of asset utilization services; remodeling of detached houses/condominiums; construction, design, and supervision of construction activities; and sale, brokerage, and appraisal of real estate. In addition, it provides parking lot, house cleaning, interior designing/sales, and catering services; fire, life, medical insurance, etc.; and operates Japanese and Western restaurants, and convenience stores under the Rieven House brand name. It serves corporate and private customers. The company was formerly known as Izumi Real Estate Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Sumitomo Realty & Development Co., Ltd. in 1957. Sumitomo Realty & Development Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1949 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years
Sumitomo Realty & Development Co reported revenue of $1.1T in FY2026 versus $939B in FY2022, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was $214B in FY2026, compounding +9.2%/yr from FY2022.
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Peer Group
Real Estate Services · 521 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC | 223,000 VND | 25,731 VND | -88% |
| KE Holdings 2423 | HK$44.76 | HK$18.03 | -60% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$23.90 | HK$18.75 | -22% |
| Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA | 3,725 CLP | 5,571 CLP | +50% |
| SAGAA SAGAA | kr 170.00 | kr 75.55 | -56% |
| Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS | 2,324 CLP | 2,976 CLP | +28% |
| PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR | 372.00 IDR | 1,208 IDR | +225% |
| PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI | 20,975 IDR | 19,160 IDR | -9% |
| PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK | 3,530 IDR | 3,464 IDR | -2% |
| IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA | 2,495 ARS | 3,998 ARS | +60% |
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Frequently asked questions
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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