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Sumitomo Realty & Development Co (SURDF) Fair Value & Analysis

Real Estate · US · Market cap $19.6B

SR Sumitomo Realty & Development Co logo Sumitomo Realty & Development Co SURDF · US
Price$22.98
Fair Value$21.47
Upside-6.6%
Quality46/100
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Expensive Growth
Highly profitable · 20.1% net margin
Moderate debt · negative free cash flow
1.55% dividend yield
Mixed vs. peers (5/11)
Moderate moat 51/100
Evidence: High Range $18.01 – $30.02 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 27, 2026

From 7 valuation models · updated 14 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 27, 2026, revised from $21.82 to $21.47 (−1.6%) since Jun 26, 2026. Share price −4.5% over the past month.

Below-average quality, currently priced close to our fair value.

What matters now

  • The price sits close to our fair value, market and models broadly agree here, little valuation tension.
  • As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
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Price vs Fair Value (5 years)

$33.19 $8.90 Fair Value $21.47 Aug 2015 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

60‑month range $8.90 – $33.19 · fair‑value band $18.01 – $30.02 · the $22.98 price screens above the $21.47 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 27, 2026.

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Analysis

Sumitomo Realty & Development Co (SURDF) currently trades at $22.98, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $21.47, implying the stock looks roughly 6.6% fairly valued today. The Quality Score stands at 46/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: high).

Over the trailing twelve months, Sumitomo Realty & Development Co generated revenue of $1.1T at a net margin of 20.1%. Revenue grew 20.4% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.2%. Net debt stands at $3.9T. Fundamentals as of Jul 27, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $18.01 (bear case) to $30.02 (bull case); at $22.98, the current price sits within that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 31% below its 52-week high and 29% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -2% fair-value upside, at -7%, SURDF screens richer than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model BearBaseBull Evidence
Highest evidence
Residual Income $2,279 $2,472 $3,133 61
P/S Multiple $2,952 $3,937 $4,921 58
P/B Multiple $2,952 $3,937 $4,921 55
All 7 models by family
Multiples
P/S Multiple $2,952 $3,937 $4,921 58
P/B Multiple $2,952 $3,937 $4,921 55
EV/EBIT $1,727 $3,520 $5,312 53
EV/EBITDA $1,565 $3,304 $5,043 54
EV/Revenue $586.38 $1,858 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1,346 $1,804 $2,692 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $2,279 $2,472 $3,133 61

Widest divergence: Multiples ($3,520) versus Asset-Based ($1,804). Highest evidence: Residual Income (61).

Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $1.1T
Revenue growth (YoY) +20.4%
Net margin 20.1%
Return on equity 9.2%
Free cash flow −$18.5B FY2026
P/E ratio 15.0
More key figures
Operating margin 21.8%
EPS (TTM) $1.42
Dividend yield 1.6%
EPS growth (YoY) -14.9%
Net debt $3.9T FY2026

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 27, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 46/100

Of which business quality 44 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55

Profitability 33
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 41
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 17
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 42
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 52
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 45
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 60
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 58
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Sumitomo Realty & Development Co., Ltd. operates as a real estate company in Japan. It develops and leases office buildings; develops and sells condominium units, and detached houses; and develops, leases, and sells real estate properties, as well as operates and manages office buildings, multipurpose halls, commercial complexes, hotels, fitness clubs, golf …

Full company description

Sumitomo Realty & Development Co., Ltd. operates as a real estate company in Japan. It develops and leases office buildings; develops and sells condominium units, and detached houses; and develops, leases, and sells real estate properties, as well as operates and manages office buildings, multipurpose halls, commercial complexes, hotels, fitness clubs, golf course, and retail facilities. The company also engages in provision of asset utilization services; remodeling of detached houses/condominiums; construction, design, and supervision of construction activities; and sale, brokerage, and appraisal of real estate. In addition, it provides parking lot, house cleaning, interior designing/sales, and catering services; fire, life, medical insurance, etc.; and operates Japanese and Western restaurants, and convenience stores under the Rieven House brand name. It serves corporate and private customers. The company was formerly known as Izumi Real Estate Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Sumitomo Realty & Development Co., Ltd. in 1957. Sumitomo Realty & Development Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1949 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2022 – FY2026 · reported fiscal years

Sumitomo Realty & Development Co reported revenue of $1.1T in FY2026 versus $939B in FY2022, a compound +3.2%/yr. Reported net income was $214B in FY2026, compounding +9.2%/yr from FY2022.

Growth Quality 37/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2026)
$1.1T
Latest YoY
+4.9%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y)
+4.2%
Avg. growth/yr (5Y)
+3.0%
Avg. growth/yr (26Y)
+3.6%
Revenue +3.2%/yr
FY22 $939B
FY23 $940B
FY24 $968B
FY25 $1.0T
FY26 $1.1T
Net income +9.2%/yr
FY22 $150B
FY23 $162B
FY24 $177B
FY25 $192B
FY26 $214B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sumitomo Realty & Development Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SURDF

Peer Group

Real Estate Services · 521 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 47 · Below median
Fair Value upside −7% · Below median
Return on equity (TTM) 9% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 20% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 22% · Above median
Revenue growth 20% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 1.6% · Below median
Debt / equity 1.38× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 15.0× · Pricier than median
PEG 3.01× · Pricier than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 25 · sector 37
FUTURE 100 · sector 10
PAST 37 · sector 16
HEALTH 31 · sector 85
DIVIDEND 31 · sector 49

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 27, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
Vingroup Joint Stock Company VIC 223,000 VND 25,731 VND -88%
KE Holdings 2423 HK$44.76 HK$18.03 -60%
Swire Properties Limited 1972 HK$23.90 HK$18.75 -22%
Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA 3,725 CLP 5,571 CLP +50%
SAGAA SAGAA kr 170.00 kr 75.55 -56%
Cencosud Shopping S.A CENCOMALLS 2,324 CLP 2,976 CLP +28%
PT Sarana Menara Nusantara Tbk. owns and TOWR 372.00 IDR 1,208 IDR +225%
PT Metropolitan Kentjana Tbk MKPI 20,975 IDR 19,160 IDR -9%
PT Bangun Kosambi Sukses Tbk, CBDK 3,530 IDR 3,464 IDR -2%
IRSA Inversiones y Representaciones Sociedad Anónima, IRSA 2,495 ARS 3,998 ARS +60%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Sumitomo Realty & Development Co (SURDF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $21.47 versus a price of $22.98, about −7% (fairly valued).
What is the fair value of SURDF?
Our model-based fair value for Sumitomo Realty & Development Co is $21.47 (as of Jul 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $22.98.
What is the quality score of SURDF?
Sumitomo Realty & Development Co has a Quality Score of 46/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co (SURDF)?
Sumitomo Realty & Development Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $1.1T (latest available figure, as of Jul 27, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SURDF?
The net profit margin of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co is about 20.1%, meaning it keeps roughly 20.1% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Sumitomo Realty & Development Co pay a dividend?
Sumitomo Realty & Development Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 1.55% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 27, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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