Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Nov 13, 2026: fair value (intrinsic value) of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd stock $16.06, price $23.07, that is 30.4% below the price, quality 49 out of 100. Rating: overvalued. Calculated from audited financials with 9 of our 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceableSee the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year. As of Nov 12, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $8.71 – $33.12 · fair‑value band $14.75 – $18.96 · the $23.07 price screens above the $16.06 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). As of Nov 12, 2026.
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Sumitomo Realty & Development Co., Ltd. operates as a real estate company in Japan.
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It develops and leases office buildings; develops and sells condominium units, and detached houses; and develops, leases, and sells real estate properties, as well as operates and manages office buildings, multipurpose halls, commercial complexes, hotels, fitness clubs, golf course, and retail facilities.
The company also engages in provision of asset utilization services; remodeling of detached houses/condominiums; construction, design, and supervision of construction activities; and sale, brokerage, and appraisal of real estate.
In addition, it provides parking lot, house cleaning, interior designing/sales, and catering services; fire, life, medical insurance, etc.; and operates Japanese and Western restaurants, and convenience stores under the Rieven House brand name. It serves corporate and private customers.
The company was formerly known as Izumi Real Estate Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Sumitomo Realty & Development Co., Ltd. in 1957. Sumitomo Realty & Development Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 1949 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.
Stock analysis
Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF) currently trades at $23.07, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $16.06, 30% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $21.17 per share, and 2 of the 8 models we run sit above the $23.07 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $6.49, and 6 of the 8 models stay below the price. Data coverage for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $14.75 (bear) to $18.96 (bull), the price of $23.07 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd reported revenue of ¥1.1T in FY2026 versus ¥939B in FY2022, a compound +3.0%/yr. Reported net income was ¥213B in FY2026, compounding +9.0%/yr from FY2022.
Key figures
Market cap $21.3B Large · P/E ratio 15.3 · P/S ratio 3.07 · EPS (TTM) $1.51 · Dividend yield 1.3% · Net margin 20.1% · Return on equity 9.4% · Return on assets (EBIT) 4.0% (5-year average).
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 56 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 30% below its 52-week high and 25% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −14% fair-value upside, at −30%, SURDF screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear$14.75Fair Value $16.06Bull$18.96
Price $23.07 · Downside -30.4%
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above starts from their evidence-weighted blend, not from a single model. In cyclical trough or peak years, after dilution or a stock split it is adjusted afterwards, so it can sit above or below the models. Based on fiscal year 2026 figures (about 7 months old). Earnings retained since then ($0.7576 per share) are deliberately not added.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Coverage ⓘCoverage = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+4.3%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+4.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.9%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +2.2% a year
Revenue growth 26 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (13 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Negative
Recent news coverage is more negative than average.
AI conclusion: Retaining developed properties on the balance sheet supports potential long-term resilience, yet high leverage and negative free cash flow point to limited durable advantage in real estate services.
Main risk: High leverage combined with the capital-intensive asset-holding model risks constraining pricing flexibility and ongoing capital allocation decisions.
Sumitomo Realty holds developed properties on its balance sheet rather than recycling them through REITs like most peers. This model demands sustained capital discipline in a capital-intensive sector. Our models see it as overvalued. Does retaining assets this way build greater long-term resilience than it restricts returns through slower turnover?
Compare Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate Services · 477 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/14 measures
Overall it trails its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside−30.4% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (12 months)9.4% · Above median
Return on assets2.9% · Above median
Net margin (12 months)20.1% · Above median
Operating margin (12 months)36.6% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth (quarter YoY)20.4% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (12 months)1.3% · Bottom 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity1.35× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
P/E (12 months)15.3× · Pricier than median
P/B1.37× · Priciest 25%
P/S (12 months)3.25× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA17.7× · Pricier than median
PEG2.68× · Pricier than median
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 53
FUTURE (revenue growth)100· sector 21
PAST (return on equity)37· sector 19
HEALTH (low debt)33· sector 83
DIVIDEND (yield)26· sector 65
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SURDF
Frequently asked questions
Is Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Nov 12, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $16.06 versus a price of $23.07, about 30% lower (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SURDF?
Our model-based fair value for Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd is $16.06 (as of Nov 12, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $23.07.
What is the quality score of SURDF?
Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $16.06 (as of Nov 12, 2026) from 9 valuation models. Cautious scenario $14.75, optimistic scenario $18.96. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $16.06, about 30% lower versus a price of $23.07 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $14.75, optimistic scenario $18.96. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF)?
Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥1.0T (latest available figure, as of Nov 12, 2026).
Does Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd pay a dividend?
Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd currently shows a dividend yield of 1.29% relative to its recent price (as of Nov 12, 2026).
How much is the dividend of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF) and when is the ex-dividend date?
Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd pays a dividend of $0.297 per share a year, a dividend yield of 1.3%. The next ex-dividend date is Mar 30, 2027. A dividend has been paid every year since at least 2003. The payout ratio is 20.7% of earnings. Our assessment: Watch coverage. The dividend isn’t fully covered by free cash flow or earnings, part of it is funded from reserves or debt. Fine for now, but worth watching: if it stays uncovered, the dividend could be cut.
What is the intrinsic value of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd it is $16.06 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026), against a price of $23.07. It is the blended result of 9 valuation models in 4 families (Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit).
Is Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Nov 12, 2026, SURDF trades above its calculated fair value: price $23.07, fair value $16.06, a gap of about −30% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SURDF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($23.07); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($16.06). For Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd the two are $7.01 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd worth?
The market values Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd at about $21.3B (market capitalisation, as of Nov 12, 2026). Per share that is $23.07; our models calculate a fair value of $16.06 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SURDF?
Our models span a range for Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd: cautious scenario $14.75, base $16.06, optimistic $18.96 per share (as of Nov 12, 2026, price $23.07). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SURDF?
Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 15.3 (as of Nov 12, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $16.06 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.7, P/B 1.4, P/S 3.3, EV/EBITDA 17.7.
What is the PEG ratio of SURDF?
The PEG ratio of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd is 2.68 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Nov 12, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (as of Nov 12, 2026): return on equity 9.4%, debt of 1.35 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SURDF from its 52-week high?
Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd trades at $23.07, about 30% below its 52-week high of $33.12 and 25% above the low of $18.42 (as of Nov 13, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $16.06 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value CBRE Group, Cellnex Telecom, S.A, KE Holdings, Swire Properties Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Nov 12, 2026: price $23.07, calculated fair value $16.06 (−30%), Quality Score 49/100, from 9 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SURDF calculated?
We run Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd through 9 models from 4 families: Dividend Discount, Multiples, Asset-Based, Economic Profit. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the fair value of $16.06 builds on their evidence-weighted average, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 13.9% above its aggregate fair value. Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF)?
The closing price on Nov 13, 2026 was $23.07. Our model-based fair value is $16.06, about 30% lower (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($18.96). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Weak quality (49/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Where does the earnings growth of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF) come from?
Earnings per share at Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd grew +13.7 % a year from 2015 to 2026. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +6.4 %, EBIT margin +3.2 %, tax rate +0.5 %, residual (interest, one-offs) +3.0 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd
How large is the market capitalisation of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF)?
The market capitalisation of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd is $21.3B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd is 3.07 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF)?
Earnings per share at Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd are $1.51 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 15.3). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF)?
The dividend yield of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd is 1.3% (payout 19.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF)?
The net margin of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd is 20.1% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd is 9.4% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd is 4.0% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF)?
The operating margin of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd is 36.6% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF)?
Revenue at Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd is growing +20.4% versus a year earlier (3y avg +4.0%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF)?
Earnings per share at Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd are growing −14.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF) generate?
The free cash flow of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd is −¥18.5B (fiscal year 2026). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd (SURDF) carry?
The net debt of Sumitomo Realty & Development Co. Ltd is ¥3.9T (fiscal year 2026). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Nov 12, 2026