Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd $2.38, price $1.19, upside +99.5%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $0.9194 – $11.78 · fair‑value band $2.22 – $2.64 · the $1.19 price screens below the $2.38 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
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Sun Art Retail Group Limited, an investment holding company, operates brick-and-mortar stores and online sales channels in the People's Republic of China. The company operates hypermarkets, super stores, and membership stores under RT-Mart, RT-Super, and M-Club brand names.
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Sun Art Retail Group Limited, an investment holding company, operates brick-and-mortar stores and online sales channels in the People's Republic of China. The company operates hypermarkets, super stores, and membership stores under RT-Mart, RT-Super, and M-Club brand names. It also provides consulting, investment, procurement centre, wholesaling, and retailing services. Sun Art Retail Group Limited was formerly known as Sun Holdings Greater China Limited and changed its name to Sun Art Retail Group Limited in May 2011. The company was founded in 1998 and is based in Shanghai, China.
Stock analysis
Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR (SURRY) currently trades at $1.19, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $2.38, implying the stock looks roughly 49.9% undervalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Dividend Discount group reads highest at a median of $2.76 per share, and 12 of the 12 models we run sit above the $1.19 price.
Bear case: the Asset-Based group reads lowest at $1.81, and 0 of the 12 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $2.22 (bear) to $2.64 (bull), the price of $1.19 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Consumer Cyclical sector.
Weak Growth: Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR reported revenue of 61.5B CNY in FY2026 versus 88.1B CNY in FY2022, a compound −8.6%/yr. Reported net income was −309M CNY in FY2026.
Key figures
Market cap $1.6B · P/S ratio 0.03 · EPS (TTM) $−0.0400 · Dividend yield 12.2% · Net margin −0.5% · Return on equity −1.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) 0.2% · Operating margin 0.3%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 28 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 45% below its 52-week high and 10% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Consumer Cyclical peers we cover trades at −6% fair-value upside, at 100%, SURRY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $2.22Fair Value $2.38Bull $2.64
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.18/100
Revenue is shrinking: the last year, the last three and the last five years are all negative.
Revenue growth 1 year
−14.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.8%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
−9.2%
Start year 2021 (pandemic). Over 10 years: −4.4% a year
Revenue growth 15 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+0.6%
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Profit margin (trend) ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.
4.4% (2021) → −0.8% (2026)
What shareholders gained per year ⓘWe only publish this rate when it is defensible. Reason: fiscal 2026 is a loss year, no rate is defined from a loss
not computed
Growth Forecast
Little optimism in the price
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
less than -40 %
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+2.9%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CNY, China: IMF forecast 1.7% a year to 2030, 1.4% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +1.2% a year for the forecasts.
Compare Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR with another stock
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Department Stores · 106 stocks
Beats the industry median on 5/11 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score49 · Below median
Fair Value upside+79.3% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on assets0.1% · Bottom 25%
Net margin (TTM)−0.5% · Below median
Operating margin (TTM)0.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−10.6% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)12.2% · Top 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Department Stores median · lower = cheaper
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SURRY
Frequently asked questions
Is Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $2.38 versus a price of $1.19, about +100% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SURRY?
Our model-based fair value for Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR is $2.38 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $1.19.
What is the quality score of SURRY?
Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $2.38 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 12 valuation models. Cautious scenario $2.22, optimistic scenario $2.64. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $2.38, about +100% upside versus a price of $1.19 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $2.22, optimistic scenario $2.64. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY)?
Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about 63.4B CNY (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR pay a dividend?
Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 12.24% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR would have to grow free cash flow by less than minus 40 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.0 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew -9.2 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SURRY use?
Our models discount Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR at 12.0 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.26, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR that is less than minus 40 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.0 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR grew -9.2 % a year. The price currently implies less than minus 40 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +3.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR (less than minus 40 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 3.34 %: that much free cash flow Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.0 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR it is $2.38 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $1.19. It is the blended result of 12 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, SURRY trades below its calculated fair value: price $1.19, fair value $2.38, a gap of about +100% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SURRY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($1.19); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($2.38). For Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR the two are $1.19 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR worth?
The market values Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR at about $1.6B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $1.19; our models calculate a fair value of $2.38 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SURRY?
Our models span a range for Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR: cautious scenario $2.22, base $2.38, optimistic $2.64 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $1.19). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the PEG ratio of SURRY?
The PEG ratio of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR is 1.54 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Sep 24, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity −1.7%. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SURRY from its 52-week high?
Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR trades at $1.19, about 45% below its 52-week high of $2.17 and 10% above the low of $1.08 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $2.38 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR?
From the same area (Consumer Cyclical) we also value Falabella S.A, Dillard's, Inc, 99 Speed Mart Retail Holdings, Macy's, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $1.19, calculated fair value $2.38 (+100%), Quality Score 49/100, from 12 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SURRY calculated?
We run Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR through 12 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $2.38, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR currently trades 50 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $1.19. Our model-based fair value is $2.38, about +100% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($2.22). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (49/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
Key figures of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY)?
The market capitalisation of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR is $1.6B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR is 0.03 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY)?
Earnings per share at Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR are $−0.0400. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY)?
The dividend yield of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR is 12.2%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY)?
The net margin of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR is −0.5% (fiscal year 2026). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR is −1.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR is 0.2% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY)?
The operating margin of Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR is 0.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY)?
Revenue at Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR is growing −10.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg −9.8%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY)?
Earnings per share at Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR are growing −86.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net cash does Sun Art Retail Group Ltd (SURRY) hold?
Sun Art Retail Group Ltd ADR holds more cash than debt, 2.8B CNY net (fiscal year 2026). The company holds more cash than debt, a safety cushion.
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Sep 24, 2026