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Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF) fair value: what the stock is really worth

As of Sep 25, 2026: fair value of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation $7.68, price $4.57, upside +68.2%, quality 56 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.

  1. Fair value above price? Yes
  2. Good quality? Yes
  3. Add to watchlist

Industrials · US

SL Shibusawa Logistics Corporation logo Some data Sep 27, 2026

Shibusawa Logistics Corporation

SWRHF · US

Clearly undervaluedStrong Fair Value upside, but quality is only moderate.

✓Fair value $7.68 · Strongly undervalued (+68.2%)
!Quality 56/100
!Expensive Growth (revenue 3y +3.1 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 7.9% net margin (TTM)
!Low debt · negative free cash flow
!4.9% dividend yield · Watch coverage
✓Ranks above peers (8/13)
!Narrow moat 30/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
!Weak on future: 13 out of 100
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What runs behind every stock

26 valuation models 8 families, DCF to NCAV 37 quality factors margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt 6 AI factors moat, what no ratio measures 2,000+ data points verified, per stock, median

69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →

Price vs Fair Value

$760,760 $3.12 Fair Value $7.68 Nov 2024 Sep 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

How to read this chart

22‑month range $3.12 – $760,760 · fair‑value band $5.65 – $7.68 · the $4.57 price screens below the $7.68 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 27, 2026.

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Company profile

Shibusawa Logistics Corporation provides logistics and warehousing services in Japan and internationally.

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Shibusawa Logistics Corporation provides logistics and warehousing services in Japan and internationally. The company provides strategic logistics services, such as warehousing and distribution processing for various types of cargo; truck transportation services, including consolidated transportation, chartered transportation, and ocean freight container transportation for customer's logistics; ocean and air import and export handling services comprising customs clearance, overland transport, and warehouse storage at departure and arrival ports and airports; document storage and trunk room storage; and moving &household goods storage. It is also involved in EC fulfillment services; customs clearance; trade/intermediary business/management/leading of real estate; packaging/indication/storage of pharmaceuticals/quasi-drugs/cosmetics and medical equipment; planning/development/sales/operation management of information systems; employment agency; and life support of non-covered long-term care insurance. The company was formerly known as The Shibusawa Warehouse Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shibusawa Logistics Corporation in January 2025. Shibusawa Logistics Corporation was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in Koto, Japan.

Stock analysis

Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF) currently trades at $4.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.68, implying the stock looks roughly 40.5% undervalued today.

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Valuation

Bull case: the Growth Earnings group reads highest at a median of $33.00 per share, and 13 of the 14 models we run sit above the $4.57 price.

Bear case: the Economic Profit group reads lowest at $6.10, and 1 of the 14 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.

Scenario range: $5.65 (bear) to $7.68 (bull), the price of $4.57 sits below it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.

Quality & growth

The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector.

Expensive Growth: The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.

Shibusawa Logistics Corporation reported revenue of ¥78.6B in FY2025 versus ¥65.3B in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was ¥4.9B in FY2025, compounding +15.6%/yr from FY2021.

Key figures

Market cap $264M · P/E ratio 7.9 · P/S ratio 0.49 · EPS (TTM) $0.5800 · Dividend yield 4.9% · Net margin 6.2% · Return on equity 9.6% · Return on assets (EBIT) 3.9%.

Competitive moat

Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (low confidence).

What moves the price

The share trades at its 52-week high and 31% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.

For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at −35% fair-value upside, at 68%, SWRHF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Bear $5.65 Fair Value $7.68 Bull $7.68
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model. Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds. Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
EPV $4.89 $6.10 $7.09 71
Owner Earnings n/a $0.2690 >$1.08 70
ROIC Compounder $4.89 $6.10 $7.09 69
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings n/a $0.2690 >$1.08 70
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $12.79 $33.25 $43.36 62
PEG = 1.0 $6.31 $9.01 $11.71 55
EPV $4.89 $6.10 $7.09 71
Multiples
P/E Multiple $29.63 $39.50 $49.38 63
P/S Multiple $23.98 $31.98 $39.97 58
P/B Multiple $23.98 $31.98 $39.97 55
EV/EBIT $17.62 $25.23 $32.84 65
EV/EBITDA $22.89 $32.26 $41.62 67
EV/Revenue $11.08 $18.07 $25.05 53
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $12.52 $16.77 $25.04 54
Economic Profit
Residual Income $18.72 $19.07 $20.38 68
ROIC Compounder $4.89 $6.10 $7.09 69
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $23.10 $33.00 $42.90 65

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Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 76

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 98
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 84
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Share count: buybacks or dilution?

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Revenue & earnings trend

Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card. 32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Revenue growth 1 year
+7.1%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+3.1%
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years), in JPY ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate. Basis: EBIT basis. Measured in JPY: this currency has depreciated against the euro and dollar over the long run, so part of the nominal rate is currency erosion that never reaches a EUR/USD investor.
+11.2%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+6.3%
Dividend (yield on the price)4.9%
Profit margin 2021 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.6% → 6%

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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Integrated Freight & Logistics · 219 stocks

Beats the industry median on 8/13 measures
Overall it ranks above its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +68.2% · Top 25%
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM) 9.6% · Above median
Return on assets 2.2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 7.9% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) −29.3% · Bottom 25%
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth 2.6% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.9% · Top 25%
Balance sheet
Debt / equity 0.39× · Above median

Valuation Multiplesvs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.9× · Cheapest 25%
P/B 0.64× · Cheaper than median
P/S (TTM) 0.52× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA 7.8× · Pricier than median

Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)

VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
This stock
VALUEFUTUREPASTHEALTHDIVIDEND
Sector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)100 · sector 48
FUTURE (revenue growth)13 · sector 10
PAST (return on equity)38 · sector 26
HEALTH (low debt)81 · sector 91
DIVIDEND (yield)99 · sector 61

Context: sector, industry, market

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $93.96 $107.34 +14%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €57.20 €137.08 +140%
FedEx Corporation FDX $285.85 $349.54 +22%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,216 kr 711.95 −41%
Poste Italiane S.p.A PST €25.82 €14.24 −45%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 226.70 CHF 147.92 −35%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $187.46 $116.66 −38%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥30.54 ¥109.70 +259%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $225.46 $133.80 −41%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $147.10 $87.31 −41%

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Shibusawa Logistics Corporation · Fair Value
$7.68 +41%Fair Value
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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shibusawa Logistics Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SWRHF

Frequently asked questions

Is Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 27, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.68 versus a price of $4.57, about +68% upside (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SWRHF?
Our model-based fair value for Shibusawa Logistics Corporation is $7.68 (as of Sep 27, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $4.57.
What is the quality score of SWRHF?
Shibusawa Logistics Corporation has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $7.68 (as of Sep 27, 2026) from 14 valuation models. Cautious scenario $5.65, optimistic scenario $7.68. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Shibusawa Logistics Corporation stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $7.68, about +68% upside versus a price of $4.57 (undervalued). Cautious scenario $5.65, optimistic scenario $7.68. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF)?
Shibusawa Logistics Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about ¥79.7B (latest available figure, as of Sep 27, 2026).
Does Shibusawa Logistics Corporation pay a dividend?
Shibusawa Logistics Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.93% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 27, 2026).
What is the intrinsic value of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Shibusawa Logistics Corporation it is $7.68 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026), against a price of $4.57. It is the blended result of 14 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Shibusawa Logistics Corporation stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 27, 2026, SWRHF trades below its calculated fair value: price $4.57, fair value $7.68, a gap of about +68% (undervalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SWRHF?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($4.57); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($7.68). For Shibusawa Logistics Corporation the two are $3.11 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Shibusawa Logistics Corporation worth?
The market values Shibusawa Logistics Corporation at about $264M (market capitalisation, as of Sep 27, 2026). Per share that is $4.57; our models calculate a fair value of $7.68 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SWRHF?
Our models span a range for Shibusawa Logistics Corporation: cautious scenario $5.65, base $7.68, optimistic $7.68 per share (as of Sep 27, 2026, price $4.57). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SWRHF?
Shibusawa Logistics Corporation trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 7.9 (as of Sep 27, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $7.68 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: P/B 0.6, P/S 0.5, EV/EBITDA 7.8.
How solid is the balance sheet of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF)?
Balance-sheet figures for Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (as of Sep 27, 2026): return on equity 9.6%, debt of 0.39 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 56/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SWRHF from its 52-week high?
Shibusawa Logistics Corporation trades at $4.57, at its 52-week high of $4.57 and 31% above the low of $3.47 (as of Sep 25, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $7.68 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Shibusawa Logistics Corporation?
From the same area (Industrials) we also value United Parcel Service, Inc, Deutsche Post AG, FedEx Corporation, DSV A/S, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Shibusawa Logistics Corporation stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 27, 2026: price $4.57, calculated fair value $7.68 (+68%), Quality Score 56/100, from 14 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SWRHF calculated?
We run Shibusawa Logistics Corporation through 14 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $7.68, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 16.1 % above its aggregate fair value. Shibusawa Logistics Corporation currently trades 68 % below its own fair value, and the market average says nothing about that. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF)?
The closing price on Sep 25, 2026 was $4.57. Our model-based fair value is $7.68, about +68% upside (undervalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Shibusawa Logistics Corporation right now?
The price is below even our cautious bear case ($5.65). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario. Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.

Key figures of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation

How large is the market capitalisation of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF)?
The market capitalisation of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation is $264M. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation is 0.49 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF)?
Earnings per share at Shibusawa Logistics Corporation are $0.5800 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 7.9). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF)?
The dividend yield of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation is 4.9% (payout 38.8%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF)?
The net margin of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation is 6.2% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation is 9.6% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation is 3.9% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF)?
The operating margin of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation is −29.3% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF)?
Revenue at Shibusawa Logistics Corporation is growing +2.6% versus a year earlier (3y avg +3.1%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF)?
Earnings per share at Shibusawa Logistics Corporation are growing −60.9% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much free cash flow does Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF) generate?
The free cash flow of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation is −¥162M (fiscal year 2025). The cash truly left after running and investing in the business, this is what pays dividends and buybacks.
How much net debt does Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF) carry?
The net debt of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation is ¥18.2B (fiscal year 2025). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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