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Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF) Fair Value & Analysis

Industrials · US · Market cap $264M

SL Shibusawa Logistics Corporation logo Shibusawa Logistics Corporation SWRHF · US
Price$4.57
Fair Value$7.50
Upside+64.3%
Quality56/100
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Expensive Growth
Thin margins · 7.9% net margin
Low debt · negative free cash flow
4.93% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (7/10)
Narrow moat 30/100
Evidence: Medium Range $5.62 – $9.37 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 24, 2026

From 14 valuation models · updated 17 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 24, 2026, revised from $8.94 to $7.50 (−16.1%) since Jun 25, 2026.

A solid business, screening 64% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($5.62). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
  • Solid quality (56/100) at a price below fair value, the discount is the argument here, not the business quality.
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Price vs Fair Value (20 months)

$760,760 $3.12 Fair Value $7.50 Nov 2024 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

How to read this chart

20‑month range $3.12 – $760,760 · fair‑value band $5.62 – $9.37 · the $4.57 price screens below the $7.50 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 24, 2026.

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Analysis

Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF) currently trades at $4.57, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $7.50, implying the stock looks roughly 64.3% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 56/100 (solid quality), in the Industrials sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, Shibusawa Logistics Corporation generated revenue of $79.7B at a net margin of 7.9%. Revenue grew 2.6% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 9.6%. Net debt stands at $18.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 24, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $5.62 (bear case) to $9.37 (bull case); at $4.57, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. For context, the median of 10 Industrials peers we cover trades at -11% fair-value upside, at 64%, SWRHF screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
ROIC Compounder $1.35 $1.68 $1.95 72
Growth-Adj P/E $6.36 $9.08 $11.81 68
P/E Multiple $8.15 $10.87 $13.59 63
All 14 models by family
DCF Models
Owner Earnings $0.3669 31
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $3.52 $9.15 $11.93 54
PEG = 1.0 $1.74 $2.48 $3.22 46
EPV $1.35 $1.68 $1.95 59
Multiples
P/E Multiple $8.15 $10.87 $13.59 63
P/S Multiple $6.60 $8.80 $11.00 58
P/B Multiple $6.60 $8.80 $11.00 55
EV/EBIT $4.85 $6.94 $9.04 53
EV/EBITDA $6.30 $8.88 $11.45 54
EV/Revenue $3.05 $4.97 $6.89 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $3.45 $4.62 $6.89 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $5.09 $5.18 $5.02 61
ROIC Compounder $1.35 $1.68 $1.95 72
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $6.36 $9.08 $11.81 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($9.08) versus Economic Profit ($1.68). Highest evidence: ROIC Compounder (72).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $79.7B
Revenue growth (YoY) +2.6%
Net margin 7.9%
Return on equity 9.6%
Free cash flow −$162M FY2025
P/E ratio 7.9
More key figures
Operating margin -29.3%
EPS (TTM) $0.5800
Dividend yield 4.9%
EPS growth (YoY) -60.9%
Net debt $18.2B FY2025

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 24, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 56/100

Of which business quality 54 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 48

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 52
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 27
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 62
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 73
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 50
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 56
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 34
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

Shibusawa Logistics Corporation provides logistics and warehousing services in Japan and internationally. The company provides strategic logistics services, such as warehousing and distribution processing for various types of cargo; truck transportation services, including consolidated transportation, chartered transportation, and ocean freight container …

Full company description

Shibusawa Logistics Corporation provides logistics and warehousing services in Japan and internationally. The company provides strategic logistics services, such as warehousing and distribution processing for various types of cargo; truck transportation services, including consolidated transportation, chartered transportation, and ocean freight container transportation for customer's logistics; ocean and air import and export handling services comprising customs clearance, overland transport, and warehouse storage at departure and arrival ports and airports; document storage and trunk room storage; and moving &household goods storage. It is also involved in EC fulfillment services; customs clearance; trade/intermediary business/management/leading of real estate; packaging/indication/storage of pharmaceuticals/quasi-drugs/cosmetics and medical equipment; planning/development/sales/operation management of information systems; employment agency; and life support of non-covered long-term care insurance. The company was formerly known as The Shibusawa Warehouse Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Shibusawa Logistics Corporation in January 2025. Shibusawa Logistics Corporation was founded in 1897 and is headquartered in Koto, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years

Shibusawa Logistics Corporation reported revenue of $78.6B in FY2025 versus $65.3B in FY2021, a compound +4.7%/yr. Reported net income was $4.9B in FY2025, compounding +15.6%/yr from FY2021.

Growth Quality 32/100
The company is growing, but growth may require heavy reinvestment or weak cash conversion.
Latest Revenue (FY 2025)
$78.6B
Latest YoY
+7.1%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+3.1%
Revenue +4.7%/yr
FY21 $65.3B
FY22 $71.7B
FY23 $78.5B
FY24 $73.4B
FY25 $78.6B
Net income +15.6%/yr
FY21 $2.8B
FY22 $5.3B
FY23 $3.8B
FY24 $3.7B
FY25 $4.9B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Shibusawa Logistics Corporation Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SWRHF

Peer Group

Integrated Freight & Logistics · 218 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 56 · Above median
Fair Value upside +64% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 2% · Below median
Net margin (TTM) 8% · Top 25%
Operating margin (TTM) -29% · Bottom 25%
Revenue growth 3% · Above median
Dividend yield (TTM) 4.9% · Top 25%
Debt / equity 0.39× · Higher than median

Valuation Multiples vs Integrated Freight & Logistics median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 7.9× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 46
FUTURE 13 · sector 8
PAST 38 · sector 26
HEALTH 81 · sector 94
DIVIDEND 99 · sector 56

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Integrated Freight & Logistics stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 24, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
United Parcel Service, Inc UPS $117.72 $104.58 -11%
FedEx Corporation FDX $314.69 $347.68 +10%
Deutsche Post AG DHL €57.22 €53.18 -7%
DSV A/S DSV kr 1,660 kr 712.57 -57%
Kuehne + Nagel International AG KNIN CHF 209.90 CHF 147.92 -30%
J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc JBHT $291.41 $133.80 -54%
S.F. Holding 002352 ¥31.91 ¥48.64 +52%
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc CHRW $193.50 $86.56 -55%
Expeditors International of Washington, Inc EXPD $172.02 $115.95 -33%
ZTO Express (Cayman) Inc 2057 HK$181.40 HK$241.93 +33%

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Frequently asked questions

Is Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $7.50 versus a price of $4.57, about +64% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SWRHF?
Our model-based fair value for Shibusawa Logistics Corporation is $7.50 (as of Jul 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $4.57.
What is the quality score of SWRHF?
Shibusawa Logistics Corporation has a Quality Score of 56/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation (SWRHF)?
Shibusawa Logistics Corporation reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $79.7B (latest available figure, as of Jul 24, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SWRHF?
The net profit margin of Shibusawa Logistics Corporation is about 7.9%, meaning it keeps roughly 7.9% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does Shibusawa Logistics Corporation pay a dividend?
Shibusawa Logistics Corporation currently shows a dividend yield of about 4.93% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 24, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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