Sika AG (SXYAY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Oct 2, 2026: fair value of Sika AG $12.10, price $22.11, upside -45.3%, quality 59 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
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Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
How to read this chart
60‑month range $15.71 – $39.71 · fair‑value band $7.33 – $15.79 · the $22.11 price screens above the $12.10 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Oct 3, 2026.
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Sika AG, a specialty chemicals company, develops, produces, and sells systems and products for bonding, sealing, damping, reinforcing, and protecting in the building sector and motor vehicle industry worldwide.
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Sika AG, a specialty chemicals company, develops, produces, and sells systems and products for bonding, sealing, damping, reinforcing, and protecting in the building sector and motor vehicle industry worldwide. It offers admixtures and additives for concrete, cement, and mortar production;waterproofing solutions, such as flexible membrane systems, liquid-applied membranes, joint waterproofing systems, waterproofing mortars, and injection resins under the SikaProof brand for commercial and residential basements, tunnels, bridges, and water retaining structures; and flat roofing systems, including both flexible sheet and liquid-applied membranes under the Sika Sarnafil brand, as well as vapor control layers, adhesives, insulation, fixation, roof drainage, and accessories. The company also provides adhesives and grouts, systems for under-tile waterproofing, sound reduction, decorative finishes, and exterior insulation finishing systems; flooring solutions, such as synthetic resin and cementitious systems for industrial and commercial settings; and sealants, adhesives, spray foams, and tapes for commercial, industrial, residential, and infrastructure construction projects. It serves automobile and commercial vehicle assembly, industrial lamination, renewable energy, home appliances, and advanced resins industries. The company was founded in 1910 and is headquartered in Baar, Switzerland.
Stock analysis
Sika AG ADR (SXYAY) currently trades at $22.11, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $12.10, 45.3% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Multiples group reads highest at a median of $12.77 per share, and 0 of the 26 models we run sit above the $22.11 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $3.15, and 26 of the 26 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is high.
Scenario range: $7.33 (bear) to $15.79 (bull), the price of $22.11 sits above it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 59/100 (solid quality), in the Basic Materials sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Sika AG ADR reported revenue of CHF 11.2B in FY2025 versus CHF 9.3B in FY2021, a compound +4.9%/yr. Reported net income was CHF 998M in FY2025, compounding −1.2%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $35.5B · P/E ratio 27.6 · P/S ratio 2.46 · EPS (TTM) $0.8000 · Dividend yield 2.3% · Net margin 8.9% · Return on equity 15.3% · Return on assets (EBIT) 11.6%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 52 out of 100 (low confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 41% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Basic Materials peers we cover trades at −39% fair-value upside, at −45%, SXYAY screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $7.33Fair Value $12.10Bull $15.79
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.73/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 1 year
−4.8%
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+2.2%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.3%
Start year 2020 (pandemic). Over 10 years: +7.4% a year
Revenue growth 23 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+7.5%
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What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
+6.1%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year+3.8%
Dividend (yield on the price)2.3%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.3.8% vs 7.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.14% → 14%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far and more than analysts expect.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+15.9%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect ⓘAnalysts publish sales forecasts for the next two fiscal years. For the years after that, growth slows evenly to 2 % a year by year ten (2 % is the long-run rate our models use). Projected years are marked as such.
+3.8%
Yearly sales growth analysts expect, extended to five years.
After inflation (figures in CHF, Switzerland: IMF forecast 0.6% a year to 2030, 0.8% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +15.2% a year for the price and +3.2% for the forecasts.
News mood ⓘNews mood, the average tone of recent news (97 articles), rated against how stocks are usually covered. 🚀 Hype = unusually upbeat · 🙂 Positive = above average · 😐 Neutral = typical · 🙁 Negative = below average · 😨 Very negative = unusually downbeat. It reflects the tone of coverage, not our valuation.Positive
Recent news coverage is more positive than average.
Price, fair value, quality and upside side by side.
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Specialty Chemicals · 699 stocks
Beats the industry median on 6/14 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation
Quality Score59 · Above median
Fair Value upside−46.2% · Below median
Profitability
Return on equity (TTM)15.3% · Top 25%
Return on assets6.1% · Top 25%
Net margin (TTM)9.3% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM)10.7% · Above median
Growth and dividend
Revenue growth−7.9% · Bottom 25%
Dividend yield (TTM)2.3% · Above median
Balance sheet
Debt / equity0.57× · Highest 25%
Valuation Multiplesvs Specialty Chemicals median · lower = cheaper
P/E (TTM)27.6× · Pricier than median
P/B4.31× · book value is mostly goodwill ⓘGoodwill and other intangible assets are larger than the equity. The book value mainly reflects prices paid for past acquisitions, so we do not rank this P/B against the peer group.
P/S (TTM)2.57× · Pricier than median
P/FCF24.2× · Pricier than median
EV/EBITDA16.3× · Pricier than median
PEG2.54× · Priciest 25%
Strength profile in five axes (Snowflake)
This stockSector peers
VALUE (fair-value potential)0· sector 0
FUTURE (revenue growth)0· sector 56
PAST (return on equity)61· sector 25
HEALTH (low debt)71· sector 95
DIVIDEND (yield)47· sector 29
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
For bloggers, editors and developers: paste this into your site or blog (a “Custom HTML” block in WordPress), it shows the current fair value and links back here. Free, plain HTML, and welcome. Full data streams (CSV/JSON) at /developers.
Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "Sika AG ADR Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SXYAY
Frequently asked questions
Is Sika AG (SXYAY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Oct 3, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $12.10 versus a price of $22.11, about −45% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of SXYAY?
Our model-based fair value for Sika AG ADR is $12.10 (as of Oct 3, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price: $22.11.
What is the quality score of SXYAY?
Sika AG ADR has a Quality Score of 59/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for Sika AG (SXYAY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $12.10 (as of Oct 3, 2026) from 26 valuation models. Cautious scenario $7.33, optimistic scenario $15.79. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the Sika AG ADR stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $12.10, about −45% upside versus a price of $22.11 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $7.33, optimistic scenario $15.79. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of Sika AG (SXYAY)?
Sika AG ADR reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about CHF 11.2B (latest available figure, as of Oct 3, 2026).
Does Sika AG ADR pay a dividend?
Sika AG ADR currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.34% relative to its recent price (as of Oct 3, 2026).
What growth is priced into Sika AG (SXYAY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, Sika AG ADR would have to grow free cash flow by +15.9 % per year for five years (discount rate 9.7 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +7.3 % per year. As of Oct 3, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of SXYAY use?
Our models discount Sika AG ADR at 9.7 %: a base by market capitalisation (large), damped by beta 1.18, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For Sika AG ADR that is +15.9 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (9.7 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has Sika AG (SXYAY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at Sika AG ADR grew +7.3 % a year. The price currently implies +15.9 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of Sika AG (SXYAY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +7.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into Sika AG ADR (+15.9 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of Sika AG (SXYAY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 4.04 %: that much free cash flow Sika AG ADR produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (9.7 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of Sika AG (SXYAY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For Sika AG ADR it is $12.10 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026), against a price of $22.11. It is the blended result of 26 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is Sika AG ADR stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Oct 3, 2026, SXYAY trades above its calculated fair value: price $22.11, fair value $12.10, a gap of about −45% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of SXYAY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($22.11); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($12.10). For Sika AG ADR the two are $10.01 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is Sika AG ADR worth?
The market values Sika AG ADR at about $35.5B (market capitalisation, as of Oct 3, 2026). Per share that is $22.11; our models calculate a fair value of $12.10 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about SXYAY?
Our models span a range for Sika AG ADR: cautious scenario $7.33, base $12.10, optimistic $15.79 per share (as of Oct 3, 2026, price $22.11). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
What is the P/E ratio of SXYAY?
Sika AG ADR trades at a price-to-earnings ratio of 27.6 (as of Oct 3, 2026). A P/E on its own says little: it compares the price with ONE year of profit, while our fair value of $12.10 is built from several models across several years. Other multiples: PEG 2.5, P/B 4.3, P/S 2.6, EV/EBITDA 16.3.
What is the PEG ratio of SXYAY?
The PEG ratio of Sika AG ADR is 2.54 (P/E divided by earnings growth, as of Oct 3, 2026). That is above 1, so the growth is already paid for in the price.
How solid is the balance sheet of Sika AG (SXYAY)?
Balance-sheet figures for Sika AG ADR (as of Oct 3, 2026): return on equity 15.3%, debt of 0.57 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 59/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is SXYAY from its 52-week high?
Sika AG ADR trades at $22.11, about 8% below its 52-week high of $24.16 and 41% above the low of $15.71 (as of Oct 2, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $12.10 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to Sika AG ADR?
From the same area (Basic Materials) we also value Linde plc, The Sherwin-Williams Company, Ecolab Inc, Air Products and Chemicals, Inc, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is Sika AG ADR stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Oct 3, 2026: price $22.11, calculated fair value $12.10 (−45%), Quality Score 59/100, from 26 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of SXYAY calculated?
We run Sika AG ADR through 26 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $12.10, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. Sika AG ADR itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of Sika AG (SXYAY)?
The closing price on Oct 2, 2026 was $22.11. Our model-based fair value is $12.10, about −45% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with Sika AG ADR right now?
The price sits above even our optimistic bull case ($15.79). The favourable scenario is already priced in. Solid but not exceptional quality (59/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. A fairly wide model range ($7.33 to $15.79) leaves room in how you read the outcome.
Where does the earnings growth of Sika AG (SXYAY) come from?
Earnings per share at Sika AG ADR grew +8.8 % a year from 2014 to 2025. Broken into its drivers: revenue per share +7.6 %, EBIT margin +1.3 %, tax rate +0.6 %, residual (interest, one-offs) −0.7 %. The four rates multiply to the earnings growth rate, they do not add up. Start and end are three-year averages so a single exceptional year does not distort the result.
Key figures of Sika AG ADR
How large is the market capitalisation of Sika AG (SXYAY)?
The market capitalisation of Sika AG ADR is $35.5B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of Sika AG (SXYAY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of Sika AG ADR is 2.46 (P/E × margin). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of Sika AG (SXYAY)?
Earnings per share at Sika AG ADR are $0.8000 (price ÷ EPS = P/E 27.6). Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of Sika AG (SXYAY)?
The dividend yield of Sika AG ADR is 2.3% (payout 64.7%). Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of Sika AG (SXYAY)?
The net margin of Sika AG ADR is 8.9% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of Sika AG (SXYAY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of Sika AG ADR is 15.3% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of Sika AG (SXYAY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of Sika AG ADR is 11.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of Sika AG (SXYAY)?
The operating margin of Sika AG ADR is 10.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at Sika AG (SXYAY)?
Revenue at Sika AG ADR is growing −7.9% versus a year earlier (3y avg +2.2%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at Sika AG (SXYAY)?
Earnings per share at Sika AG ADR are growing −46.5% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does Sika AG (SXYAY) carry?
The net debt of Sika AG ADR is CHF 4.7B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 4.0 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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Broad data
Oct 3, 2026