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SYLA Technologies Co (SYT) Fair Value & Analysis

Technology · US · Market cap $60.2M

ST SYLA Technologies Co logo SYLA Technologies Co SYT · US
Price$2.41
Fair Value$4.41
Upside+83.0%
Quality36/100
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Mixed Growth
Thin margins · 3.6% net margin
High debt · negative free cash flow
2.47% dividend yield
Ranks above peers (8/10)
Narrow moat 38/100
Evidence: Medium Range $3.31 – $5.84 Share as image

Fair value as of: Jul 19, 2026

From 12 valuation models · updated 22 days ago

Fair value updated Jul 19, 2026, revised from $5.19 to $4.41 (−15.0%) since Jun 24, 2026. Share price −4.0% over the past month.

Below-average quality, screening 83% undervalued on our models.

What matters now

  • The large discount to fair value meets weak quality (36/100). That raises the risk this is a value trap rather than a bargain.
  • The price is below even our cautious bear case ($3.31). The market is more pessimistic than our downside scenario.
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Price vs Fair Value (3 years)

$7.11 $1.26 Fair Value $4.41 Mar 2023 Aug 2026

White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

How to read this chart

40‑month range $1.26 – $7.11 · fair‑value band $3.31 – $5.84 · the $2.41 price screens below the $4.41 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Jul 19, 2026.

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Analysis

SYLA Technologies Co (SYT) currently trades at $2.41, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.41, implying the stock looks roughly 83.0% undervalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Technology sector. Bull case: trading below our estimate, it may offer upside if the fundamentals hold. Bear case: a low price can be a value trap when quality is weak or the data is thin (evidence: medium), always confirm before acting.

Over the trailing twelve months, SYLA Technologies Co generated revenue of $30.9B at a net margin of 3.6%. Revenue grew 51.3% year over year. It earns a return on equity of 10.4%. Net debt stands at $30.2B. Fundamentals as of Jul 19, 2026

Our scenario range runs from $3.31 (bear case) to $5.84 (bull case); at $2.41, the current price sits below that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 43% below its 52-week high, currently above its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Technology peers we cover trades at -27% fair-value upside, at 83%, SYT screens cheaper than that median.

Fair Value models

Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.

Model Bear Bear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull Bull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. Evidence
Highest evidence
Growth-Adj P/E $6.02 $8.60 $11.18 68
P/E Multiple $3.89 $5.19 $6.49 63
Residual Income $1.84 $2.02 $2.55 61
All 12 models by family
Earnings-Based
Graham-Dodd $1.76 $12.30 $17.26 54
Lynch FV $4.86 $6.94 $9.02 50
PEG = 1.0 $4.86 $6.94 $9.02 46
Multiples
P/E Multiple $3.89 $5.19 $6.49 63
P/S Multiple $3.31 $4.41 $5.51 58
P/B Multiple $3.31 $4.41 $5.51 55
EV/EBIT $2.82 $5.23 $7.65 53
EV/EBITDA $1.73 $3.78 $5.83 54
EV/Revenue $0.4541 $2.55 $4.64 43
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham) $1.12 $1.50 $2.24 50
Economic Profit
Residual Income $1.84 $2.02 $2.55 61
Growth Earnings
Growth-Adj P/E $6.02 $8.60 $11.18 68

Widest divergence: Growth Earnings ($8.60) versus Asset-Based ($1.50). Highest evidence: Growth-Adj P/E (68).

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Key figures & financial health

Revenue (TTM) $30.9B
Revenue growth (YoY) +51.3%
Net margin 3.6%
Return on equity 10.4%
Free cash flow −$9.9B FY2024
P/E ratio 9.0
More key figures
Operating margin 10.4%
EPS (TTM) $0.2500
Dividend yield 2.5%
EPS growth (YoY) +145%
Net debt $30.2B FY2024

Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Jul 19, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.

Quality Score breakdown

Overall quality 36/100

Of which business quality 33 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 14

Profitability 34
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth 65
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow 0
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength 9
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment 14
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility 10
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum 21
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum 4
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance 100
Buybacks instead of dilution

Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.

About the company

SYLA Technologies Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, primarily develops, constructs, sells, and manages apartments in Japan. The company engages in the land purchase, design, construction, operation, and maintenance of solar power plants.

Full company description

SYLA Technologies Co., Ltd., through its subsidiaries, primarily develops, constructs, sells, and manages apartments in Japan. The company engages in the land purchase, design, construction, operation, and maintenance of solar power plants. It also provides real estate leasing, management, and brokerage services, as well as real estate crowdfunding services on the Rimawari-kun platform. In addition, the company offers a system that automatically collects various real estate data online, real estate investment, machine learning algorithms, RPA, and business systems using this system. Further, it offers consulting on business automation and AI system implementation for corporations; provides consulting on real estate investment and asset management; operates and sells renewable energy-related products; and sells and maintains solar and biomass power generation equipment. Additionally, the company engages in electricity brokerage, renewable energy trading, and trade brokerage activities. SYLA Technologies Co., Ltd. was formerly known as SYLA Holdings Co., Ltd. SYLA Technologies Co., Ltd. was incorporated in 2009 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.

Revenue & earnings trend

FY2020 – FY2024 · reported fiscal years

SYLA Technologies Co reported revenue of $30.9B in FY2024 versus $13.1B in FY2020, a compound +23.8%/yr. Reported net income was $1.1B in FY2024, compounding +26.5%/yr from FY2020.

Growth Quality 50/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Latest Revenue (FY 2024)
$30.9B
Latest YoY
+35.7%
Avg. growth/yr (3Y) Measures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump.
+22.8%
Revenue +23.8%/yr
FY20 $13.1B
FY21 $16.7B
FY22 $22.1B
FY23 $22.7B
FY24 $30.9B
Net income +26.5%/yr
FY20 $436M
FY21 $277M
FY22 $395M
FY23 $681M
FY24 $1.1B

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Cite: Fair Value Calculator (2026). "SYLA Technologies Co Fair Value". https://www.fairvalue-calculator.com/stock/SYT

Peer Group

Software - Application · 709 stocks

How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.

Quality Score 36 · Bottom 25%
Fair Value upside +83% · Top 25%
Return on equity (TTM) 10% · Above median
Return on assets 3% · Above median
Net margin (TTM) 4% · Above median
Operating margin (TTM) 10% · Above median
Revenue growth 51% · Top 25%
Dividend yield (TTM) 2.5% · Above median
Debt / equity 2.21× · Higher than 75% of peers

Valuation Multiples vs Software - Application median · lower = cheaper

P/E (TTM) 9.0× · Cheaper than 75% of peers

Snowflake

Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.

VALUE 100 · sector 0
FUTURE 100 · sector 38
PAST 42 · sector 13
HEALTH 0 · sector 98
DIVIDEND 49 · sector 28

Values & ESG

Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.

None of the checked exposures detected

ESG scores are not available for this stock yet. Values and ESG data are contextual and can differ between providers.

Similar stocks

10 more Software - Application stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Jul 19, 2026).

Stock Price Fair Value vs Fair Value
SAP SE SAPS C$12.69 C$16.26 +28%
Shopify Inc SHOP C$173.23 C$20.54 -88%
Uber Technologies, Inc UBER $72.67 $51.11 -30%
Salesforce, Inc CRM $170.77 $182.10 +7%
ServiceNow, Inc NOW $107.71 $33.12 -69%
Cadence Design Systems, Inc CDNS $384.17 $80.41 -79%
Snowflake Inc SNOW $271.87 $34.04 -87%
Adobe Inc ADBE $230.61 $379.48 +65%
Automatic Data Processing, Inc ADP $241.92 $177.51 -27%
Intuit Inc INTU $291.09 $258.69 -11%

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Frequently asked questions

Is SYLA Technologies Co (SYT) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Jul 19, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.41 versus a price of $2.41, about +83% (undervalued).
What is the fair value of SYT?
Our model-based fair value for SYLA Technologies Co is $4.41 (as of Jul 19, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. The current price is $2.41.
What is the quality score of SYT?
SYLA Technologies Co has a Quality Score of 36/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the revenue of SYLA Technologies Co (SYT)?
SYLA Technologies Co reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about $30.9B (latest available figure, as of Jul 19, 2026).
What is the net profit margin of SYT?
The net profit margin of SYLA Technologies Co is about 3.6%, meaning it keeps roughly 3.6% of revenue as net income. Based on the latest reported figures.
Does SYLA Technologies Co pay a dividend?
SYLA Technologies Co currently shows a dividend yield of about 2.47% relative to its recent price (as of Jul 19, 2026).

How we calculate Fair Value

Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.

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