Lübke Kelber AG (SZ50) Fair Value & Analysis
Real Estate · DE · Market cap €10.6M · ISIN DE000A35JR33
Structural break: The valuation model sees a lasting decline in earnings power for this stock, the confidence band is broken. Treat the target with caution.
Strengths
Risks
Fair value as of: Aug 28, 2026
From 6 valuation models · updated today
Fair value updated Aug 28, 2026, revised from €0.0300 to €1.42 (+4,633.3%) since Aug 13, 2026. Share price −0.5% over the past month.
Below-average quality, and trading another 583% above our fair value.
What runs behind every stock
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
What matters now
- The price sits above even our optimistic bull case (€1.78). The favourable scenario is already priced in.
- Weak quality (36/100) and above fair value at the same time, the margin of safety is missing on both counts.
- As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Price vs Fair Value (2 years)
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
How to read this chart
28‑month range €9.20 – €11.50 · fair‑value band €1.07 – €1.78 · the €9.70 price screens above the €1.42 fair value. Green steps = our fair value per fiscal year (point-in-time, no hindsight). Dashed = 300-day average. As of Aug 28, 2026.
Analysis
Lübke Kelber AG (SZ50) currently trades at €9.70, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is €1.42, implying the stock looks roughly 85.4% overvalued today. The Quality Score stands at 36/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector. Bear case: priced above our estimate, the market already discounts strong expectations. Bull case: above-average quality can justify a premium, the entry price still matters most (evidence: medium).
Over the trailing twelve months, Lübke Kelber AG generated revenue of €1.3M at a net margin of 48.8%. Revenue declined 89.2% year over year. It earns a return on equity of -5.0%. The stock trades on a trailing P/E of 121.3. Fundamentals as of Aug 28, 2026
Our scenario range runs from €1.07 (bear case) to €1.78 (bull case); at €9.70, the current price sits above that range. Bear and bull are the same models run on conservative and optimistic assumptions (margins, growth, valuation multiples), so a plausible valuation range, not a price target. The share trades about 8% below its 52-week high and 5% above its 52-week low, currently below its 200-day average. For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at -25% fair-value upside, at -85%, SZ50 screens richer than that median.
Fair Value models
Each model estimates fair value its own way; the Fair Value above is the evidence-weighted blend. Evidence (0–100) measures how completely this model’s inputs are available: well-fed models carry more weight in the blend. The spread across models is intentional, each one stresses a different value driver; dividend models, for instance, come out structurally low when payout is small.
All 6 models by family
Widest divergence: Asset-Based (€11.04) versus Multiples (€1.42). Highest evidence: Residual Income (61).
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Key figures & financial health
More key figures
Figures from reported company fundamentals · as of Aug 28, 2026. TTM = trailing twelve months.
Quality Score breakdown
Of which business quality 40 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 55
Non-valuation factor families (profitability, growth, cashflow, financial strength, momentum …), each academically grounded. Valuation itself sits in the Fair Value and is deliberately excluded here to avoid double-counting.
All values are scores from 0 to 100 (100 = best against fixed, research-based bands), not percentages. The three market factors (momentum, 52-week proximity, low volatility) are displayed but carry zero weight in the headline number: market sentiment is not a business property.
About the company
Lübke Kelber AG acquires and operates residential properties in Germany. Its residential real estate properties include apartments. It also supplies geothermal energy to residential properties. The company was incorporated in 2015 and is based in Frankfurt am Main, Germany.
Company description, as reported by the company or data provider.
Revenue & earnings trend
FY2021 – FY2025 · reported fiscal years
Lübke Kelber AG reported revenue of €587K in FY2025 versus €0 in FY2021. Reported net income was €91.0K in FY2025.
SZ50 screens 85% overvalued. Compare with CBRE Group →
Peer Group
Real Estate Services · 547 stocks
How this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.
Valuation Multiples vs Real Estate Services median · lower = cheaper
Snowflake
Five quick dimensions, each 0 to 100: VALUE (fair-value potential), FUTURE (revenue growth), PAST (return on equity), HEALTH (low debt), DIVIDEND (yield). Green = this stock, grey = typical sector peer.
VALUE 0: the price sits above our fair-value range.
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate Services stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate (as of Aug 28, 2026).
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| CBRE Group CBRE | $147.40 | $69.47 | -53% |
| Vonovia SE VNA | €19.95 | €36.67 | +84% |
| Cellnex Telecom, S.A CLNX | €27.47 | €25.46 | -7% |
| KE Holdings BEKE | $17.42 | $6.57 | -62% |
| Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated JLL | $386.08 | $290.25 | -25% |
| Swire Properties Limited 1972 | HK$24.84 | HK$5.12 | -79% |
| CoStar Group CSGP | $32.14 | $4.64 | -86% |
| China Resources Mixc Lifestyle Services Limited 1209 | HK$39.84 | HK$34.95 | -12% |
| CapitaLand Investment Limited 9CI | 2.73 SGD | 0.4900 SGD | -82% |
| Plaza S.A MALLPLAZA | 3,989 CLP | 4,571 CLP | +15% |
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How we calculate Fair Value
Each company is valued through a stack of independent intrinsic-value models (DCF variants, residual-income, multiples and more), blended into one family-balanced consensus and weighted by how much trustworthy data backs it. A separate quality layer scores the fundamentals. Every input is real reported data, nothing guessed.
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