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TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY) fair value: what the stock is really worth
As of Jul 17, 2026: fair value of TAG Immobilien AG $4.61, price $5.68, upside -18.8%, quality 49 out of 100. Calculated from audited financials with 26 valuation models and 37 quality factors, updated daily.
- Fair value above price? No
- Good quality? No
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TI
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
Some data
Sep 24, 2026
TAG Immobilien AG
TAGYY · USWeak valuationQuality is weak on top of the rich price.
!Fair value $4.61 · Overvalued (−18.8%)
!Quality 49/100
!Mixed Growth (revenue 5y +16.8 %/yr)
!Thin margins · 8.9% net margin (TTM)
✓Moderate debt · generates free cash flow
✓7.0% dividend yield · Sustainable
!Moderate moat 47/100
!Evidence only medium, so the estimate is less certain
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What runs behind every stock
26
valuation models
8 families, DCF to NCAV
37
quality factors
margins, balance sheet, cashflow, debt
6
AI factors
moat, what no ratio measures
2,000+
data points
verified, per stock, median
69 individual criteria per stock, every one traceable See the method →
Price vs Fair Value
White line = price, green steps = our fair value per fiscal year, dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
How to read this chart
44‑month range $3.31 – $5.68 · fair‑value band $1.74 – $5.76 · the $5.68 price screens above the $4.61 fair value. Dashed = 300-day average. As of Sep 24, 2026.
Company profile
TAG Immobilien AG, a real estate company, engages in the development, management, and sale of residential property portfolio in Germany. It is also involved in the rental business. The company was formerly known as TAG Tegernsee Immobilien-und Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft and changed its name to TAG Immobilien AG in September 2008.
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TAG Immobilien AG, a real estate company, engages in the development, management, and sale of residential property portfolio in Germany. It is also involved in the rental business. The company was formerly known as TAG Tegernsee Immobilien-und Beteiligungs-Aktiengesellschaft and changed its name to TAG Immobilien AG in September 2008. TAG Immobilien AG was founded in 1882 and is headquartered in Hamburg, Germany.
Stock analysis
TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY) currently trades at $5.68, while our model-based Fair Value estimate is $4.61, 18.8% below the price, so the stock looks overvalued today.
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Valuation
Bull case: the Asset-Based group reads highest at a median of $6.49 per share, and 8 of the 16 models we run sit above the $5.68 price.
Bear case: the Dividend Discount group reads lowest at $2.03, and 8 of the 16 models stay below the price. Evidence for this calculation is medium.
Scenario range: $1.74 (bear) to $5.76 (bull), the price of $5.68 sits inside it. Bear and bull are the same models on cautious and optimistic assumptions, a range, not a price target.
Quality & growth
The Quality Score stands at 49/100 (below-average quality), in the Real Estate sector.
Mixed Growth: Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
TAG Immobilien AG reported revenue of €935M in FY2025 versus €612M in FY2021, a compound +11.2%/yr. Reported net income was €89.7M in FY2025, compounding −37.0%/yr from FY2021.
Key figures
Market cap $2.4B · P/S ratio 1.77 · EPS (TTM) $−1.60 · Dividend yield 7.0% · Net margin 9.6% · Return on equity 2.7% · Return on assets (EBIT) −0.6% · Operating margin 31.7%.
Competitive moat
Our AI-assisted moat analysis scores the competitive advantage at 38 out of 100 (medium confidence).
What moves the price
The share trades at its 52-week high and 4% above its 52-week low, currently above its 200-day average.
For context, the median of 10 Real Estate peers we cover trades at −48% fair-value upside, at −19%, TAGYY screens cheaper than that median.
Fair Value models
Bear $1.74
Fair Value $4.61
Bull $5.76
Model ⓘEach model values the company its own way (discounted cash flow, earnings, assets, dividends). The fair value above is their evidence-weighted blend, not the output of a single model.
Bear ⓘBear = the cautious scenario: the same model computed with conservative anchors (lower growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bull it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target.BaseBull ⓘBull = the optimistic scenario: the same model computed with favourable anchors (higher growth, margins and valuation multiples). Together with Bear it frames a plausible valuation range, not a price target. If a model's bull case is above four times its base value, the table shows that limit with a > sign (like the overall Bull above): beyond it no assumption holds.
Evidence ⓘEvidence = how well-backed THIS model's estimate is for this stock (0–100): how complete and reliable its input data are, and how well the model fits the company. The final Fair Value is an evidence-weighted blend, so better-evidenced models count more. Green ≥70, amber 50–69, grey below 50.
Highest evidence
FCF DCF
$2.11
$5.57
$10.28
76
Residual Income
$6.59
$6.30
$6.24
76
Growth DCF
$2.13
$5.10
$8.87
75
All 16 models by family
DCF Models
FCF DCF
$2.11
$5.57
$10.28
76
5Y Revenue Exit
$2.05
$6.30
$11.74
68
5Y EBITDA Exit
$3.66
$9.35
$16.04
71
10Y Revenue Exit
$1.79
$5.47
$10.44
62
10Y EBITDA Exit
$2.93
$7.42
$13.48
64
Dividend Discount
Gordon GGM
$1.26
$2.28
$3.14
68
DDM Multi-Stage
$1.26
$2.03
$2.43
67
Multiples
P/S Multiple
$3.40
$4.53
$5.66
58
P/B Multiple
$3.40
$4.53
$5.66
55
EV/EBIT
$8.53
$13.09
$17.66
65
EV/EBITDA
$5.92
$9.62
$13.32
66
EV/Revenue
$2.38
$5.62
$8.86
50
Asset-Based
NCAV (Graham)
$4.84
$6.49
$9.69
54
Growth DCF
Growth DCF
$2.13
$5.10
$8.87
75
Rev-Margin DCF
$2.05
$6.31
$11.31
68
Economic Profit
Residual Income
$6.59
$6.30
$6.24
76
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Set up alert →Quality Score breakdown
Overall quality
49/100
Of which business quality 49 · Market factors (momentum, volatility) 58
Profitability
20
Margins and returns on capital today
Quality Growth
55
Are margins and returns improving?
Cashflow
92
Earnings quality: real cash, not paper profit
Fin. Strength
38
Balance sheet, leverage, solvency risk
Investment
94
Disciplined investing over empire-building
Low Volatility
66
Calm price path (market factor)
Momentum
46
Price trend over the last 3–12 months (market factor)
52W Momentum
69
Distance to the 52-week high (market factor)
Net Issuance
5
Share count: buybacks or dilution?
Revenue & earnings trend
Growth Quality ⓘGrowth is valuable only when reinvestment earns attractive returns (Aswath Damodaran): sustainable growth depends on return on capital, reinvestment and efficiency. Basis: total company revenue over the periods shown on the cards (3Y/5Y/all years), not per share, so a merger can show up as a growth jump; per-share earnings growth is in the value-creation card.
82/100
Revenue is growing, but margins or cash flow do not fully confirm the trend.
Revenue growth 3 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+21.0%
Revenue growth 5 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+16.8%
Revenue growth 22 years ⓘMeasures the company's TOTAL revenue from reported annual statements: compound average growth per year (CAGR) from the fiscal year 3, 5 or N years back to the most recent comparable fiscal year. Not per share: buybacks do not change this number, and a merger can appear as a growth jump. Per-share growth (which does include buybacks) is in the value-creation card.
+9.5%
’14
’15
’16
’17
’18
’19
’20
’21
’22
’23
’24
’25
What shareholders gained per year (last 5 years) ⓘWhat the business itself delivers per year: earnings growth per share plus the dividend yield. This is what you get IF the market keeps valuing the stock the same way: it contains no assumption about the market changing its mind. Computed per share, so buybacks count and a merger does not pass as growth. For a company that pays no dividend it is pure earnings growth per share. Period: earnings growth per share as CAGR over the last 5 reported fiscal years (annual statements), plus the current dividend yield. The start value is the median of the three years around the start, so a single crisis year (a pandemic or a write-down) does not distort the rate.
−23.6%
Earnings growth per share plus dividend.
Earnings per share, growth per year−30.6%
Dividend (yield on the price)7.0%
Pace: 5 vs 10 years ⓘTwo data points, not a trend model: earnings growth per share over the last 5 fiscal years against the last 10. Labelled "steady" when both rates are within 3 percentage points of each other, otherwise picking up or flattening. Shown only when ten years of history exist.−30.6% vs −8.5%, slowing
Profit margin 2020 to 2025 ⓘOperating margin then vs now, from reported annual statements. A falling margin after a boom year is the classic peak-earnings signal: the growth rate then leans on an inflated base.86% → 30%
Start year 2020 (pandemic)
Growth Forecast
A lot of optimism in the price
The price assumes more growth than the company has delivered so far.
What the price assumes ⓘThis turns our valuation around: instead of asking what the share is worth, it asks what growth the current price requires. It uses the cash the company keeps after all spending (free cash flow), the same discount rate as our models, five years of growth, then slowing evenly to 2 % a year by year ten. Compared with the analysts' sales forecasts extended to the same five years (at least three analysts, for context only, it does not enter the Fair Value): within 3 percentage points counts as "in line" (amber), below that little optimism (green), above that a lot of optimism (red).
+20.3%
Yearly growth needed for the next five years to justify today's price.
What forecasts expect
n/a
No analyst forecast available.
After inflation (figures in EUR, euro area: IMF forecast 2.2% a year to 2030, 2.6% from 2016 to 2025) that is about +17.7% a year for the price.
Compare TAG Immobilien AG with another stock
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Peer GroupⓘHow this stock ranks against its industry: the green marker is this stock, the band is the typical 25–75% peer range, and the tick is the median.Real Estate - Diversified · 129 stocks
Beats the industry median on 7/13 measures
A mixed picture versus its industry peers.
Valuation Multiplesvs Real Estate - Diversified median · lower = cheaper
Context: sector, industry, market
- Is the Real Estate sector expensive or cheap?
- P/E, EV/EBITDA and margins by industry (reference tables)
- Undervalued stocks: Real Estate
- Undervalued stocks: US Stocks
- Valuation of the USA market
Values & ESG
Does this company touch areas you may want to avoid? The classification is inferred from sector and industry.
None of the checked exposures detected
Similar stocks
10 more Real Estate - Diversified stocks, each showing price versus our Fair Value estimate.
| Stock | Price | Fair Value | vs Fair Value |
|---|---|---|---|
| Henderson Land Development Company 0012 | HK$26.22 | HK$19.85 | −24% |
| Swiss Prime Site AG SPSN | CHF 119.10 | CHF 44.83 | −62% |
| Central Pattana Public Company CPN | 63.00 THB | 71.37 THB | +13% |
| The Phoenix Mills Limited PHOENIXLTD | ₹1,978 | ₹405.25 | −80% |
| Prestige Estates Projects Limited PRESTIGE | ₹1,478 | ₹297.85 | −80% |
| Umm Al Qura for Development and Construction Company 4325 | 17.15 SAR | 15.41 SAR | −10% |
| Hainan Airport Infrastructure Co 600515 | ¥2.69 | ¥0.7900 | −71% |
| Allreal Holding ALLN | CHF 193.00 | CHF 84.23 | −56% |
| Parque Arauco S.A PARAUCO | 3,630 CLP | 3,708 CLP | +2% |
| The St. Joe Company JOE | $66.01 | $34.53 | −48% |
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Frequently asked questions
Is TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY) overvalued or undervalued?
As of Sep 24, 2026, our model estimates a fair value of $4.61 versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of $5.68, about −19% upside (overvalued).
What is the fair value of TAGYY?
Our model-based fair value for TAG Immobilien AG is $4.61 (as of Sep 24, 2026), built from audited fundamentals. Last price (from Jul 17, 2026): $5.68.
What is the quality score of TAGYY?
TAG Immobilien AG has a Quality Score of 49/100. It measures business quality (profitability, growth, cash flow, balance-sheet strength, investment discipline, share issuance). Market factors such as price momentum and volatility do not enter the number; they are shown separately in the detail view.
What is the price target for TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY)?
Our model-based price target is the fair value of $4.61 (as of Sep 24, 2026) from 16 valuation models. Cautious scenario $1.74, optimistic scenario $5.76. It is a calculation from audited fundamentals, not an analyst target.
What is the TAG Immobilien AG stock forecast for 2026?
Our models put fair value at $4.61, about −19% upside versus the last price from Jul 17, 2026 of $5.68 (overvalued). Cautious scenario $1.74, optimistic scenario $5.76. The calculation is refreshed regularly with new filings.
What is the revenue of TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY)?
TAG Immobilien AG reported trailing-twelve-month revenue of about €1.0B (latest available figure, as of Sep 24, 2026).
Does TAG Immobilien AG pay a dividend?
TAG Immobilien AG currently shows a dividend yield of about 7.04% relative to its recent price (as of Sep 24, 2026).
What growth is priced into TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY)?
For today's price to be fair in a discounted-cash-flow model, TAG Immobilien AG would have to grow free cash flow by +20.3 % per year for five years (discount rate 12.3 %, then slowing evenly to 2 % perpetual growth by year ten). Over the last 5 years revenue grew +6.6 % per year. As of Sep 24, 2026.
What discount rate (WACC) does the fair value of TAGYY use?
Our models discount TAG Immobilien AG at 12.3 %: a base by market capitalisation (small), damped by beta 1.39, country premium for USA. The same rate applies in all 26 models.
What is a reverse DCF?
A reverse DCF turns the usual calculation around. Instead of deriving a value from assumptions, it takes today's price as given and asks: what free-cash-flow growth would a company have to deliver for exactly this price to be fair? The result is not a forecast but the expectation already priced in. For TAG Immobilien AG that is +20.3 % per year a year over ten years, using the same discount rate (12.3 %) and the same formula as our fair value.
How much growth has TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY) delivered so far?
Over the past 5 years revenue at TAG Immobilien AG grew +6.6 % a year. The price currently implies +20.3 % per year free-cash-flow growth a year. Comparing the two shows how much confidence is in the price: if it demands more than has been delivered, the business has to accelerate for the maths to work.
How fast is the sector of TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY) growing?
The median revenue growth in the sector is +1.8 % a year. That is the yardstick for the growth priced into TAG Immobilien AG (+20.3 % per year a year): it shows whether the expectation is within the usual range or beyond it.
What is the free cash flow yield of TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY)?
The free-cash-flow yield on the price is 9.71 %: that much free cash flow TAG Immobilien AG produces per unit of market value. When it exceeds the discount rate of our models (12.3 %), the business already earns more than its cost of capital demands, and the price needs little additional growth.
What is the intrinsic value of TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY)?
Intrinsic value and fair value mean the same thing: what the business is worth on its numbers, independent of the share price. For TAG Immobilien AG it is $4.61 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026), against a price of $5.68. It is the blended result of 16 valuation models (cash flow, earnings, asset, dividend).
Is TAG Immobilien AG stock overvalued or undervalued in 2026?
As of Sep 24, 2026, TAGYY trades above its calculated fair value: price $5.68, fair value $4.61, a gap of about −19% (overvalued). The calculation is refreshed with each new quarterly report, so the verdict can change during the year.
Is fair value the same as the market price of TAGYY?
No. The price is what the market pays today ($5.68); the fair value is what the company's own numbers justify ($4.61). For TAG Immobilien AG the two are $1.07 per share apart. That gap is exactly why we show both numbers side by side.
How much is TAG Immobilien AG worth?
The market values TAG Immobilien AG at about $2.4B (market capitalisation, as of Sep 24, 2026). Per share that is $5.68; our models calculate a fair value of $4.61 per share.
What do the bullish and bearish scenarios say about TAGYY?
Our models span a range for TAG Immobilien AG: cautious scenario $1.74, base $4.61, optimistic $5.76 per share (as of Sep 24, 2026, price $5.68). The range comes from different growth and margin assumptions, not from analyst opinions.
How solid is the balance sheet of TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY)?
Balance-sheet figures for TAG Immobilien AG (as of Sep 24, 2026): return on equity 2.7%, debt of 0.90 per unit of equity. They feed the Quality Score of 49/100, which measures business quality independently of the share price.
How far is TAGYY from its 52-week high?
TAG Immobilien AG trades at $5.68, at its 52-week high of $5.68 and 4% above the low of $5.45 (as of Jul 17, 2026). Distance from the high says nothing about value: that is what the fair value of $4.61 is for.
Which stocks are comparable to TAG Immobilien AG?
From the same area (Real Estate) we also value Henderson Land Development Company, Swiss Prime Site AG, Central Pattana Public Company, The Phoenix Mills Limited, among others. Each of them has its own fair-value calculation on this site using the same models, so the comparison is like for like.
Is TAG Immobilien AG stock attractive at the current price?
The data as of Sep 24, 2026: price $5.68, calculated fair value $4.61 (−19%), Quality Score 49/100, from 16 models. Whether that fits your horizon and risk tolerance is your call. We provide the calculation, not investment advice.
How is the fair value of TAGYY calculated?
We run TAG Immobilien AG through 16 models from four families: discounted cash flow, earnings models, asset and balance-sheet models, and dividend models. Every model gets the same audited fundamentals; the result is the weighted average of $4.61, with the spread shown as a cautious and an optimistic scenario.
Is it still worth investing in stocks now?
The global stock market currently sits 14.5 % above its aggregate fair value. TAG Immobilien AG itself currently trades above fair value. An expensive market is no reason to stay out and no reason to buy everything at once: keep a broad savings plan running, buy single stocks only with money you can do without, and hold part of your money liquid while the market is high. The full picture including sectors is on is it worth investing now.
What is the share price of TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY)?
The latest price we hold is from Jul 17, 2026 and stands at $5.68. Our model-based fair value is $4.61, about −19% upside (overvalued). We carry closing prices from our data provider, not a live tick.
What should I pay attention to with TAG Immobilien AG right now?
The model range is unusually wide ($1.74 to $5.76). The outcome hinges heavily on assumptions, so read the point estimate with caution. Solid but not exceptional quality (49/100) and above fair value, neither a clear bargain nor a standout compounder. As a real-estate business, asset- and dividend-based methods carry more weight here than a standard DCF.
Key figures of TAG Immobilien AG
How large is the market capitalisation of TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY)?
The market capitalisation of TAG Immobilien AG is $2.4B. The stock-market value of the whole company: share price times number of shares. It is what the market asks for the entire business today.
What is the P/S ratio of TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY)?
The price-to-sales ratio of TAG Immobilien AG is 1.77 (last twelve months). Price to sales: market value relative to yearly revenue. Useful when profit is thin or distorted.
What are the earnings per share of TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY)?
Earnings per share at TAG Immobilien AG are $−1.60. Earnings per share over the last twelve months: total profit spread across every single share.
What is the dividend yield of TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY)?
The dividend yield of TAG Immobilien AG is 7.0%. Yearly dividend relative to the share price. 3% pays 3 per 100 invested. Below: how much of profit is used for it.
What is the net margin of TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY)?
The net margin of TAG Immobilien AG is 9.6% (fiscal year 2025). How much of every unit of revenue ends up as profit. 10% means 10 cents of profit per dollar of sales.
What is the return on equity of TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY)?
The return on equity (ROE) of TAG Immobilien AG is 2.7% (last twelve months). Profit relative to shareholders' equity, how efficiently the company works with its owners' money.
What is the EBIT return on assets of TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY)?
On an EBIT basis the return on assets of TAG Immobilien AG is −0.6% (avg 5y). Operating profit (EBIT) relative to everything the company owns, as a multi-year average. It describes the business model rather than one good or bad year.
What is the operating margin of TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY)?
The operating margin of TAG Immobilien AG is 31.7% (last twelve months). Profit from the core business (before interest and taxes) relative to revenue.
How fast is revenue growing at TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY)?
Revenue at TAG Immobilien AG is growing +1.1% versus a year earlier (3y avg −0.7%). How much revenue grew versus a year earlier (YoY). The 3-year average next to it puts the single year in context.
How fast are earnings growing at TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY)?
Earnings per share at TAG Immobilien AG are growing −19.0% versus a year earlier. How much earnings per share grew versus a year earlier.
How much net debt does TAG Immobilien AG (TAGYY) carry?
The net debt of TAG Immobilien AG is €3.1B (fiscal year 2025, ≈ 15.1 yrs of FCF). Debt minus cash on hand. The note shows how many years of free cash flow could in theory pay it off.
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